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One state that hasn't received much fantasy redistricting attention is Indiana, with ndrwmls's visually pleasing 4-4-1 map, jncca's 5-3-1 map and redistricting master Wolf's 5-4 and 5-3-1 maps being the only real gerrymander attempts, and the last of which is unnecessarily incongruous.

In jncca's words,

I know that you can't quite make a 6-3 in Indiana, no matter how hard you try
False!

It is mathematically possible to create 5 61.8% districts, 6 58.6% districts or 7 55.6% districts. While Indiana's Republican areas are somewhat disjointed (thus, difficult to join), I wanted to try something new, so I went with the six district plan. Given that the average of our six districts is 57.8%, a 0.8% drop, I think I did a pretty good job here. The trick for this is to split both the north and Indy three ways, with one northern district staying out of Lake (Gary) and neighboring Porter Counties. I ended up with six D+4 to D+6 districts. As all are more Democratic (by 2008 numbers, though Obama overperformed here) than Gary Miller's district, I'm confident in our ability to consistently hold these districts. Also, while southern Indiana has more a Democratic history than the rest of the state, I don't believe that relying on historical tendencies is wise, given recent evidence in KY-06 and  IL-13, not to mention IN-08 and IN-09, where Crooks and Yoder underperformed Obama's 2008 marks by 5 and 2 points. However, with this in mind, I made the northern districts slightly better than the southern ones.

State:

Indy:
Gary:
1: 57.4% Obama
This Illinois border district is made possible by Terre Haute, skirts some Indy burbs and takes in some of the more moderate parts of Indy. In order to keep districts contiguous, this district has to keep clear of Lafayette.
2: 36.5% Obama
This district takes in the most conservative parts of the southwest along with the notorious Indy burbs, the one thing keeping Indiana medium red.
3: 57.3% Obama
Similarly to the first district, this one is a combo of Evansville and some of the more moderate parts of Indy.
4: 57.4% Obama
This is the district that sees improvement from other iterations. The Louisville burbs are fairly Democratic, but outside of that, there are few Democratic areas outside of Marion County. Thus, this district takes in the most of the very liberal parts of Indy; for that reason, this is possibly the most vulnerable district, with the most consistent conservative turnout and least consistent Democratic turnout. However, this is a necessity in a 6-3 map, as there are too many 42%-53% precincts in the otherwise blood-red southeast to ignore.
5: 36.9% Obama
This sprawling district takes in most rural areas (it has zero decent-sized towns) from the southeast to northwest. I have to say that a district stretching from the Louisville burbs to the Gary burbs is a pretty novel concept, but it's very important in order to keep contiguity, as it totally splits the northern and southern districts.
6: 58.5% Obama
This district, the most Democratic in the state (barely), takes in Lafayette, parts of Gary and Gary's moderate burbs.
7: 58.4% Obama
This district relies on Gary, Muncie and a few small cities to counter a lot of moderately conservative areas.
8: 35.7% Obama
This district takes in the insanely conservative parts of the northeast, as well as most of the 41%+ precincts that didn't make it into the Democratic districts, with a population center in the Fort Wayne burbs.
9: 57.9% Obama
Drawing on the strength of South Bend and La Porte and the large population of moderately conservative Fort Wayne, this may be the most surprising district on the map, avoiding the two major Democratic centers of the state. Also, this competes with the 4th for most vulnerable, as this district has the least consistent Democratic history (Fort Wayne has had 16 mayoral party transitions since 1910; its current Dem mayor is the only one to buck the trend electorally.)
Poll

What portion of elections would this 6-3 map hold up?

17%8 votes
6%3 votes
8%4 votes
13%6 votes
15%7 votes
37%17 votes

| 45 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (9+ / 0-)

    ME-01 (college) ID-01 (home) -4.75, -2.10

    by GoUBears on Sat Mar 15, 2014 at 12:58:34 PM PDT

  •  You actually did it (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GoUBears, Jervill

    It reminds me of how some people argued for 2 GOP districts in Los Angeles County in 2011 redistricting when attempts showed the only way you could do it is with careful meandering and stretching that the commission would never do.

    “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

    by KingofSpades on Sat Mar 15, 2014 at 01:23:38 PM PDT

  •  Looks like something the FL leg. would make! (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, GoUBears

    Good job!

    The lady was enchanted and said they ought to see. So they charged her with subversion and made her watch TV -Spirogyra

    by Taget on Sun Mar 16, 2014 at 06:11:23 PM PDT

  •  This Is Totally Obscene... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, davybaby, GoUBears, Alibguy

    And I meant that as a compliment!! :)

    Wow. That is some seriously creative cartography.

    "Every one is king when there's no one left to pawn" (BRMC)
    Contributing Editor, Daily Kos/Daily Kos Elections

    by Steve Singiser on Sun Mar 16, 2014 at 07:05:49 PM PDT

  •  2012 vs. 2008 (0+ / 0-)

    Your map was based on 2008 data, which, alas, may have been our high-water mark in Indiana. Obama did much worse in Indiana in 2012 (a 54%-44% loss) than in 2008 (a squeaker win).

    •  Everyone knows that. (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      GoUBears, James Allen, Skaje

      But GoUBears has drawn Democratic districts that Obama likely won even in 2012. Obama did 6 points worse in Indiana in 2012. Even when rounding, taking a uniform swing of minus 6 points from all the districts, Obama still wins the blue ones in the 51%-53% range.

      You also fail to mention that Obama didn't campaign at all in Indiana in 2012. He surely would have done better than a 10-point loss had he campaigned there. As a matter of fact, Obama's 43.85% in 2012 is the second best (after Obama'08 numbers) Democratic performance since 1976 (Carter got 45.70%). Even the Big Dog couldn't crack 42%.

      Gay farm boy, 21, who hit the city to go to college, WI-03 (home, voting), WI-02 (college), -5.12, -1.74, "No tears. Remember the laughter, stories and good times we shared."- My dad (1959-2013).

      by WisJohn on Mon Mar 17, 2014 at 06:43:51 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Clinton in Indiana (0+ / 0-)

        Bill Clinton lost Indiana by about a six point margin in both 1992 and 1996. That's much closer that Obama's ten point loss in 2012.

        •  Heh (0+ / 0-)

          Bob Dole took 47% (his max anywhere was 54%), and at least 3/4 of Perot's 96 supporters were anti-Clintons that thought Dole was too Dole-ish. That loss was at least as worse. Perot's 92 voters varied widely from state to state, but they were 3:2 conservative:moderate on average, so I doubt that performance would have been much different.

          2008>2012=1992>1996>2000>2004

          ME-01 (college) ID-01 (home) -4.75, -2.10

          by GoUBears on Mon Mar 17, 2014 at 04:32:01 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  IN-9 (my district) (0+ / 0-)

    I think you may have cut out my home, which would be unforgivable. But I think I live close enough to the Michigan border that any South Bend/Fort Wayne district would have to include my home as a necessity, so I'm cool with this map.

    Slight snark aside, this map is pretty incredible, good job.

    26, Practical Progressive Democratic Socialist (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie!

    by HoosierD42 on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 08:56:28 PM PDT

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