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Leading Off:

MI-Sen, MI-Gov: The Michigan Senate seat, left open by Carl Levin's retirement, doesn't get a whole lot of attention. It doesn't have as dramatic a story line as the Dem incumbents trying to hold on in red states, and the Beltway press doesn't live there, which seems to be the only explanation why the Virginia race gets the disproportionate fawning that it does. But polling in the last few months has shown Michigan, too, could become a major thorn in the Dems' side; local pollster EPIC-MRA is out with a poll giving Republican ex-Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land a 41-38 lead, a reversal from their last poll in September, when Democratic Rep. Gary Peters led 38-37. That's also the fourth poll in a row with a Land lead, going back to December (though only one of those pollsters was PPP; the other two were the less-credible Rasmussen and Harper).

The easy response to that is that "well, Michigan is full of terrible pollsters," and to a certain extent, that's true, if you remember the likes of Mitchell Research and Baydoun/Foster from the closing months of 2012. Michigan may simply be a difficult state to poll accurately; every single pollster in Michigan, even PPP, undershot the Obama/Romney margin by at least three points. EPIC-MRA, however, was one of the less bad ones; they, like PPP, had Obama +6 in their final poll, where the final margin was 9.5. (However, they were finding Romney leads as late as June '12, and consistently finding sizable Romney leads during 2011.)

The fact that over 20 percent are still undecided shows that this is still a sleepy race where Land's residual name rec advantage (she was elected statewide, while Peters reps only 1/15th of the state) gives her a temporary edge; another cause for optimism is that the crosstabs from PPP's most recent poll shows undecideds were predominantly Obama voters in 2012. Still, this race is on track to be a low-to-mid-single-digits affair throughout, and getting Peters' name rec up will take a lot of time and money away from the red state races.

EPIC-MRA also has results in the Governor's race, where incumbent Rick Snyder leads Democratic ex-Rep. Mark Schauer 47-39, which is the same margin as the 44-36 Snyder lead in September. The polling in this race has been more consistently in Snyder's favor, including a 4-point lead in December's PPP poll; Schauer led most polls in early 2013, shortly after Snyder's acquiescence to a right-to-work law, but as that recedes from people's memories, Snyder has gradually moved back into the lead.

Senate:

KS-Sen: Seems like three-term incumbent Pat Roberts has roused himself from his long nap in his La-Z-Boy and realized he has a problem here; his campaign is out with a one-minute radio ad that goes straight at his primary challenger from the far right, Milton Wolf. Interestingly, it doesn't go straight at Wolf's outrageousness, but uses the 'outside agitators' approach; the narrator leads off with "There's a lot of people from a lot of places outside Kansas trying to tell Kansas who our Senator should be, and those outsiders support Milton Wolf." (Meanwhile, Wolf isn't doing anything to help his credibility with a recent round of tweets Friday that went the full Godwin, jumping on the Tom Perkins "Kristallnacht of the 1 percent" train.)

TX-Sen: I'm starting to wonder if John Cornyn's other tea party primary challenger, Dwayne Stovall, might manage to rack up more votes than Steve Stockman, who has only managed to make the news lately for being even more absent and erratic than usual. Stovall is out with a TV ad — I'm not sure where the ad will run, or with what money, but it does seem to meet all the disclosure standards for a real ad — that's bound to attract some attention, what with its generous use of animated turtles (because, of course, no one has ever compared Mitch McConnell to a turtle before) and, at the end, a talking dog. I mean, the Beltway press is cackling about it, even I'm cackling about it: maybe he doesn't even need to run it, because he's already gotten all the earned media he could want.

Gubernatorial:

AK-Gov: Alaska's fundraising reports deadline is Feb. 1, for some reason, but now we have reports from the two main contestants in this year's gubernatorial race. GOP incumbent Sean Parnell raised $407,000 in the period since April 2013, and has $330,000 cash-on-hand. His likely Dem opponent, Byron Mallott, didn't get into the race until October; in that shortened period, he raised $233,000.

IL-Gov: When a new poll shows your candidacy swirling around the porcelain bowl, and you're already enmeshed in scandal, it is safe to say that headlines like this aren't going to be particularly helpful:

Rutherford will not release independent investigator’s report
When confronted with allegations of sexual harassment, Dan Rutherford ordered an independent investigation. The investigation is done, and Rutherford is clutching onto it. His rationale, according to his lawyer, is that a federal lawsuit has now been filed, and "under federal rules, we are not supposed to be talking to the whole world about the case — we are supposed to be talking about it in the courtroom."

Which would be dandy, if it weren't for the fact that Rutherford has ... twice! ... held press conferences where he has defended himself against the allegation, going so far as to present text messages from the accuser. So leaking private texts in an attempt to defend yourself is kosher, but releasing an independent investigation would be "talking to the whole world" about the case? Alrighty then. Don't expect Rutherford to claw his way back to relevance in the GOP gubernatorial primary with this hanging over him. (Steve Singiser)

MO-Gov: If you're one of those people who are offended by polls of the 2016 presidential race, well, stop reading right here, because a poll of the 2016 Missouri gubernatorial race is likely to make you blow a gasket. It's a poll from Republican pollster Wilson Perkins Allen, and while they don't specifically say they're working for ex-U.S. Attorney Catherine Hanaway (it's for somebody called Citizens for a Stronger Missouri), it seems clear they're motivated by her recent entry to the distant-future race. They find her leading the likely Dem nominee, AG Chris Koster, by a whopping 35-33.

NY-Gov: How do you know that you're completely politically toxic? When you poll worse than someone that roughly 7 in 8 voters have never heard of, that's a pretty good indicator. Such is the fate of one Donald Trump, who is losing to Gov. Andrew Cuomo by a 63-26 margin, according to new Quinnipiac poll. Little-known Republican Rob Astorino, the county executive of Westchester County, actually polls slightly better on the margin (58-24), despite only having 14 percent of the state recognizing him enough to have an opinion. (Steve Singiser)

House:

AR-01: Republican Rep. Rick Crawford has gotten by without any real Democratic challenge so far this cycle, but local Democrats are hoping to change that. Heber Springs Mayor Jackie McPherson is reportedly strongly considering a run.

McPherson would have a tough hill to climb here. The ancestrally Democratic district has swung far to the right in recent years, with Mitt Romney carrying AR-01 by a brutal 61-36. Heber Springs is also not a particularly large place (population 7,100), and he would start out with little name recognition. Still, any statewide Democratic victories in the gubernatorial or senate races likely would require a good performance in AR-01, and it wouldn't hurt Mike Ross or Mark Pryor to have a serious Democrat running here. (Jeff Singer)

AZ-09: There are some dueling Republican pollsters in the 9th district, a swingy district that isn't high on anybody's watch list right now but could pose some trouble for freshman Dem Kyrsten Sinema if things go further south for the Democrats. The campaign of Andrew Walter, an ex-NFL quarterback who's one of the two main GOPers running here, released a poll from FLS Connect, which gave Walter a 52.5-47.5 lead over Sinema (you probably don't need a calculator to see that that means 0 percent undecideds).

However, a different Republican pollster (from Coleman Dahm, which worked with Martin Sepulveda in the 2012 AZ-09 election, but doesn't claim to have a horse in the race this year) decided to try a little unskewing with a poll of his own. He only polled the primary (or if he polled the general, didn't release anything about it), and found Walter trailing the other GOPer, Wendy Rogers, by a 15-7 margin. If you break out your calculator, that's 78 percent undecided, which is probably a more accurate reflection of the current state of the race.

CA-31: Looks like the Republicans have found the two candidates they need to try to hold the Dem-leaning San Bernardino-area open seat left behind by Gary Miller's unsurprising retirement, which, given the district's 57 percent Obama status, would be doable only if they could game the Top 2 primary by, like in 2012, getting two candidates through while four Dems split the rest of the vote. One is Paul Chabot, a former Navy intelligence officer and mid-level Bush administration official (from the Office of National Drug Control Policy), who said Friday that he "plans to run." Chabot hasn't held office before but had been running for the state Assembly.

Chabot has received endorsements from ex-Rep. Jerry Lewis, (for whom Chabot was at one point an intern, and who, pre-redistricting, used to represent about one-quarter of current CA-31's residents) and Bob Dutton, the ex-state Senator who finished 2nd in the 31st in 2012, but who already declined to try again this time.

The second Republican in the field is San Bernardino City Councilman John Valdivia, who also joined the race on Friday. However, if a third Republican jumps into the fray (even a Some Dude), the odds of two Republicans again advancing to the general in this Democratic-leaning district will be severely diminished, as it doesn't seem like Chabot or Valdivia have the juice to win mano-a-mano against a Dem in a 57 percent Obama district. Acquanetta Warren, the mayor of Fontana (which isn't even in the 31st, though it's close by), just declined, though, so Warren won't be that third wheel.

CA-33: Add one more name to the list of candidates to replace long-time Rep. Henry Waxman on Los Angeles's west side. Newspaper and radio pundit Matt Miller (who's thoughtful, but sometimes Third Way-ish) announced he's running ... as a Democrat, if there was any uncertainty. His job gives him a certain amount of name rec, but probably not enough to overcome local heavyweights Wendy Greuel and Ted Lieu.

FL-13: If you've lost track of how much money is pouring into the high-stakes special election in the 13th, Open Secrets helpfully rounds it up. Although Alex Sink has flattened GOPer David Jolly in conventional fundraising, there has also been $1.1 million spending from outside groups on ads in just the nine days prior to this report, most of that accruing to Jolly's benefit.

Much of that comes from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which has spent $800,000 in the last nine days; fellow establishmentarians American Action Network poured in another $240,000. They list Karl Rove-linked American Crossroads as spending $49,000 (which doesn't seem to include Friday's additional $25,000 for mailers), and $75,000 from the NRCC. All totaled up (both candidate and third-party spending), $3.5 million has been spent so far on this election, and with weeks still to go, it's on track to be one of the most expensive specials ever.

Democratic group House Majority PAC is rolling out a new ad on Friday, though (it's part of a $750,000 buy along with their first ad, which will continue to run); it features a testimonial from an elderly couple concerned about Jolly's support for Social Security privatization. On the GOP side, Eric Cantor's YG Network is rolling out a robocall from Marco Rubio, attesting to how Jolly will protect Social Security. The NRCC is also continuing to experiment with hitting Sink on the CBO report (the subject of their most recent ad), though for now just with tweets and press releases, that essentially have them coming out in favor of "job lock."

Why the nonstop drumbeat of TV ads, mailers, and robocalls? For one thing, despite the two polls that dropped last week giving Sink 7- and 9-point leads, David Wasserman drops some hints that, behind the scenes, it's a closer race than that: "both parties' internal polls show the race much closer...." And also, early voting is already underway; in fact, over 39,000 ballots have already been returned, nearly 20 percent of those requested. (The Dem/GOP split in the returned ballots so far is pretty evenly divided.)

HI-01: The crowded Democratic field in this open seat race just got a little larger, with Honolulu City Councilman Joey Manahan entering the race. Daily Kos Elections Community Member Skaje gives us some background on Manahan, who is also a former Vice Speaker of the state House of Representatives. The most important thing may be that Manahan's regional base overlaps with socially conservative state Sen. Donna Mercado Kim's. Also running in the Democratic primary are Honolulu City Councilors Ikaika Anderson and Stanley Chang, state Sen. Will Espero, state Rep. Mark Takai, and activist Kathryn Xian. (Jeff Singer)

OK-05: All the action to fill James Lankford's open Oklahoma City-based district has been on the Republican side, but Democrats have just landed a candidate here. State Sen. Al McAffrey announced Thursday that he will run here. McAffrey made history back in 2006 as the first openly gay member of the Oklahoma legislature. The district, which Romney won 59-41, is the bluest in the entire state. But this is Oklahoma we're talking about, so that's not saying much. (Jeff Singer)

WA-04: We've got our first major Republican entrant into the dark-red open seat left by Doc Hastings' decision to trade in 20 years of anonymity in the House for even greater anonymity in the private sector. As expected, it's state Sen. Janea Holmquist Newbry of Moses Lake, who's setting up an exploratory committee.

WV-03: The Koch-backed Americans for Prosperity is putting more money into West Virginia's 3rd, where they've already run TV spots; they're out with a new anti-Nick Rahall radio ad, with a $30,000 buy behind it.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 05:00 AM PST.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Michigan (4+ / 0-)

    That EPIC-MRA poll also included a Clinton-Christie matchup, which had Clinton leading by only 4.  If you look at the poll history on this, there have been 4 polls in Michigan with that matchup and all of them were between 3 and 6 points in favor of Clinton.

    I hope there is no underlying demographic shift going on here, but in addition to the Governor and Senate race, the Clinton/Christie matchup has me wondering...

    •  EPIC-MRA is a terrible. (5+ / 0-)

      Just look at 2012.

    •  The Clinton-Christie race is a dead giveaway (7+ / 0-)

      the poll sucks. Clinton leads that matchup by double digits nationally and MI has a PVI of D+7-8 in the last 4 presidential elections, no way she is only 4 points up in MI.

    •  Snyder, Kaisch, and Walker (7+ / 0-)

      Are depressing because they'll all probably walk to reelection unless scandal or disaster breaks.

      And that doesn't happen unless that happens....

      I have weak hope that Christie or John Doe II will bring scrutiny to these Class of '10 Bagger governors, but I'm in a real show me mood about that.

      "If this Studebaker had anymore Atomic Space-Age Style, you'd have to be an astronaut with a geiger counter!"

      by Stude Dude on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 06:25:32 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  None of the challengers in those states... (9+ / 0-)

        ...has gotten to "critical mass" state wide name recognition...yet. I will concede that Incumbency is a huge advantage, but of the three, Walker is held in highest esteem by his statewide base.

        None are in danger of being replaced in a nomination fight, but Snyder and Kasich really aren't the guys that the base in their states would "die on the hill" for. That's important because if we happen to get closer in polling around mid Summer (because the challengers get better name recognition traction, various progressive groups make visible gains in "constructing" a somewhat better November electorate, etc.) the GOP base activists are less likely to be able to fare better in the face of somewhat larger general electorates (than 2010) in Michigan and Ohio.

        That's not to discount Wisconsin: I'm pretty sure Walker is not going to skate to an easy victory. I've run into enough Wisconsin Dems who simply didn't believe that recall was appropriate, but that the regular election cycle is a completely different matter when it comes to Walker.

        Change does not roll in on the wheels of inevitability, but comes through continuous struggle. --Martin Luther King Jr.

        by Egalitare on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 07:15:51 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  Agreed, we have a real chance in all of those (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          jilikins

          way too soon to be dismissing any of those races.

          •  Nah,... (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            jilikins

            I agree with Stude Dude.  Barring scandal, all three are re-elected.  Throw in Corbett in PA, as well.  He just proposed a new budget that increases funding for public education, his main target since 2010.  Pennsylvanians like to re-elect their governors, and none of the challengers has any real mojo.  

            By mid summer, Corbett will have passed his fourth straight on-time budget (something the previous governor, Dem Ed Rendell, never did even once), and the teachers unions will be somewhat placated or mollified.  He will also have likely passed a plan to privatize the inane state liquor stores, something overwhelmingly popular with both parties voters (if not their politicians).  The "Alabama in the Middle" of PA will come out to vote, while the poor Dem base in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia won't even know there is an election going on.  

            Walker is actually popular, with a positive approval rating.  He won't win in a landslide, but he's way stronger than we like to admit.  He's basically won EVERY battle he's fought since his election, and he's picked some tough ones.  Michigan was the killing fields in 2010 for congressional Dems.  If that turnout demographic is even close to the same in 2014, Snyder will survive.  Ohio is the most republican state of the four, still suffering from crushing recession UE, which bodes well for a Kasich campaign against Obama.  

            All that said, I think Corbett will be the comeback story of the election year.

            •  I'll put money against Corbett (0+ / 0-)

              the rest are too close to call but it won't require scandals for dems to win. The dem candidates are all still underknown and in some cases primaries haven't even been held yet. Michigan especially has a history of showing repubs ahead or races competitive but dems end up winning solidly.

              But if you want to bet on Corbett in PA, let me know. I'm here.

  •  I wish (5+ / 0-)

    we had a viable D or I alternative to "Christie" Cuomo.  If enough news comes out about his closed door closings of services for the least among us, while offering tax cuts for businesses, and crass cronyism, maybe we will get one!

    "The light which puts out our sight is darkness to us." Thoreau

    by NancyWH on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 05:44:37 AM PST

    •  What closed door closing of services? (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jilikins, Aquarius40

      "Once, at a formal dinner, when [a rich] guest complained about the cost of welfare programs for the poor, Buffett replied tartly, 'I'm a lot more concerned about welfare for the rich.'"--from a book on Warren Buffett

      by bjssp on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 08:28:20 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

    •  Cuomo's in a bad position (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jilikins, AlexDrew

      I abhor the shuttering of vital services, but truth be told Cuomo is in a really bad place with the budget situation.

      State law requires the budget to be balanced; we can't deficit-spend.  Companies and citizens are leaving the state left-and-right, and most of those leaving are the ones that can afford to do so.  That means the ones left need more help from fewer taxpayers.

      He has to cut taxes for corporations.  Other states offer so many incentives that there's no way for NY to compete without cutting taxes.  To Cuomo's credit, he's trying to do so in as controlled a fashion as possible, and trying to prod local taxing entities (counties, towns, cities, villages, and school districts) to cut their expenses as much as possible.

      What we really need is severe government consolidation, but despite pressure from Albany, local governments can't do it without risk of getting tossed out of office by their constituents.  Sadly, these constituents tend to be ridiculously provincial and only like the idea of consolidation when it doesn't involve their local police/school/library.

      There are certainly other measures I'd like to see Cuomo take before cutting funding to vital services, but we do have to start from an acknowledgment of the nasty situation he's in.

  •  Unless (8+ / 0-)

    Something really drastic happens or is uncovered, Synder WILL be re-elected and I hate like hell that this will happen.  Unfortunately, MI tends to like manly men and I have heard too many people say that Mark Schuar looks like a wimp. I hate that he is being judged on looks, but it is what it is. He has very little name recognition except for the area he served as Congress critter.  
      I despise Terry Lynn Land and pray that Peters can garner a huge lead on her.  Republicans are ruining MI.  All three branches of MI government are ruled by the Republicans.  

    I will never forget, as long as I live, the day the entire world had hope... 01/20/09

    by jilikins on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 06:27:40 AM PST

    •  Women are going to have to get sicker of manly (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jilikins, GleninCA

      men than they are, for things to change as much as they need to, or permanently. Women hold the winning hand, but they want to be liked/loved, so they go along to get along.

      Putting the fun back in dysfunctional.

      by hawkseye on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 06:51:46 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  The women (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        wishingwell

        In this state, seem to know better, and talk like they are for Dems, so I always wonder how the 3 branches of our government in this state are all Republican ruled.  

        I will never forget, as long as I live, the day the entire world had hope... 01/20/09

        by jilikins on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 06:54:37 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  P.S. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          wishingwell

          "Manly men" do NOT entice me, nor any women in my immediate circle of friends and relatives.  So, I am still wondering how the heck the Republicans do it.  And, most of the men in my immediate circle do not like Synder.  

          I will never forget, as long as I live, the day the entire world had hope... 01/20/09

          by jilikins on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 06:56:13 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  Where are you in the state? (4+ / 0-)

      Can you get involved in local GOTV efforts on behalf of Schauer? I agree, I think it's tipped in Snyder's favor (because of incumbency and because people have short memories) but the on-the-ground efforts can make the difference.

      Support Small Business: Shop Kos Katalogue If you'd like to join the Motor City Kossacks, send me a Kosmail.

      by peregrine kate on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 07:03:56 AM PST

      [ Parent ]

      •  I live (4+ / 0-)

        In St. Clair County and while I cannot participate in GOTV due to health, I do write lots and lots of well researched editorial letter. When I was healthier, I was involved in a lot of volunteering in the local Dem Headquarters, though.  

        I will never forget, as long as I live, the day the entire world had hope... 01/20/09

        by jilikins on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 07:18:17 AM PST

        [ Parent ]

        •  I also have health problems so what I do is GOTV (6+ / 0-)

          phone bank from home.  Granted , it is far easier to do for a Presidential election.  The Obama campaign was so detailed, well organized, and their phonebank website was super easy to use. I was able to make hundreds of phone calls thanks to the meticulously well structured and super well organized Obama campaign.

          What I do in non Presidential election cycles is that first I go the candidates website. I click on where it says Volunteer and I offer to phone bank from home. If they do not call me back, I call them and offer. I have never been turned down and they eagerly say Yes.  

          The campaigns can always use volunteers who will help send our emails or do phone banking.This is particularly important and crucial the closer we get to November.

          All campaigns greatly need and always appreciate volunteers who will call voters to remind them to get out and vote .  

          Keystone Liberals on Twitter @ KeystoneLibs , Join PA Liberals at http://keystoneliberalsforum.aimoo.com/

          by wishingwell on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 08:14:43 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

          •  Yes, definitely. (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            wishingwell, Stude Dude

            I do know about health problems--I'm recovering from advanced cancer, and it has compromised my energy, probably permanently. But there is a ton of stuff possible to do from home. I can keep you in the loop about projects as I hear about them.

            Support Small Business: Shop Kos Katalogue If you'd like to join the Motor City Kossacks, send me a Kosmail.

            by peregrine kate on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 08:35:34 AM PST

            [ Parent ]

            •  I would (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              wishingwell, peregrine kate

              Happily be on the phone for GOTV, but suffer from extreme diarrhea-I have logged for my doctor's office days when I've gone up to 28 times and no it isn't Crone's disease.  So, I research my letters in between poops.  Other days, I do not go nearly as much, almost normal, but I refuse to talk to someone if I am on the toilet!   :-)
                There are other issues, too, but it is the bathroom runs that prevent me from calling people.  

              I will never forget, as long as I live, the day the entire world had hope... 01/20/09

              by jilikins on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 08:46:15 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

              •  Oh wow, that is awful. Is the doctor unable to (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                jilikins, peregrine kate

                find a cause or treatment?

                Having this much diarrhea, how are you able to keep from being dehydrated. Do ever need IVS or are you able to drink a lot of water?

                My dad suffered from this and lost 50 lbs and it was a bowel blockage that first caused constipation and then later severe diarrhea.

                Keystone Liberals on Twitter @ KeystoneLibs , Join PA Liberals at http://keystoneliberalsforum.aimoo.com/

                by wishingwell on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 08:49:28 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

                •  There is (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  wishingwell, peregrine kate

                  Treatment for this-I take around 10 pills a day-just for that!  However, it only slows it for a bit and they are finding out that I become "used" to the pills and it starts all over again so there is about a 2 week period where I cannot take anything at all for it.
                   I have never, in my life, until now, had to worry about dehydrating as I've always been a huge water drinker, and as yet, have not had to go the IVS route, but the doctor has told me of this.
                    Frustrating me most of all?  I have only lost about 10 pounds because I eat quite well in between bouts.  And, I have had this for almost a year.  Like many women, I thought the bright side of this would be a lot of weight loss and consoled myself with that thought-but unfortunately, it is not to be.  :-(   I know, I know seems vain and silly of me to think of losing weight in this misery but I was looking for the silver lining.  
                    I love you all for caring.  

                  I will never forget, as long as I live, the day the entire world had hope... 01/20/09

                  by jilikins on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 09:44:20 AM PST

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  There is a silver lining about not losing a lot of (2+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    peregrine kate, jilikins

                    weight.  

                    In my dad;s case, all the weight loss led to the discovery through a CAT scan that he had a bowel blockage in his small intestine. That blockage turn out to be malignant.
                    There is no treatment for the rare carcinoid cancer but surgeries.  His diarrhea would increase after they would remove more and more of his small intestine to get out the blockages and malignant tissue.

                    In my sister's case, the cause of her diarrhea was a benign ..well borderline cancer but mostly benign tumor the size of a football sitting on her left ovary.  

                    But my sister suffered from severe bouts of diarrhea for years unrelated to this benign tumor and she had to stop drinking coffee and eating a lot of other foods and taking probiotics.

                    Keystone Liberals on Twitter @ KeystoneLibs , Join PA Liberals at http://keystoneliberalsforum.aimoo.com/

                    by wishingwell on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 09:56:04 AM PST

                    [ Parent ]

                  •  I assume you've checked out all the usual (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    jilikins

                    suspects, such as celiac, and other food sensitivities? If not, I'd recommend trying a bland diet entirely of things that just about no one reacts to (lamb, rice, plain fish) and see if that helps. If it does, then add things back in one at a time and see if you can find the triggers.

                    If you've already ruled out all that stuff, then forgive me for playing diagnostician -- and I really wish you well and hope you/they figure it out so you can live your life more fully.

                    •  Yep (0+ / 0-)

                      Usual suspects ruled out, but have found I can do without wheat, for the most part.  Never ever realized how much wheat we eat, until I kept track.  WOW!

                      I will never forget, as long as I live, the day the entire world had hope... 01/20/09

                      by jilikins on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 12:42:24 PM PST

                      [ Parent ]

              •  My sister also suffered from severe bouts of (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                jilikins

                diarrhea where she lost so much weight, she was 90 lbs and doctors almost admitted to the hospital. The only thing that slowed down her diarrhea was Culturelle, a probiotic.

                Are you able to take probiotics or does the doctor prescribe anti diarrhea meds that slow it down some?

                Keystone Liberals on Twitter @ KeystoneLibs , Join PA Liberals at http://keystoneliberalsforum.aimoo.com/

                by wishingwell on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 08:51:35 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

              •  As a person with severe ulcerative colitis... (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                jilikins, peregrine kate

                I feel your pain.

              •  Oh, I am so sorry. What a condition (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                jilikins

                to have to deal with. I hope that your docs can get a handle on it with you soon. {{{{{jilikins}}}}}

                Support Small Business: Shop Kos Katalogue If you'd like to join the Motor City Kossacks, send me a Kosmail.

                by peregrine kate on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 10:07:57 AM PST

                [ Parent ]

            •  Kate, Get well wishes to you and my thoughts (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              jilikins, peregrine kate

              are with you as you battle cancer.  
               That is a rough road go down and we are here for you.

              Keystone Liberals on Twitter @ KeystoneLibs , Join PA Liberals at http://keystoneliberalsforum.aimoo.com/

              by wishingwell on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 08:46:38 AM PST

              [ Parent ]

        •  Also I go to the OFA website which is also well (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          peregrine kate, Stude Dude, jilikins

          organized and they always have the need for people to write letters to the editor ( which you are doing now and I say Brave and thank you Jil ) and also they welcome people who can and want to phone bank from home.

          I have been so pleased that I have been able to help by volunteering from home using my phone and email.

          Keystone Liberals on Twitter @ KeystoneLibs , Join PA Liberals at http://keystoneliberalsforum.aimoo.com/

          by wishingwell on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 08:16:42 AM PST

          [ Parent ]

    •  How much do Detroit's woes affect (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      HeyMikey

      these races?

      Does it reflect badly on Dems for how that city was run?

      Or, does it reflect badly on the Repub governor who has not fixed things?

      Neither?

      just wondering if you have a feel for how the rest of the state reacts, politically speaking.

  •  I, too, cackled over the Stovall ad. (0+ / 0-)

    He went full turtle.

    I live under the bridge to the 21st Century.

    by Crashing Vor on Mon Feb 17, 2014 at 06:51:37 AM PST

  •  So much about money (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jilikins, NoMoreLies, Odysseus

    Politics seems to be no longer about right and wrong or about philosophy.  Looking at what this diary is saying, it is FAR more about money in campaigns.  

    What a tragedy for America today.  

  •  IL-Gov is a real circus.. (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Odysseus, jilikins, GleninCA

    The Illinois Education Association, which represents teachers outside of Chicago, has endorsed one of the Republican candidates in the primary!  Kirk Dillard got that endorsement a few days ago.

    Of course, the IEA doesn't want a Republican in office.  But they are so afraid of Bruce Rauner getting the nomination, they will back Dillard in the primaries, then switch to Dem Gov Quinn.. what a joke.

    It is so transparently phony, this will only help Rauner.  Because this is exactly what his ads have been saying for months - the public union "bosses are running scared".  Seems he's right.

  •  I know nothing about Michigan's Democratic Party (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Stude Dude, jilikins, Jacob1145

    organization. I just hope it isn't like NC's. The NCDP has all but conceded everything in 2014, mostly because of infighting and a lack of interest in actually doing anything constructive. They conceded the 2010 state elections before they got underway, gave control of the NC legislature to the Republicans, and as a result let the state be gerrymandered within an inch of its life. They ran away from their own gubernatorial candidate in 2012, conceding the race to the "moderate" McCrory, who has rained hell and blood on the state for a year and a half. Hope this isn't the case in Michigan.

    •  Well.... (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jilikins, Jacob1145

      If you live here it's easy to tick off a list of reasons why voters should be unhappy with the GOP.  Still, here in MI-1, voters keep returning the absolutely useless Benishek and the equally useless McBroom (both GOP) to office, even though their list of accomplishments is zero and they've faced some pretty decent opponents.  I have no answers.

  •  Sink Must "Sink" Jolly (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jilikins, GleninCA

    We must continue to pour money into this race to exceed the Rove/Koch outside money. Dems. are apparently encouraged, according to the Tampa Bay Times, about how competitive they are on the returned absentee ballots. I hope they're right. As in Va., we need some people to work for Sink who worked in the 2012 Obama "Cave"/ "Blue Labs" outfits that can get the polling right and calculate the amount of Dems. and indies we need to win. All hands must be on deck here. I'm glad that Sink is keeping Chuck Todd and NBC away from her debate. When the national MSM gets in, the GOPers get really stirred up to the 10th power.  Again, save Obamacare , Social Security, and the minimum wage. It's the "T" word, "turnout, stupid." For more on the Sink /Jolly race and other zany GOPers, read this  

  •  What's the matter with Michigan?? (0+ / 0-)

    One word:

    RACISM

    And it's endless, sometimes subtle, sometimes Ted Nugent style, exploitation by the Republicans.

    Labor was the first price paid for all things. It was not by money, but by labour, that all wealth of the world was originally purchased. - Adam Smith

    by boatwright on Fri Feb 21, 2014 at 02:57:34 AM PST

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