Why Obama Lost PA (OK for real this time!)
by El Zmuenga
Wed Apr 23, 2008 at 09:23:49 PM PDT
While a preliminary examination of the data tells us a part of the story of last nights contentious contest, a more extensive analysis tells us quite a different story.
If you extrapolate the particulars referenced on chart A6, (crosstab 7), you can see that Obama increased his appeal with suburban, vegetarian nudists by a factor of 1.8706. By the same token it looks like Hillary is increasing her support with Presbyterian factory workers who live near lakes, she's gained nearly 20 points amongst that often overlooked, but critically important demographic. If you factor out the obvious oversampling of urban, post-modern, hypoglycemic Abercrombe and Fitch shoppers, it is obvious that the Feb 21 poll showing a 50+ Obama lead is pure bunk. They also failed to factor in the 6.9% increase in the birth rate of Districts 5 and 7, 1.0456% higher than the national average! Also Obama simply cannot win without at least a 4.67 lead amongst maschalophilous secular Buddhists, especially the legendary upstate contingent, they are are often undercounted but vote en masse. Ignore them at your peril.
~more below the fold
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