Democratic Party: 38 positive , 40 negative, -2
Barack Obama: 41 positive, 45 negative, -4
Republican Party: 29 positive, 45 negative, -16
Tea Party: 22 positive, 41 negative, -19
Republicans are in worse shape now than they were four years ago, too [...] Views of the Tea Party are even worse, with 22% seeing it in a favorable light and 41% in a negative one. In June 2010, the Tea Party’s fav/unfav was at a positive 34%-31%. That perhaps helps explain why Democrats in our current NBC/WSJ poll have a two-point advantage on congressional preference, 45%-43%, despite the brutal numbers for Obama. And then there’s this BIG difference: At this point in 2010, Democrats had a narrow congressional-preference lead with women (44%-43%), and the GOP had a significant advantage with white women (51%-36%). Now? Democrats hold a double-digit with all women (50%-38%), and white women are pretty much a jump ball (GOP 45%, Dems 44%). As we’ve said before, female voters -- and female candidates -- are likely to decide the outcome of the midterm elections and specifically control of the U.S. Senate.For the math lazy among us, that's an 11-point gain among all women, and a 14-point gain among white women. More evidence of the power of the woman vote this year?
Democratic U.S. Rep. Bruce Braley leads Republican state Sen. Joni Ernst 44 percent to 40 percent in Iowa's U.S. Senate race, a poll released this morning by Quinnipiac University shows [...]GOP tokenism doesn't work. I like to say, "If the Democratic base turns out, we win." We may be able to simplify that further: "If women turn out, we win."
Women back Braley 47 percent to 36 percent, while men back Ernst 44 percent to 40 percent.