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Rasmussen poll - calling "likely voters" found that PA's t bag and oil company governor Tom Corbett is trailing Democratic challenger Tom Wolf by 20 points...

14 % are still undecided.

This will be a very interesting November. I believe we will get a very high turnout because Corbett has destroyed so much of our state in so short a time.

Originally posted to old mark on Tue Jun 03, 2014 at 09:38 AM PDT.

Also republished by Philly Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (16+ / 0-)

    You look at some people and wonder how they found their way out of the birth canal....

    by old mark on Tue Jun 03, 2014 at 09:38:54 AM PDT

  •  PPP (6+ / 0-)

    PPP has similar numbers: 55 to 30.

    And Tom Wolf has very strong favorability numbers.

  •  gaining control of PA is so important:` (9+ / 0-)

    a big, blue leaning state that's been gerrymandered to an inch of its life.

    Schedule permitting, PROOF WILL BE PROVIDED ON HOW I AM BEING "CONSTANTLY CALLED OUT" AND "UNIVERSALLY RECOGNIZED" FOR BEING BAD. Moreover, the dossier on my activities during the Bush administration will have an appendix concluding that I am Wrong.

    by Inland on Tue Jun 03, 2014 at 09:49:26 AM PDT

    Recommended by:
    mconvente, gffish, Mostel26

    .... Keep on pounding the drum.

    Get rid of teabaggers By Any Means Necessary.

  •  Well within the margin of error... (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    onceasgt, mconvente, gffish, Mostel26

    ...says Karl Rove, world renowned mathematician.

  •  I suspect Rasmussen massaged those numbers (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    gffish, Mostel26

    for undecideds higher than they would be, meaning it's probably even worse for Corbett.

    "We need to put the jam on the bottom shelf where the little people can reach it.” - Ralph Yarborough

    by Zutroy on Tue Jun 03, 2014 at 10:58:07 AM PDT

  •  Wolf, please please say nothing about guns. (0+ / 0-)

    I've gone over this once before, but I'll say it again.

    We definitely are alabama sandwiched between pittsburgh & philly. We - every year - hunt deer on a magnitude that would poleaxe an iowan. For example, in all of iowa about 100K deer were culled last year. I'm in WMU 5c, which is allocated for 95K deer to be culled this year - down from 103K last year. Down from last year so as to bump the size of the statewide herd. Just my WMU matches their whole state.

    We all know about the presidential politics of virginia where dems try to sweep as many votes from the region around DC in order to overcome the huge swaths of sparsely populated counties downstate. It's the same mechanism here in PA - gain enough dem votes in pitts and philly to overcome the "alabama" red in the middle of the state.

    There are some issues that contain a number of dem dog whistles that simply don't match reality on the ground statewide.

    Require background checks on all guns purchased at gun shows and online.
    The law doesn't make any distinctions regarding location. The law makes distinctions regarding handgun vs long gun and regarding the seller. People in middle-pa are much more likely to have interacted with these laws and know them through experience, and thus will know right away that this dem dog whistle is cockamamie bullcrap.
    Require gun owners to report lost or stolen firearms, which often end up in the hands of criminals.
    To the extent this happens, it's a population-center focused event. However, it's not happening in the way that is implied by the phrasing of those words because the national average from time of purchase to time of crime is 11.1 years while the PA average is 11.3 years. link - page 8 The phrasing makes it sound like guns are just walking out of people's houses in criminal hands all the time - and the actual records of real world events simply doesn't match that fiction. Again, middle-pa folks would recognize such a campaign stance as something that involves the people at the edges of the state and so should be handled by the people at the edges of the state without inflicting anything on middle-pa.
    Lobby the federal government to reinstate the federal ban on dangerous assault weapons.

    Ensure the Pennsylvania State Police complement is fully staffed and put more troopers on patrol to keep our communities safe.

    Reward communities that maintain their own police force rather than shift responsibility to the State Police and the costs of protection to the state.

    These three deserve to be together because while they seem to play on feelings of current-fear and possible future-security, they also can be shown to have precious little effectiveness. So-called 'assault weapons' aren't at all as big of a problem as the nightly news will make you think they are. link page 4

    The communities that are covered by the PA state police aren't at all the source of crime in this state link page 10. I personally really dislike pie charts, but damn, it looks like Philly and Pittsburgh (dem strongholds) are the source of about 75% of gun crime in all of pennsylvania. And both of those cities have their own police force, so will not see more state police on patrol. Furthermore, as the source of about 3 of every 4 gun crimes in the state, Pitts and Philly probably shouldn't be rewarded for anything because clearly they aren't doing things all that well already.

    Equip law enforcement agents with better technology and equipment so they can operate more efficiently and effectively and share information and data across multiple agencies to keep the focus on eliminating crime at its source.
    Anyone else see shadows of 'police state surveillance'? It's becoming more and more of an issue, and in the wider open spaces of my rural extended family there is a definite "mind your own beeswax" social law that has consequences if violated.

    We definitely CAN have someone who doesn't ruffle the feathers of the middle PA and still carries progressive water. Just look at Mike Beebe of arkansas for example - 70% approval rating and still doing progressive things for arkansas.

    MLK Jr 1968 "Maybe we just have to admit that the day of violence is here, and maybe we have to just give up and let violence take its course. The nation won't listen to our voice - maybe it'll heed the voice of violence."

    by JayFromPA on Tue Jun 03, 2014 at 01:08:46 PM PDT

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