Disclaimer: This is intended to be a safe haven for Hillary Clinton supporters. While anyone can come and post here, we ask that any non-Clinton supporters be civil towards the rest of us, and we’ll do our best to reciprocate.
This has been a bit of a bumpy week. On the one hand, Hillary Clinton lost Michigan, a state that polling had her winning handily. On the other hand, she still met her delegate target, which means Bernie gained virtually no advantage other than (1) not falling behind even further and (2) media buzz, which is temporary. Furthermore, she absolutely blew him out in Mississippi, gaining 9 delegates above her target for a total of 32 to Bernie’s 4.
Still, the Michigan result adds a bit of uncertainty to the outcome of Super Tuesday. If polling is accurate, Hillary should cruise to a win in at least 4 of 5 states. However, if certain factors like demographics and open primaries are taken into account, Ohio is a toss-up and Illinois a narrower win. This election has cause me to age years, I tell you.
Even so, I’m cautiously optimistic that Michigan was a fluke. Michigan had not had a competitive primary for years, so any voter modeling was likely to be way off. Notable is the fact that polling has also been equally badly off in the opposite direction, constantly underestimating Hillary’s victories in Southern states by 20 and even 30 points. Where one poll had her winning by 40 points in Mississippi, she ended up winning by 66%. It would seem modeling of voter turnout was off there as well.
Now on to the good stuff! If you’ve been staying away from DailyKos, be sure to come back and read Lysis’s News & Views diaries, as well as anything from the Hillary Writers Circle. Some diaries include:
First Amendment: Powerful New Hillary Clinton Ad. Mothers of the Movement: “She has a heart to serve.”
floridageorge: The state of polling today: Hillary way ahead in FL, NY, MD, OH, IL, and nationally.
First Amendment: Clinton Increases Delegate Lead, +223. +4 Net Gain Per 538. Meets Michigan Target.
Normally I would then endorse #HillaryClinton and related hashtags, but I just couldn’t wade through them this week. There are about 20 poisonous diaries for every positive one. So instead, here are some diaries I recommend from my stream:
northanger: Hillary Clinton and ‘Throwing Like a Girl’
Scandalous One: Hillary Has Helped To Boost Our President’s Job Approval Rating!
Skywatch: Hillary Clinton on Path to Win Nomination by June
reesetheone: Robert Reich: Hillary wanted healthcare to be top priority, NOT NAFTA
There’s also a caucus today in the Northern Mariana Islands, with 6 delegates at stake. Hillary is thought to be favored.
As always, please consider donating to Hillary’s campaign. If you can’t afford to, see if you can find a friend or family member to contribute. Hillary’s donor base is at 920,000 and let’s see if we can keep it growing!
This is your open thread.
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