This wasn't even a one-day joke; it got old before sunset, but posted this at 9am so I call shotgun:
--Off-Topic: Kirby Delauter.
Back on topic...
--Oregon: Exchange QHPs up to 75.7K; OFF-exchange: 40.7K
--Colorado: 113.8K QHPs, 37.5K Medicaid thru 12/31
--Massachusetts: 85K QHPs estimated, 153K Medicaid confirmed
--Michigan: ACA Medicaid expansion finally maxed out? Back down to 497K
It's impossible to know how close most of the HC.gov states are to their targets (either HHS's lowballed number or my own), but here's where things stand for some of the state exchanges (rule of thumb: except where noted, HHS is expecting QHP selections to reach about 30% higher by February 15th than they did last April 15th; I'm expecting them to hit 56% higher):
State |
Gov't Target |
Reached |
My Target |
Reached |
Colorado |
194K |
59% |
208K |
55% |
Connecticut |
100K |
85% |
114K |
75% |
DC |
14K |
107% |
16K |
94% |
Idaho |
99K |
75% |
120K |
62% |
Kentucky |
107K |
79% |
130K |
65% |
Maryland |
88K |
99% |
105K |
83% |
Massachusetts* |
42K or 200K* |
202% or 42% |
300K |
28% |
Minnesota |
67K |
46% |
75K |
41% |
Nevada† |
59K |
68% |
73K |
55% |
Oregon† |
89K |
85% |
125K |
60% |
Rhode Island |
37K |
64% |
47K |
50% |
Vermont |
38K |
63% |
44K |
54% |
Washington |
215K |
47% |
250K |
40% |
(Massachusetts has somewhere between 175K - 225K people in "temporary coverage" who mostly qualify for subsidized QHPs but were never able to make it through their old exchange; a straight +30% over last year's 32K would mean just 42,000 this year, but the state exchange expects somewhere around 200K. I shot even higher yet to a whopping 300K, which may have been overreaching just a tad but what the hell...)
†Nevada & Oregon are operating on the federal HC.gov exchange, but all enrollments this year are considered "new" for that reason--neither state is set up for automatic renewals, so whatever the number of 2015 enrollments is, that's all of them through that date.