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A few weeks ago, someone in the DKE page asked who we thought were future higher office holders. I thought to instead make a diary of it so others can use it for future reference. I would encourage you to do your own states, if anything to prevent me from having to do 49 more of these! And also because you live in your own state so you know the environment there better than I do.

Read below the fold to get a feel of the hot stars in South Carolina Democratic politics right now.

I will organize this by tiers and use my own opinions, and please take note that this is all hypothetical and no guarantees (but I wish!).

For those who aren't familiar with South Carolina's political geography, I will try to summarize it as best as I can.

Democratic strength resides in two of the most heavily populated counties being Richland County , containing the capital city of Columbia, and Charleston County, containing the city of Charleston.

There are also many small rural counties that are Democratic bastions across the state in which all office holders in those small counties are Democrats, most notably Lee County, Chester County, Allendale County, Jasper County, McCormick County, Calhoun County, Williamsburg County, and Darlington County just to name a few.

There are also areas across the state where conservative Democrats can still win down ballot races such as Chesterfield County, Abbeville County, Barnwell County, and Union County.

Then there are counties that have a large African American population that are reliably blue, most notably being Orangeburg County and Fairfield County.

Republicans are strong in the Upstate region with the deeply red and heavily populated counties of Greenville County, Spartanburg County, Oconee County, York County and Anderson County.

Republicans also do well along the coast, and have a strong presence in Horry County,  which is home to Myrtle Beach, and Beaufort County.

And despite Columbia being a Democratic epicenter, the counties close to Richland County are deep red such as Lexington County, Newberry County, and Laurens County.

I hope that I gave you an idea to where the Democratic base is in SC and I hope it will help you understand the people who I've organized into tiers.

Top Tier Candidates:

Rep. James Smith
State Rep. James Smith
Meet State Rep. James Smith. He has served in the state house for several years and has proven to be a leader despite being in the minority party. He has held Governor Nikki Haley accountable for her mishandling of DSS and has led the effort for progressive policies despite South Carolina being such a conservative state. He represents a portion of Columbia and is our best candidate for Governor in 2018 if Vincent Sheheen is unsuccessful. He has a strong military background and is well liked by both Democrats and Republicans in the state house and is the future of our party.
State Rep. Mandy Powers Norrell
Meet State Rep. Mandy Powers Norrell. Mandy is perhaps one of the most personable members of the legislature. I have enjoyed keeping up with her on social media and I had fun talking to her at the annual Clyburn Fish Fry. She represents Lancaster County, which is right outside of Rock Hill. She has led many bipartisan efforts in the state house. I could definitely see her running for statewide office in 2018. A Smith-Norrell ticket for Governor and Lt. Governor would be ideal.
Elizabeth Colbert Busch
Most of you will remember Elizabeth Colbert Busch, the sister of comedian and fellow SC native Stephen Colbert. She ran in the competitive special election to replace Tim Scott in the 1st congressional district against a scandal-plagued Ex-Governor Mark Sanford. The results of this election were disappointing, and I blame it on the race becoming too nationalized which enabled Sanford to tie her into national party figures like Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama who are unpopular in that conservative coastal district. She told me at the state party convention "this isn't the last you'll hear from me", and what I interpreted that to mean is she will run against Sanford again in 2016 when hopefully the political environment will be better for her.
State Sen. Thomas McElveen
State Sen. Thomas McElveen represents the Sumter and Kershaw area in the state senate and is a practicing attorney. He is also the son of the mayor of Sumter, Joe McElveen. He hails from a family with long political ties to SC and I wouldn't be surprised if he threw his hat in the ring for Congress or another state executive office.
House Minority Leader Todd Rutherford
House Minority Leader Todd Rutherford has proven to be a great leader in the legislature and has held Governor Haley accountable for her corrupt administration. He represents a portion of Columbia. He is doing a great job managing the House Democratic Caucus and I could see him being a future office holder one day.

2nd Tier:

State Rep. Russell Ott
State Rep. Russell Ott is the son of longtime Ex-House Minority Leader Harry Ott. He won a special election last year to replace his father after he resigned and is a young, fresh face in the legislature. He represents parts of Calhoun, Lexington, and Orangeburg counties. I believe he, much like his father, will try to move up in the ranks of party leadership and eventually who knows where he will end up.
State Rep. Mia McLeod
State Rep. Mia McLeod is one of the most popular members of the legislature. She was considered as a potential candidate for Lt. Governor this year but she didn't want to run against fellow house member Bakari Sellers in the primary. She is another Democrat representing a portion of the Columbia area. Mia is someone I can see running for the 6th congressional district once Jim Clyburn retires. Until then I believe she will continue to represent her house district in the legislature.
State Rep. Leon Stavrinakis
State Rep. Leon Stavrinakis was largely considered to be a candidate for Governor until Vincent Sheheen threw his hat back in the ring. Other than state executive office, I could see him running for state senate in his Charleston area seat, or even replacing Joe Riley as Mayor of Charleston whenever he retires. Either way, this isn't the last time you'll see his name.
State Rep. Beth Bernstein
State Rep. Beth Bernstein is a well known figure in Columbia. Her parents were involved in politics in the area for a long time, and she is a practicing attorney at a well known law office there. She is also the only Jewish member of the legislature and that makes her unique in her own right. She represents a swingy house seat that has been held by both parties and I think that can help her in higher offices in which she will need Republican crossover votes.
Attorney Preston Brittain
Some of you may remember Attorney Preston Brittain from his run for Congress in the newly created 7th congressional district back in 2012. There was a lot of drama in that Democratic primary that I really believed cost Preston the win. In case you don't remember, there were three frontrunners, Preston Brittain, State Rep. Ted Vick, and college professor Gloria Tinubu. If you don't remember, Ted Vick was arrested for a DUI and was caught with a much younger not-his-wife woman about a month before the primary, and he dropped out of the race but still remained on the ballot. This left Brittain and Tinubu. Brittain was a way better fundraiser than any of the other candidates and was young and had many connections throughout the district, and Tinubu was seen as a carpetbagger from Georgia, so naturally the state party got involved and endorsed Brittain. The primary came along and Tinubu won but the state party argued that the election wasn't valid because Vick's name remained on the ballot despite dropping out of the race, and potentially taking away votes that would have otherwise went to Brittain. A judge announced a recall election between the two and Tinubu won again and then lost the general by 10 points in the state's only swing seat. I hope Brittain decides to make another run for Congress or run for local office because we need to compete in his area.

3rd Tier:

State House Candidate Tombo Hite
Attorney Tombo Hite is one of my favorite Democrats the party has running for state house this cycle. He is running in an Abbeville centered district that his very Democratic down ballot and I really believe he will win this fall. He is young, attractive, and an all-around great guy. He really is the future of our party and could make a run for Congress or even Governor in the years to come. I can't wait to canvass for him. If you like contributing to state legislative races, I would send your campaign dollars to him to really see someone succeed in future statewide offices.
State House Candidate Joe McCulloch
Joe McCulloch is a well known attorney in the Columbia area and is running again for a state house seat that he lost back in 2012. It was announced that he had won the tight race on election night but about 300 ballots were "miraculously" found in a closet and his Republican opponent had won instead. So he's back for a rematch in what I believe is the Democrats easiest pickup opportunity so send your campaign dollars to him as well if you want to see progress made in the state house in a sort of allegiance the moderate republicans and democrats have created against the Tea Party crazies.  
Richland County Probate Judge Amy McCulloch
Amy McCulloch is the Probate Judge for Richland County and the wife of the above mentioned Joe McCulloch. South Carolina doesn't exactly have any power couples in politics, but these two come the closest in my mind. I can definitely see these two flip flopping elected positions as election cycles pass by and who knows maybe we'll have our first husband and wife serving together in the legislature.
Richland County Treasurer David Adams
David Adams is the popular Treasurer for Richland County. He just survived a nasty primary against a state representative yet still managed to get 57% of the vote. To me that speaks volumes about his support and electability. I can see him moving up into higher offices throughout future cycles or maybe he could even run for Columbia Mayor.
Richland County Councilman Seth Rose
Seth Rose currently serves as a well liked Richland County Councilman. He is young and there is a lot of time for him to work his way into higher offices, maybe running for state house first, then moving up into other offices.

So as you can see, the Democratic Party has a future here in South Carolina. It has plenty of rising stars from all races, genders, and backgrounds and is going to thrive for years to come.

Do you have anyone else in mind as well that I didn't include? Leave me a comment and let me know why.


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Comment Preferences

  •  Excellent work. As a North Carolina resident (9+ / 0-)

    I will pay attention to our neighbor from now on.

    Would you have a list of twitter handles for these people? I would love to follow them.

    •  Here are a few (10+ / 0-)


      David Adams and ECB are only on Facebook to my knowledge.

      18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04 (Gowdy). "You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one." - John Lennon

      by SCDem4 on Fri Jul 18, 2014 at 09:14:16 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Awesome diary (5+ / 0-)

      A lot of time I tend to discount politics on a state and local level in states that are pretty red in presidential elections so this was an eye opener for me to see so many Dems really making a difference in a red state.

      South Carolina has been red in presidential policis for decades but the winning margins by the GOP are dropping as time goes by, drivne by demographic changes and folks moving there from across the country.

      Check these totals out of the winning margins by the GOP in the last three presidential races:

      2004 - 276,000
      2008 - 172,000
      2012 - 206,000

      Clearly the trends re going our way, but it will still take three more presidential cycles before you see South Carolina going blue, however, you might begin to see some Dems able to win statewide office as the margins between the parties continues to shrink.

      One interesting note - Romney's 200,000 vote margin in 2012 came in just 6 counties, and they are listed below with the margin Romney won teach county by:

      Greenville - 53,000
      Lexington - 42,000
      Horry - 30,000
      Spartanburg - 25,000
      Pickens - 22,000
      York - 21,000

      SC, can you share some light with us about the Greenville-Spartanburg area - why is that such a stronghold for the Republicans in presidential races?

      "The quote on the Statue of Liberty doesn't say 'give me your english-speaking only, Christian-believing, heterosexual masses'

      by unapologeticliberal777 on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 07:02:52 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Honestly (4+ / 0-)

        there are about 30,000 unregistered black voters in Spartanburg, about 40,000 in Greenville. There in lies the problem for these areas, at least in my eyes.

        18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04 (Gowdy). "You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one." - John Lennon

        by SCDem4 on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 10:32:53 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  What issue(s) might the Democratic (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, SCDem4

          Party emphasize that might help motivate these 70,000 potential voters to get involved?

          70k wouldn't shift the state into the blue column in presidential races, but could make a huge difference down ticket.

          Some may have given up hope, others could just be waiting for our party to engage with them.

          You have introduced us to some fine Democratic rising-stars. I predict that the candidates with the best futures will be those who make themselves most relevant to the people who are not now involved at all.

          If your strategy depends on having fewer people show up to vote, that is not a sign of strength. That is a sign of weakness. President Obama

          by Had Enough Right Wing BS on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 01:31:59 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I think a lot of young minorities (2+ / 0-)

            are not voting, that needs to change.

            18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04 (Gowdy). "You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one." - John Lennon

            by SCDem4 on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 02:59:23 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  I still wonder if we need to adjust our (0+ / 0-)

              goals to be more relevant to those who don't bother to vote, or if we need to do a better job of explaining what we're trying to do.

              In any case, it seems as if many--yes, including far too many who have been challenged by prejudice--don't see voting as pertinent to their lives.

              I often ask, in "local flavor" type diaries if there are particular issues that cause antipathy among those who choose not to vote or otherwise limit their civic engagement. I don't know if I'm expecting to hear a pattern (e.g. "politicians don't care about people like me.") or if it would make more sense that, as has been said of families, we're all alike in our different ways.

              It just seems as if our winning edge is right there so often, but we can't (or don't bother to) appeal to a lot of our neighbors.

              It makes sense to me, though, that candidates may reap a greater reward by focusing their communications more toward those who have proven their willingness to opt out of involvement than toward someone like me; I will vote unless the odds that doing so would be fatal increase too much.

              I'm not talking about paying "lip service" to people, either. If we really want to represent the interests of the people, we have to figure out what those people want.

              Another factor is the unwillingness to trade a small block of voters for a larger one. this makes sense, as far as it goes. If we have conflicts among the members of our coalition we need to be aware of that fact. We'll never resolve what we try to pretend away.

              If your strategy depends on having fewer people show up to vote, that is not a sign of strength. That is a sign of weakness. President Obama

              by Had Enough Right Wing BS on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 03:54:27 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

        •  Yes, it could help us at the local level there (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:

          if only they registered.

          “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

          by KingofSpades on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 10:27:59 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Appalachia (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:

        They're the southeast corner.

        ME-01 (college) ID-01 (home) -4.75, -2.10

        by GoUBears on Mon Jul 21, 2014 at 06:53:03 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  Wow! (10+ / 0-)

    A headline I thought I'd never see . .
    (Never say never):  
    South Carolina Democratic Party Rising Stars

  •  Illuminating work. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Mopshell

    Does Sen. McElveen have any future?

    “The universe is big. It’s vast and complicated and ridiculous. And sometimes, very rarely, impossible things just happen and we call them miracles.” -The Doctor

    by KingofSpades on Fri Jul 18, 2014 at 09:13:00 PM PDT

    •  I would imagine so (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, Mopshell

      Other than Vincent Sheheen, he's the only young Democratic senator we have. Ironically they have bordering districts. I can see him running for Governor if the field was pretty clear.

      18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04 (Gowdy). "You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one." - John Lennon

      by SCDem4 on Fri Jul 18, 2014 at 09:26:49 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  small note on Horry County (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    While the GOP holds the municipal areas of the county, the rest of the county remains Democratic though traditionally conservative.  After all James Clyburn has represented the area for years now.
    The problem for Horry, and Marion and Dillon counties I would say is that the Democrats have not dealt with the problem of nepotism or with pruning their deadwood.  For an example, a long serving state legislator who retired a while back had a legislative record where the only legislation he ever proposed, other than congratulating various area sports teams on successful seasons, either benefited his family business or his cronies.  His family had suffered a series of economic missteps and lost much of their fortune but were able to repair their prospects during his tenure in office

    On the state level, I know this sounds corny, the SC Democratic Party needs to attract candidates who wish to serve the public for the right reasons as opposed to some of the entrenched DINOs there now      

    •  Clyburn doesn't represent any of Horry County... (8+ / 0-)

      And I don't know who you're referring to as DINO's but I would remind anyone that if they think a liberal democrat can win statewide in SC they're way off, this isn't California or New York. It takes a moderate democrat.

      18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04 (Gowdy). "You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one." - John Lennon

      by SCDem4 on Fri Jul 18, 2014 at 09:35:29 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  One of my biggest arguments with so many (0+ / 0-)

        Democrats running here is an insidious tendency to not put 'Democrat' in bold letters on campaign signs, if, indeed, they put them on there at all. It may be that SC can elect a moderate Dem. On a state-wide level that has not been happening much lately, if at all. But what the voters dislike even more is Democrats who won't 'own' their party affiliation, as if they can be 'stealth-elected.' They can't.

        People may not like Democrats much, but they'll respect those who own the affiliation much more than those who run from it.

        "The opposite of war isn't peace, it's CREATION." _ Jonathan Larson, RENT -9.62, -9.13

        by BeninSC on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 03:04:34 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I would agree with this (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:

          I can't seem to remember a republican sign that didn't say something along the lines "conservative Christian republican". We may not like them but at least they wear their brand. I've noticed Democrats lines like "centrist" or "independent voice" and I'm okay with that.

          18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04 (Gowdy). "You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one." - John Lennon

          by SCDem4 on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 03:59:02 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  They can use whatever 'voice' they want, but one (0+ / 0-)

            of the biggest obstacles to getting elected is the number of people walking into the polls and punching a straight 'R' ticket. They can run as 'independents,' if they can get enough petition signatures, but I wouldn't be optimistic about their prospects. Maybe we'll get some insights into this with Ravenel. (I had to laugh, they talk about him being an embarrassment, but they didn't talk that way when he was convicted, as a REPUBLICAN. The hypocrites.)

            You are quite correct, many of their signs do not JUST say Republican, they also add similarly abhorrent adjectives, that would engender great SHAME if I claimed them. But I don't. I am an SC Democrat, but not a moderate one. Of course, I am not running for office, either.

            "The opposite of war isn't peace, it's CREATION." _ Jonathan Larson, RENT -9.62, -9.13

            by BeninSC on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 04:12:28 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  Horry County is almost uniformly Republican (5+ / 0-)

      James Clyburn never represented any part of it, and in any case, Clyburn represents quite a few small patches of Republican territory that's neutralized by the rest of his district.

  •  I doubt Colbert Busch is running again (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, gabjoh, pademocrat

    It would be suicidal for her to run in SC-01 in 2016. The only reasons SC-01 was even on the table during the special election were the initial shock of Mark Sanford returning to politics and special election turnout dynamics. In a general election, SC-01 is a straight-ticket Republican district, as suburban districts in the South tend to be. And now that Sanford has actually won and has tried to keep a low and cooperative profile (as opposed to his previous abrasive style that made even Republicans hate him), attacks on his infidelity will have diminishing returns. It's somewhat analogous to David Vitter in 2010: both Sanford and Vitter will remain the butt of jokes forever, but they're safe because of their electorate.

  •  Excellent diary (7+ / 0-)

    One question: Can you please remind us in what way Governor Haley mishandled the Department of Social Services? (I had to do a web search on DSS South Carolina to understand what that abbreviation meant, by the way.)

    Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

    by MichaelNY on Fri Jul 18, 2014 at 10:58:48 PM PDT

  •  Thank you for this diary (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Intheknow, Mopshell, SCDem4

    I always love hearing about our nation's, our Party's future leaders.

    "In a country well governed, poverty is something to be ashamed of. In a country badly governed, wealth is something to be ashamed of.” -Confucius

    by pierre9045 on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 04:55:29 AM PDT

  •  I noticed (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    that the vast majority of the people on your list are white. In a state where African-Americans make up more than half of the Democratic voters, shouldn't we be trying to get them into leadership positions as well?

    And it's not like South Carolina can't elect an African-American. They're about to have an all-African-American Senate election this fall. Who would have thought 150 years ago that that would ever happen?

    (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

    by ProudNewEnglander on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 08:33:17 AM PDT

    •  I noticed that too. (0+ / 0-)

      Not only do we have a guaranteed African-American senator next year, but we also have an African-American running for lt. governor.

    •  being able to elect a black Republican is (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      different than being able to elect a black Democrat, which I doubt the state is about to do any time soon.

      We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

      by James Allen on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 10:06:04 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Well the problem there resides in (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:

      the fact that most of our black legislators and other office holders are older and have held their offices for quite some time. This diary was dedicated to newer faces who can lead the party for years to come. Once those people retire I would expect some more rising stars!

      18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04 (Gowdy). "You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one." - John Lennon

      by SCDem4 on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 10:23:58 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Also, two quick notes (0+ / 0-)

    about your political geography section:

    1. York County is actually strongly Republican, voting 59 percent for McCain and over 60 percent for Romney. It includes lots of suburbs and exurbs of Charlotte.

    2. Fairfield County, north of Columbia, is actually majority-African-American and strongly Democratic. And in that category, you forgot about Williamsburg County.

    (-8.38, -4.72), CT-02 (home), ME-01 (college) "The needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few, or the one." -Spock

    by ProudNewEnglander on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 08:35:32 AM PDT

    •  I am always (0+ / 0-)

      mixing a few of these up with others that I have written down, thank you.

      18 year old gay Democrat living bright blue in deep red SC-04 (Gowdy). "You may say I'm a dreamer, but I'm not the only one." - John Lennon

      by SCDem4 on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 10:24:50 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  One of the things... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    ...that always troubled me about South Carolina is its so beautiful there. I've driven through it on I26 to visit family in NC and can't get over how such a nice place can be SO damned conservative! Your list gives some hope SC can be brought back from the edge. Perhaps a return to the 50-State strategy would help, no?

  •  Your diary is a really fine one, SCDem. (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    SCDem4, MichaelNY

    The information you provided is terrific, and your hosting of the diary impeccable! Very well done! And thank you!

    "The opposite of war isn't peace, it's CREATION." _ Jonathan Larson, RENT -9.62, -9.13

    by BeninSC on Sat Jul 19, 2014 at 02:51:50 PM PDT

  •  Nice work (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:

    This is a great rundown of SC politicos.

    25, male, gay, Atari Democrat. CA-41(former) CA-34(current)

    by lordpet8 on Mon Jul 21, 2014 at 12:08:23 AM PDT

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