yours truly is back after a short hiatus… we need each other and we need to embrace this historical moment with maturity, humor and real data.
tweet me @drmito any relevant news and I'll post it
first my final swag… I'll send an identical shirt to whom guesses what it says in the back
the state of the polls today
WaPo/ABC tracking Poll +5
t's a 48-43 percent race between the two, with Clinton barely touching 48 percent by rounding in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. That said, it's her best result since Oct. 26, and Trump has held numerical advantages just twice, +1 on Oct. 30 and +2 last May.
this is a very good news as 1/3 of the results are based on LV who have already voted where Hillary is ahead 51-43 (+7)
now by demographics…. mis mujeres!!!!
n terms of vote preference, the gender gap has narrowed by dint of a closer contest among men, now 42-45 percent, Clinton-Trump. She leads by 12 points among women, courtesy of nonwhite women (85-9 percent) and college-educated white women (54-38 percent).
That said, a gender gap rages in one particular population –- 18-to-35-year-olds, known as themillennial generation. Millennial men divide evenly between Clinton and Trump, 39-39 percent, with 14 percent for Johnson, among his best groups. Millennial women, by contrast, support Clinton by a wide 62-27 percent.
my emphasis
Final Politico Poll +3
“While our final poll before the election shows a tight race, Clinton has maintained her small lead in our polling for weeks now," said Morning Consult Co-Founder and Chief Research Officer Kyle Dropp. "There is little that could swing voters now in the final hours leading up to Election Day.”
now, they have huge numbers fron Johnson and Stein, which I don't really believe: 12% combined…. I think that number will go down to mid single digits… and it will benefit more Clinton than Trump
demographics
The poll shows a shrinking gender gap in the final days of the campaign. Trump leads by just a single point among male voters, 44 percent to 43 percent. Clinton, meanwhile, has a 6-point lead among women, 47 percent to 41 percent.
I think this poll is a tad wimpy on the racial divide
I can't read more as it's behind a paywall
so...I got a preview os Scribd…. THIS is a nice find from this poll
I was hoping for a bigger first time voters… but I have nothing to compare Nationally… but 15% of those polled voted for Obama.
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