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I was doing a little investigative hunting this evening, partially because insomnia has kicked in. Seems that the turning point in the national polls for Obama were (and this is approximate) on July 8th of 2013. It was on this day and possibly this week, that he went from net favorable to net negative in almost all polling. Why? Staying marginally favorable, despite the election wind-down and international nonsense, it looked like smooth sailing to 2014 and the upcoming elections.
This was the day that Obama made the monumental error of announcing a delay in the implementation of certain aspects of Obamacare. Instead of talking about the GDP growth of 2.0%, which was the highest it had been in 5 years, and the deficit reduced to pre-2008 levels, the media chose to laser focus in on the delay of the employer mandate of the healthcare law. Republican doomsayers and right wing blogs were on fire. FOXNews was apoplectic. They couldn't decide whether they were happy or sad that employers got a break (after all, they are the employment engines of our economy). Instead of appeasement, they saw it as failure. There was no winning with them. And since, the President has not regained the approval numbers necessary to help Democratic candidates this November. Once again the negative cloud of Republicanism hangs over 2014.
Maybe after the Republicans self immolate with impeachment matches and gerry-cans full of lawsuits, Americans can reward Barack Obama with the positive approval numbers he deserves.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Iraq Exploding & All The Old Architects Appearing (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Had Enough Right Wing BS

    on every station 24/7 didn't help.  

    Then there's always our trusty media who feel compelled to provide a megaphone for Dick & Lizzie Cheney......again.  

  •  I fear that we'll not do well in the midterms (0+ / 0-)

    in which case whoever takes over from Obama in 2016 will start off with a handicap (presuming that it will be a Dem)

    We're shocked by a naked nipple, but not by naked aggression.

    by Lepanto on Fri Jun 27, 2014 at 09:55:49 PM PDT

  •  maybe (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    JamieG from Md

    maybe we might no do well then again .. we may do well enough to hold the senate.. which is starting to look more likely.. want that means for the future is anyone's guess.. hopefully we pull it out...

  •  A few things... (13+ / 0-)

    The first is when people say Obama is unpopular the first thing I say is compared to who?  Obama is by far the second most popular politician in the country.  Third place isn't even close.  I'd tell you who the first most popular is but that would open a whole new can of worms and this is not the best time for that.

    Second I'd also be curious to see what the cross tabs are in these polls.  My guess and my experience any time I bothered to look it up, is Obama's approval ratings are decent to good in most every blue to purple state but dragged down by insanely low ratings in the deep red Alabama's, Utah's, Kentucky's and the such.  When you look at it that way being stuck around 45% nationally ain't bad at all.  BTW, this was the same dynamic we saw in the last 2 elections.  It's why Mcain and Romney supporters were heartened by the "close" national polls which really weren't so close.

    And lastly I'd warn about reading too much into anything especially at this early juncture.  Right now people just put out a story that sounds acceptable at the moment and people nod their heads.  It doesn't matter that no ones paying attention yet.  It doesn't matter that Dems in states like NC, AK, KY, GA, LA, AR, OR (did I forget anyone)  all seem to be running pretty well.  And it doesn't matter that Republican Party favorability is at 30% when Obama's stuck at 45.  It also doesn't matter that the issues poll on our side and that demographics are all trending towards us.

    None of that matter because all of that is the NEW story and why figure that out when the old one is so comfortable.

    My prediction?  Dems will do way better then anyone is predicting now in November.  

    •  Dems are starting to somewhat sour on him. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      annecros

      His overall approval is 40/54 in latest NYtimes poll.
      http://graphics8.nytimes.com/...

      Foreign Policy
      http://www.nytimes.com/...

      New Republic: So are the left-wing blogs as bad as the Tea Party ones in this case? -------------------------Chuck Schumer: Left-wing blogs are the mirror image. They just have less credibility and less clout.

      by AlexDrew on Sat Jun 28, 2014 at 01:47:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Thanks for this (0+ / 0-)

      I'm so sick of the 'Democrat's are going to get their asses kicked' meme that I could scream.
      If they (we) can't run against the horrific record of the Boehner congress,the most unproductive and least responsive to the needs of Americans since the Reconstruction era,we have a serious problem.

      'The tyranny of the ignoramuses is absolute and inescapable' A..Einstein

      by unfangus on Sat Jun 28, 2014 at 02:22:02 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  The respondents to these polls (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    lordcopper

    would do well to consult with the 71% of Americans who supported Junior's invasion of Iraq in 2003.

    * User Hint: They can start by looking in the mirror, if they can stand the humiliation.

    Americans suffer from two chronic conditions: Gullibility and 'Decade Lag'.

  •  If You Like Your Insurance You Can Keep It (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    annecros

    I thought his numbers started dipping when that was exposed as untrue because people who had real shit insurance and were happy with it could not keep their shit insurance because of the ACA. I think that was layer than July of 2013 but it might have been around the same time.

    Of course the problem is that liberals don't like the ACA because of the lack of the public option. Moderate Democrats are ready to bail on it because they would rather lose not defending the ACA than defending it. So Obama is all alone in defending the ACA, which he doesn't do very well anyway.

  •  Any African American is going to have a "low (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Fabienne, unfangus

    ceiling" with regard to polling in the U.S.  In any poll, Pres. Obama loses almost all Republicans, and roughly 60% of white voters generally.  His situation is further complicated by losing a significant portion of the political Left.  The fact that he cracks 40% says that he's reaching an overwhelming majority of the rational and persuadable.

    "Because I am a river to my people."

    by lordcopper on Sat Jun 28, 2014 at 08:24:15 AM PDT

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