According to PPP, we're in for a long race here:
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
PPP's newest Louisiana poll finds a race largely unchanged from February: Mary Landrieu and Bill Cassidy are likely to advance to a December runoff, and that match up is a toss up. Landrieu leads with 44% for the November election to 27% for Cassidy, 8% for Rob Maness, and 5% for Paul Hollis. Neither of the Republican alternatives to the establishment candidate are gaining any steam.
Even with 17% of voters undecided it will be a pretty difficult road to 50% for Landrieu in the November election- she has only an 8% approval rating with those remaining undecideds, and they voted for Mitt Romney by a 70/14 margin in 2012. Most of those folks seem likely to end up deciding who to vote for in November between the trio of GOP hopefuls.
The likely Landrieu/Cassidy match up for the December runoff is tied at 47. Among those who support Maness or Hollis or are undecided for the November election, 68% move to Cassidy for December compared to only 11% who move toward Landrieu. Even though only 6% of voters are undecided in that match up, they don't set up great for Landrieu- 61% voted for Romney to 20% who voted for Obama, and she has a 14/65 approval rating.
Louisiana makes another state where voters aren't particularly thrilled with either of their major choices for the Senate. Landrieu has a 42/52 approval rating, but Cassidy isn't popular either with 28% of voters rating him favorably to 36% who hold a negative opinion. Cassidy's name recognition has increased 14 points from February, but his negatives have gone up by 10 points while his positives have gone up only 4 points. Overall the story here remains constant- it's looking like a very close race that will be going on for a long time. - PPP, 7/1/14
Also here's a glimpse at next year's Governor's race:
David Vitter continues to look like the early favorite in next year's race for Governor. He has solid approval ratings for his work in the Senate, with 48% giving him good marks to 35% who disapprove. In a match up with potential Democratic opponent John Bel Edwards, he leads big at 52/30. He would face tougher contests if he ended up in a runoff with fellow Republican Jay Dardenne, who he leads 40/34, or prospective Democratic candidate Mitch Landrieu, who he leads just 48/44.
Landrieu, with a 48/30 favorability rating, and Dardenne with a 36/20 favorability rating are both pretty popular among those familiar with them. Edwards starts the race out with low name recognition- only 32% of voters have an opinion about him one way or the other. Dardenne would lead Edwards 49/26 in a hypothetical contest but would only achieve a tie with Landrieu at 43%. - PPP, 7/1/14
A tough race for sure but we can still hold onto this seat if we get our base out to the polls. Click here to get involved and donate to Landrieu's campaign:
http://www.marylandrieu.com/