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New U.S. Rep. Cory Gardner (R-CO) reacts after picking number one in the office lottery for all new House members of Congress in Washington, November 19, 2010.      REUTERS/Larry Downing (UNITED STATES - Tags: POLITICS) - RTXUTKJ
GOP Rep. Cory Gardner will be pleased with these new polling numbers
Public Polling Policy's new Colorado poll confirms exactly what we imagined when up-and-coming GOP Rep. Cory Gardner made a late and unexpected entry into his state's Senate race: The numbers look pretty good for him. Democratic Sen. Mark Udall sports a narrow 42-40 lead over Gardner, who starts off already known to half of all voters with a 23-25 favorability rating, despite representing just a seventh of the state for barely three years. (Udall's job approval is a middling 41-40.) A year ago, when PPP tested a hypothetical Udall-Gardner matchup, the incumbent led 49-39. Things, evidently, have changed.

But it's important to point out that even before Gardner's appearance, Udall was facing a re-election campaign that had already grown more difficult than initially anticipated. In PPP's December poll, Udall only sported a 46-42 lead on 2010 GOP nominee Ken Buck, who has since dropped down to run for Gardner's seat. And in the new survey, Udall also doesn't do a whole lot better against the one remotely plausible non-Gardner candidate still in the race, state Sen. Randy Baumgardner, who trails 44-37 and is unknown to 70 percent of the state.

But what about state Sen. Owen Hill, who was so voluble about the backroom switcheroo arranged by Buck and Gardner that he branded as "corrupt"? Well, Hill's decided to be a team player after all: On Monday, he dropped out and endorsed Gardner, saying Republicans need a "united front."

It's possible, though, that his departure might aid Baumgardner if any kind of anti-Gardner movement coalesces. And actually, Baumgardner came closest to Gardner (albeit not close) in PPP's test of the GOP primary, trailing 44-15, with Hill at 6 and a couple of Some Dudes in low single digits. Hill, though, had at least earned the backing of the outside group Tea Party Express; no one really seems to love Baumgardner, and Democrats have to operate with the expectation that Gardner will be the nominee.

As we always like to caution, this is just one poll—but it doesn't come in a vacuum. Not only is there Gardner's decision to consider, but the Koch brothers' Americans for Prosperity just inserted itself into the race for the first time, with a $1 million television ad buy targeting Udall.

Udall, though, is a strong campaigner and excellent fundraiser, and he still has an advantage here. But Republicans have succeeded in putting this race into play, and even if Udall prevails, a competitive contest in Colorado means that already-stretched resources will likely get spread even thinner. With control of the Senate up for grabs and so many blue seats vulnerable, this is not a positive development for Democrats.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 09:55 AM PDT.

Also republished by Colorado COmmunity and Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (13+ / 0-)

    Get the Daily Kos Elections Digest in your inbox every weekday. Sign up here.

    by David Nir on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 09:55:28 AM PDT

  •  As a Coloradoan.... (7+ / 0-)

    Udall comes across, to me anyway, as a phony. I think it has to do with him being very liberal as a Boulder congressman and striving to be Ken Salazar-ish as a Senator initially.

    He has rehabilitated himself to me within last year by taking a unpopular position on domestic spying before it was cool to do so, and as this has a quasi-libertarian quality to it, along with supporting marijuana legalization (a position Gardner is very recently on record as voting against). Udall needs to appeal to crossover voters on these things and not on Blue Dog issues, while emphasizing that he's been a loyal Dem for the most part (I'll forget that he sucked on the public option when I vote for him).

    Whether he wins or loses may come down to whether he's a "more" Democrat, or a "better" Democrat"

    No snowflake in an avalanche ever feels responsible.

    by Magster on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 10:35:15 AM PDT

    •  As a fellow Coloradoan, let me say that (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Magster, dfarrah

      I'd rec this a hundred billion times if I could:

      I think it has to do with him being very liberal as a Boulder congressman and striving to be Ken Salazar-ish as a Senator initially.
      You just nailed Udall.  A career family politician who may or may not believe in anything beyond his own ambition.

      Dogs from the street can have all the desirable qualities that one could want from pet dogs. Most adopted stray dogs are usually humble and exceptionally faithful to their owners as if they are grateful for this kindness. -- H.M. Bhumibol Adulyadej

      by corvo on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 11:40:17 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  or someone who believes his job is to represent (8+ / 0-)

        his constitutents and not just himself.

        "I join Justice Ginsburg's dissent in full." - Clarence Thomas in Philip Morris USA v. Williams

        by James Allen on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 12:46:44 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  being a political chameleon (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Magster, dfarrah

          isn't a virtue.  However, it does at least mean that he can be pushed. :-)

          Dogs from the street can have all the desirable qualities that one could want from pet dogs. Most adopted stray dogs are usually humble and exceptionally faithful to their owners as if they are grateful for this kindness. -- H.M. Bhumibol Adulyadej

          by corvo on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 12:53:17 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  Hmmm..... (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          corvo, ColoTim

          When he was elected, Schaffer effectively painted him as "Boulder liberal Mark Udall" and he won anyways. Notwithstanding, he didn't always represent those that elected him. Hopefully he's learned over these last 6 years.

          No snowflake in an avalanche ever feels responsible.

          by Magster on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 01:12:28 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  So if some of them call for legalizing slavery (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          runfastandwin, Newt

          he should at least offer to "consider" it?

          Sorry, but I'm with Burke on this:

          Certainly, gentlemen, it ought to be the happiness and glory of a representative to live in the strictest union, the closest correspondence, and the most unreserved communication with his constituents. Their wishes ought to have great weight with him; their opinion, high respect; their business, unremitted attention. It is his duty to sacrifice his repose, his pleasures, his satisfactions, to theirs; and above all, ever, and in all cases, to prefer their interest to his own. But his unbiassed opinion, his mature judgment, his enlightened conscience, he ought not to sacrifice to you, to any man, or to any set of men living. These he does not derive from your pleasure; no, nor from the law and the constitution. They are a trust from Providence, for the abuse of which he is deeply answerable. Your representative owes you, not his industry only, but his judgment; and he betrays, instead of serving you, if he sacrifices it to your opinion.
          Translation: a decent and wise politician shouldn't give a rat's ass what some racist teabagger fake pious Jesus freak asshole from Colorado Springs wants him to do, because what he wants him to do is what's best for HIM, not what's best for his state and country, and that is the exact opposite of patriotism.

          "Reagan's dead, and he was a lousy president" -- Keith Olbermann 4/22/09

          by kovie on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 04:49:10 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  This is the first time I have seen Burke (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            LordMike

            referenced as an authority by a Democrat.  

            Burke has been a favorite of Republicans and Conservatives for generations.

            The most important way to protect the environment is not to have more than one child.

            by nextstep on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:39:19 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  It may be the first time you've seen it (0+ / 0-)

              but it's not the first time it's happened, by far. Burke was one of the founders of political conservatism but he makes today's "conservatives" (and not a few Dems) look like fascists in comparison. He believed in a proto-welfare state, government investment and involvement in the economy, and equal justice for all. So if your entire argument is that because today's Repubs and pseudo cons claim him as one of their heros, then it's no argument at all.

              "Reagan's dead, and he was a lousy president" -- Keith Olbermann 4/22/09

              by kovie on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:51:05 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

          •  because commoners are dumb and the aristocrats who (0+ / 0-)

            represented them in Burke's time had much better sense than them. The people couldn't be trusted to rule themselves.

            "I join Justice Ginsburg's dissent in full." - Clarence Thomas in Philip Morris USA v. Williams

            by James Allen on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:42:48 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Commoners are dumb (0+ / 0-)

              That's why Republicans still get elected. I'd be much more comfortable with a Burke in office than your average Repub. Of course, I'd PREFER a progressive.

              This whole left/right good/bad dichotomy is frankly boring and unimpressive. Today's problems are less about left-right than about decent-corrupt. There are plenty of corrupt Dems, and while not many decent Repubs still exist, there used to be plenty of them. To compare today's Repubs to Burke is just silly.

              "Reagan's dead, and he was a lousy president" -- Keith Olbermann 4/22/09

              by kovie on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:53:55 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

      •  What is this nonsense?? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Matt Z
    •  Huh? (7+ / 0-)

      Love him or hate him, Mark Udall has been exactly the same politician since he ran for State House in 1996. He in no way was a "Boulder liberal" when he was in the House. From literally day one, he's been popular with moderates and a disappointment to liberals. I would venture to guess that if you put his voting record as a House member up against Ken Salazar's, it would be nearly identical.

    •  either you dont' follow CO politics or maybe you (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Lencialoo, bufffan20, LordMike

      haven't been here long but Udall has been the same forever.

      “Conservation… is a positive exercise of skill and insight, not merely a negative exercise of abstinence and caution…” Aldo Leopold

      by ban nock on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:41:11 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I fully expect Udall to outperform the polling (13+ / 0-)

    as Democrats did in 2008, 2010, and 2012 in Colorado.

    2008 President: Obama vs. McCain

    2010 Senate: Bennet vs. Buck.

    2010 Governor: Hickenlooper vs. Tancredo.

    2012 President: Obama vs. Romney.

    This may seem to be a close race to the end but I don't think Gardner ultimately gets within 5 unless this turns into a GOP wave year like 2010.

  •  K Buck vs C Gardner (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lencialoo, wader, ColoTim, bufffan20

    The 4 polls of K Buck this cycle have been -3%, -4%, -3% and -4%.

    The 2 polls of C Gardner this cycle have been -10% and -2%.

    Every time with M Udall leading over both. As expected C Gardner does not a real difference for the Republicans in this race.

    The race will be close as it was with K Buck.

  •  Oh boo hoo (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Cadillac64

    The Democrat has to spend money and work harder and talk up his values and Democratic values.

    Don't you get it?  That's what we need to do all the time.

  •  How many of these are there (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ColoTim

    nowadays, Kos's optimistic post notwithstanding?

    not a positive development for Democrats

    "Lone catch of the moon, the roots of the sigh of an idea there will be the outcome may be why?"--from a spam diary entitled "The Vast World."

    by bryduck on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 04:41:22 PM PDT

  •  Can someone explain to me... (0+ / 0-)

    ...why Cory Gardner is "teh awesome?"

    Is it simply because the warring wings of the GOP have "buried the hatchet" on this nomination and he is therefore something approaching "unstoppable?"

    Change does not roll in on the wheels of inevitability, but comes through continuous struggle. --Martin Luther King Jr.

    by Egalitare on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 04:46:32 PM PDT

    •  good looking, not stupid, knows how to shut up, (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      LordMike

      oil money, good on TV.

      Politically he's an oil company bought type. I'm not sure he has any ideology other than money. Tea partiers are better because they are wacko. Gardner is not wacko.

      “Conservation… is a positive exercise of skill and insight, not merely a negative exercise of abstinence and caution…” Aldo Leopold

      by ban nock on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:45:42 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Losing the Senate would be the height of (4+ / 0-)

    insanity for this country.

    The Republicans have dominated every battle, compromising everything which even sniffed of attempting to help create jobs, offer better coverage for healthcare insurance - even maintain the environment.

    Yet, people keep voting for the clear-messages of helping ONLY the wealthy by Republicans.  And, because FREEDOM, GAYS ARE BAD, WOMEN ARE SUBMISSIVE and NON-WHITES ARE SCARY.

    The media is highly complicit in allowing the acidic, criminal upside-down-is-really-up messages of Republicans sound as if they are merely rational points of view to consider, rather than demonstrably provable lies on behalf of a minority of the wealthiest power-brokers in the USA.

    But still, in this so-called Information Age, not all "information" is equal, obviously.  The Ted Koppel's of the world deserve no respect.

    Regardless, I'll still think unkindly of Republican voters in this next election.  They're taking the rest of us - and, even the world (from an environmental standpoint, at least) - down with them.  My kids don't deserve to suffer due to their fucking ignorance and/or selfishness.  And, in the case of my few Republican-voting relatives, it's all about selfishness.

    "So, please stay where you are. Don't move and don't panic. Don't take off your shoes! Jobs is on the way."

    by wader on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 04:48:09 PM PDT

    •  You do realize we have the White House (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bufffan20

      and the Senate? And that Obama won re-election 16 months ago in a "landslide"?

      New Republic: So are the left-wing blogs as bad as the Tea Party ones in this case? -------------------------Chuck Schumer: Left-wing blogs are the mirror image. They just have less credibility and less clout.

      by AlexDrew on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 06:27:42 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I'm talking about the Senate (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Lencialoo

        Even analyses at this site show we're in for a tough battle simply to retain that relatively benign majority.

        And, of course, we've no hope to gain the House due to years of gerrymandering that will need to be walked back, considering Democrats actually gained more votes in the last election and still lost the House by a good margin.

        "So, please stay where you are. Don't move and don't panic. Don't take off your shoes! Jobs is on the way."

        by wader on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 06:30:29 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Lemme guess (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ban nock

    Although hardly in the same category as deep red states that still haven't accepted the (only morally proper and historically accurate) outcome of the Civil War, Colorado continues to be fairly conservative, less because of racism (although no doubt there's much of that too, more against Latinos than blacks, but that too), than because it has a high population of gated community, suburban middle class white Reagan conservatives who feel that Democrats are all about taxing hard-working people to support their lazy supporters, while sipping lattes with their elite Boulder Trek-riding tree-hugging friends.

    I.e. a state with a high population of self-selected Glenn Beck fans.

    Teabaggers: middle class white idiots with a sense of entitlement.

    "Reagan's dead, and he was a lousy president" -- Keith Olbermann 4/22/09

    by kovie on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 04:53:46 PM PDT

    •  Close, but there's more (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Cadillac64

      Also many rural or people who come from rural whom the Dems have abandoned. Much less racism than you might think. We are Hispanic, we the state that is.

      “Conservation… is a positive exercise of skill and insight, not merely a negative exercise of abstinence and caution…” Aldo Leopold

      by ban nock on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:48:28 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Are there lots of GOP-voting Latinos in CO? (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Lencialoo, Cadillac64

        I find that hard to believe. Mostly the affluent ones who've been there for generations if not centuries, I'm guessing. I suspect that you're more on target with the rural voters. And I agree that Dems have sucked at appealing to them. Also working and middle class whites.

        "Reagan's dead, and he was a lousy president" -- Keith Olbermann 4/22/09

        by kovie on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:56:04 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Yes I know some, they aren't wealthy, just typical (0+ / 0-)

          suburban or working class people. Not a lot but for sure they are a demographic.

          Working class whites vote Dem more than any other white demographic.

          “Conservation… is a positive exercise of skill and insight, not merely a negative exercise of abstinence and caution…” Aldo Leopold

          by ban nock on Wed Mar 19, 2014 at 06:02:03 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Keystone XL (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    ColoTim, LordMike

    Mark Udall has opposed KXL.
    Coloradans support KXL 3 to 1.

    A recent survey indicated that if Obama blocks KXL, this issue may shift a sufficient number of votes in a purple state to give the edge to Gardner.

    http://thecoloradoobserver.com/...

    The poll was done when Ken Buck seemed most likely to be Udall's opponent. Gardner has higher positives.

    Take a look at recent Australian politics and ask how much KXL is worth.

    •  I would say that's BS. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Lencialoo

      Udall just needs to talk about how KXL would f' with the winter tourism industry via global warming and exacerbate forest fires. Udall has more to lose by supporting it if he doesn't drive up numbers in Denver and Boulder county. Do we really think CO Springs and Douglas will vote for Udall if he supports KXL??? No. So, no........

      No snowflake in an avalanche ever feels responsible.

      by Magster on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:05:09 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Tipped for your putting forward the idea, but (6+ / 0-)

      the exact opposite is the case with the ACA.  Udall has been supportive of it (though not full-bore public option) and Colorado has been able to implement it somewhat successfully and tens of thousands of Coloradans (maybe more) now have health care where they didn't before.  Gardner has voted 50+ times to take that away from them.  

      There's also going to be a measure on the ballot to allow cities to ban fracking within their city limits (I think it's going to be on the ballot, anyway) and that ought to draw out some of the anti-frackers to the polls to counter all the drill-baby-drill crowd that wants Keystone XL.

      It will be a close race, but I still like Udall's chances.

      •  Good point... (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike, Cadillac64, TheDudester, ColoTim

        Many more voters in Colorado do care about our natural resources and realize that water for fracking is going to be a big issue.  Gardner is all about supporting the oil and gas industry, that's where most of his $$ is coming from.  His wife works to "educate" the public on the virtues of the industry.  

        Confucius say: "Man who want pretty nurse, must be patient."

        by Lencialoo on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 06:25:33 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Do you have a link/info for fracking measure? (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Lencialoo

        That must be making Hickenlooper cry to sleep every night.

        "Then why don't all girls belong to unions?" "Well, there's some that thinks it ain't fashionable; there's some that thinks it ain't no use; and there's some that never thinks at all."

        by Cadillac64 on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 09:34:27 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  A number of communities have banned fracking.... (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Cadillac64, bufffan20, ColoTim

          Hopefully more communities put it on their ballots. Gov. Hickenlooper is an okay governor but I don't like how he is handling the fracking issue, that's one area I disagree with him.

          Confucius say: "Man who want pretty nurse, must be patient."

          by Lencialoo on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 10:45:17 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Hickenlooper DRANK the fracking fluid! ~DINO~ (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Lencialoo

            Literally! Testified about it to the Senate.

            He opposed Amendment 64, marijuana legalization.

            Dec, 2012: The State won't sue The City of Longmont over their fracking ban!

            July, 2013: Ummm, talked to my bosses ...

            The governor’s office did not immediately offer comment Thursday, but Matt Lepore, director of the COGCC, told The Independent that the state entered the suit at the request of the Colorado Oil and Gas Association, an industry trade group.
            Despite our supposedly sunny economy, he succeeded in failing enough to sell off Highway 36.  Privatizing Pinnacol Insurance, remember that great policy priority?

            He's only one dark bottle of Hair Club For Men different than Scott Walker & he needs to take that oil industry job he's been working for & get out of the way for a different candidate.

            Colorado deserves better, and Hick is hurting the rest of the ticket.

            "Then why don't all girls belong to unions?" "Well, there's some that thinks it ain't fashionable; there's some that thinks it ain't no use; and there's some that never thinks at all."

            by Cadillac64 on Wed Mar 19, 2014 at 12:06:09 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I agree.... (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              Cadillac64, ColoTim

              Colorado does deserve better....at this point I'll go with picking my poison, watching the GOP debates didn't leave me with the warm fuzziness for anyone running against Hick so I'll stick with him.

              Confucius say: "Man who want pretty nurse, must be patient."

              by Lencialoo on Wed Mar 19, 2014 at 12:38:19 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Apologies - the rant was directed at the stars ... (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                ColoTim, Lencialoo

                ... not at you personally.  I've never voted GOP and won't now but I'm still arguing with myself about giving Hick my vote.

                I'm devoting my energy to Udall. County Caucus on the 29th, and then lots and lots of grunt work to GOTV. I'm precinct captain and I didn't even get a shiny badge or anything swaggy.

                "Then why don't all girls belong to unions?" "Well, there's some that thinks it ain't fashionable; there's some that thinks it ain't no use; and there's some that never thinks at all."

                by Cadillac64 on Wed Mar 19, 2014 at 02:00:40 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

  •  Udall the Grand Bargainer (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    dfarrah, Cadillac64

    Udall went on a big Grand Bargain kick immediately after becoming a senator. He got approving pats on the head from Lawrence Kudlow and couldn't resist the TV Luv.

    Udall and Bennet consistently acted like Third Way, Fix the Debt Dems who couldn't hold a principle if their life depended on it.

    Udall also proposed a "Balanced Budget Amendment" to the Constitution, which 99.999% of Americans know is pure bullshit.

    Those moves were stupid then, and they're stupid now, and this congenital defect of elected Dems to immediately triangulate to the Right should by now be thoroughly discredited.

    He has a few months in which he can somehow regain some Democratic credibility, but his previous acts have surely hurt him among moderates and just as surely did not help him among Colorado's Rabid Republicans.

  •  I just don't see it (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lencialoo, Cadillac64

    Even in a mid term, the state that voted in a landslide to legalize pot is not going to vote for a republican.

    •  Turnout. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Lencialoo, dfarrah

      A Dem should put un-legalizing pot on the ballot to drive up turnout.

      No snowflake in an avalanche ever feels responsible.

      by Magster on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:19:01 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  He's also a social conservative. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Cadillac64

      Very anti-choice, most likely anti-pot, seemed to be pro-secession (although I'm not sure if he actually came out and said he supported it point blank).

      The thing that concerns me is he's a lot like Ken Buck without the stench of being totally bat-shit insane.

    •  Except that (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Cadillac64, bufffan20, jncca

      a lot of Republicans like their pot, at least in the western US (especially the libertarian/Paulist/black helicopters types). Check out the county-by-county map of Colorado and the legalization initiative in 2012: 'yes' was a majority in a lot of the typically red counties (Weld Co., and a lot of the small counties west of the Rockies). (You can see the same geographic pattern in Washington too, where pot legalization passed with a bigger percentage than same-sex marriage.)

      Editor, Daily Kos Elections.

      by David Jarman on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 10:22:57 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Is there any good news this year for Dems? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike

    It seems like things are going downhill for this country.  I was euphoric after Obama and the Dems won big in 2008, relieved that they pulled out in 2012 but now it seems like the Republicans are going to once again ride out another wave like they did in 2010 and make a situation that has been pretty miserable since 2011 even more miserable. ugh  Feeling a little demoralized right now. :(

    •  We'll probably gain governors... (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      katesmom, LordMike, Cadillac64

      2 net gain most likely.  Florida, Penn, Maine...  Might lose Illinois.  Heck, we may even win Wisconsin, Arizona or Michigan.

    •  Yes: (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      bufffan20, LordMike, Cadillac64

      Michelle Nunn and  Allison Grimes are still ahead.  Obama's numbers are going up (slowly) as are the The ACA. Demos are actually either ahead or even on the generic ballot.
      If I recall they were 10-12 points behind in 2010. This "so called tidal wave" is becoming a slight wave. Of  course things can change either way.

      a long habit of not thinking a thing WRONG, gives it a superficial appearance of being RIGHT, and raises at first a formidable outcry in defense of custom.

      by Jamesleo on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 07:43:22 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The 10-12 points behind generic ballots... (0+ / 0-)

        ...only showed up in September.  In March, were were still pretty even on the generic ballot, like now.

        "I know you cannot force people to care. Ukraine is far away for many, all have own problems. But even if cynical, realize problem will grow. It isn't only people like me, raised in a dictatorship, who don't want it to happen to others"-Gary Kasparov

        by LordMike on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 08:50:25 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  No mention on here of the mail in which as I (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike

    remember goes out to everyone this year. Should help Dems.

    “Conservation… is a positive exercise of skill and insight, not merely a negative exercise of abstinence and caution…” Aldo Leopold

    by ban nock on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 05:51:39 PM PDT

  •  Gardener has his negatives also (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Lencialoo, LordMike, Cadillac64

    Caught on tape saying he doesn't support people with pre existing conditions being covered by healthcare and he has endorsed the personhood amendment which was rejected twice by Coloradans by over 70% each time. Udall has been a good Senator for Colorado and should win in November.

    •  Isn't Colorado like Virginia (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Lencialoo, bufffan20, LordMike, Cadillac64

      trending blue each election year. Latinos will make up 12-145 of the electorate. Lots of environmentalists and single women.I have never been to Ft. Collins but my son tells me its a very progressive city. How representative is it of Colorado I can't say.

      a long habit of not thinking a thing WRONG, gives it a superficial appearance of being RIGHT, and raises at first a formidable outcry in defense of custom.

      by Jamesleo on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 07:45:54 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Yes, Colorado trends more blue each election (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        LordMike, Cadillac64, Lencialoo

        Mainly if Dems get out the vote in the Denver metro area the Dem candidate will win. Plus the Colorado gop is a radical fringe mess. Plus Gardener has never run a statewide campaign, he has only won in a safe r district. It will be a hard fought campaign but Udall is up to the challenge.

        •  The Marijuana is filling up the coffers (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          LordMike, Lencialoo

          Is that going to be  a factor?  Also is Tom Tancredo becomes the GOP candidate for Governor, could that cause a backlash?

          a long habit of not thinking a thing WRONG, gives it a superficial appearance of being RIGHT, and raises at first a formidable outcry in defense of custom.

          by Jamesleo on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 08:56:20 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  It's true about marijuana taxes.... (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Cadillac64

            ...not sure it will help anything other than the projects that have been decided the money will go to.  It does however help politicians that have taken a stance for it because the majority of Colorado voted for legalization.

            Confucius say: "Man who want pretty nurse, must be patient."

            by Lencialoo on Tue Mar 18, 2014 at 10:39:08 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  It's tricky for Tancredo (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Cadillac64

            the people that support maijuana are not the base that would support him in a primary or even general election. Plus gop voters remember that Tancredo ran as an independent the last time he didn't get the nomination. That almost cost the gop major party status on the ballot.

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