2010 Preview — Republicans still in delusion

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Sunday October 05, 2008 · 5:39 PM PDT

2008/10/05 · 17:39

I was reading a Politico article Dems could hit 60 Senate seats. The article is fine, and details how we have a half-decent chance of getting to 60. (Fivethirtyeight gives us a ±20% chance of doing so.)

In the last line of the story, the quote a McCain aide saying:

“2010 looks pretty good for us to pick up three or four or five seats pretty easily,” the McCain official said.

Really? Let's take a look.

***EDIT: the weird symbol in the poll was supposed to be a π***

Poll

91 votes Show Results

How many seats will the Dems pick up in 2010?

91 votes Vote Now!

How many seats will the Dems pick up in 2010?

Lose 4 or more

2 votes

Lose 3

1 vote

Lose 2

1 vote

Lose 1

1 vote

Nil

5 votes

27 votes

Ï€ (rounded down)

7 votes

19 votes

5 votes

9 votes

2 votes

0 votes

1 vote

10 or more

6 votes

If McCain steals the election...

irativesfo

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Friday September 19, 2008 · 4:44 PM PDT

2008/09/19 · 16:44

...It could end the union.

Seriously.

Let's say that McCain squeezes by in a squeaker where one or more decisive state (Ohio? Virginia? Colorado?) goes to him under shady circumstances: major voter suppression of minorities and students, long lines at urban polls whilst the suburbs are short (supposedly this has been mitigated in Ohio) or vote stealing or caging or something equally egregious. This has happened twice in the last eight years. In 2000, we didn't know just how bad Bush would be. In 2004, there wasn't as much passion about Kerry to try to make a big enough stink about it (and we didn't hold anything in congress anyway).

But this year is different. Much different. Obama has many very passionate supporters, the Democrats hold the congress, and if it appears that McCain has stolen the election, things could get very, very ugly.

Poll

207 votes Show Results

If McCain steals the election, will you take to the streets?

207 votes Vote Now!

If McCain steals the election, will you take to the streets?

Yes

162 votes

31 votes

No, because I am on the streets canvassing for Obama

14 votes

Who likes Whoppers? Palin does!

irativesfo

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Wednesday September 17, 2008 · 10:15 PM PDT

2008/09/17 · 22:15

I had some photoshop fun tonight. The Whoppers is a bit small here; each Whopper has a separate lie on it as shown below. We could definitely make a Whopper box with John McCain on it, too. (You know, because we focus too much on Palin.) The Whoppers has an inset (stupid flickr won't upload bigger photos and I don't want to overtax my home server). Otherwise, enjoy!

I was eating Whoppers the other day and...

The inset is necessary...

And this might have been done, but I like my version's text:

That is all. Night!

Annotated transcript of Palin on "Bush Doctrine"

irativesfo

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Thursday September 11, 2008 · 5:58 PM PDT

2008/09/11 · 17:58

You really need to watch this about four times — it keeps getting funnier/scarier:

Following is my annotated transcript. Frankly, I wonder if she'll be on any news shows any time...ever?

Poll

214 votes Show Results

Sarah Palin gets an

214 votes Vote Now!

Sarah Palin gets an

A for effort

10 votes

5 votes

30 votes

19 votes

F -

99 votes

See me.

46 votes

Things closer to me than Russia to Wasilla

irativesfo

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Friday September 05, 2008 · 10:33 PM PDT

2008/09/05 · 22:33

There's a great site called the Great Circle Mapper where you put in two locations and it tells you the distance from one to the other (using airport codes). Since Sarah Palin has foreign policy experience because Alaska is close to Russia, I'd decide to go ahead and see what kind of accolades I could heap on myself.

And we'll find out a bit about this part of [scary, scary, help PUTIN!!] Russia Sarah with which has so much experience.

irativesfo

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Tuesday September 02, 2008 · 4:35 PM PDT

2008/09/02 · 16:35

I thought, as a public service to the community, I'd do the same for Joe Biden that has been done for Sarah Palin.

Basically, what follows is a list of all of the oppo research which has come about about Joe Biden since he was nominated. And boy is it a doozy.

Ready? Here it is:

Yup. That's right. Nothing.

Poll

728 votes Show Results

(from his persepctive) John McCain deserves a(n) ... for his Veep pick

728 votes Vote Now!

(from his persepctive) John McCain deserves a(n) ... for his Veep pick

83 votes

8 votes

10 votes

43 votes

64 votes

F -

113 votes

F -------------------

407 votes

Romney or Pawlenty — here are the new logos!

irativesfo

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Thursday August 28, 2008 · 9:19 PM PDT

2008/08/28 · 21:19

One heckuva speech by Obama. For some reason I got the idea today to make bumper stickers / campaign signs for McCain and Pawlenty and McCain and Romney.

Perhaps it is the fact that I biked by the Minnesota governor's mansion where news vans outside. I'm just excited about getting one of these two (most likely) to wail on. It won't be hard. One the one hand we have Tim Pawlenty, whose main claim to fame was watching a bridge fall down as he refused to pay for infrastructure. On the other hand, Mitt Romney, who is the only guy who makes McCain look poor (downright middle class!).

Versus Joe Biden? Puh-leez. So here are my crappy photoshop attempts at their campaign logos-to-be...

Poll

84 votes Show Results

Who will win the R-Veepstakes

84 votes Vote Now!

Who will win the R-Veepstakes

Pawlenty

42 votes

Romney

26 votes

Aw, hell, no one else is over 5 on Intrade, but click here if you think it will be someone else.

16 votes

The Obama campaign's PERFECT timing

irativesfo

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Saturday August 23, 2008 · 9:37 AM PDT

2008/08/23 · 09:37

This was really a thing of beauty. I have been absolutely amazed at how the Obama campaign has somehow had four straight news cycles going in to the convention with almost perfect news stories: two days of House-gate to get people pissed at McCain, and two of Biden to get everyone fired up (and while it's a conservative choice, it sure seems to be a good choice).

But the most amazing part is that, down to the minute, the timing has been almost completely perfect. Follow me along...

irativesfo

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Friday August 22, 2008 · 5:36 AM PDT

2008/08/22 · 05:36

On Minnesota Public Radio this morning. For months the narrative has been that Norm Coleman is ahead by a few points and that Al Franken is too much of a clown to win.

Well, it seems that might not be the case.

Al Franken	41%
Norm Coleman	40%
Dean Barkley (I)	8%

That sounds like it's pretty much tied, right?

irativesfo

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Wednesday August 06, 2008 · 2:44 PM PDT

2008/08/06 · 14:44

This is short but it made me smile. I was getting a car washed today and was in line behind a couple people, one of whom was an in-uniform Saint Paul police officer. Now, there are several groups of people in cities which tend to be less liberal than the population as a whole: police officers and people getting their cars washed.

I'm not going to get in to why, and I know many liberal police and progressive people who take pride in a clean car. (I get cars washed for work, my own car, which I rarely drive, is a mess and I like it that way.) In any case, they had the following exchange (below the demarcation...)

irativesfo

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Tuesday July 29, 2008 · 5:01 PM PDT

2008/07/29 · 17:01

I wish I was like Ted Stevens. I really do.

Ted Stevens had hundreds of thousands of dollars of work done on his house, and he didn't pay for it. To be guilty of not disclosing gifts, all he'd have to do would be to not know that they had been doing it for free.

But he's innocent, is say, innocent! He's a victim!

“I am innocent of these charges and intend to prove that,” Mr. Stevens said several hours after the indictment was announced.

Poor thing. People just show up at his house and build decks and give him grills and all. I wish that would happen to me.

Poll

8 votes Show Results

Would you like to be like Uncle Ted?

8 votes Vote Now!

Would you like to be like Uncle Ted?

Yes

3 votes

5 votes

GOoPers way behind in $$$ — how many dems in House?

irativesfo

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Saturday June 14, 2008 · 9:47 PM PDT

2008/06/14 · 21:47

This causes me to smile:

WASHINGTON - House rank and file Republicans are tens of millions of dollars short of meeting fundraising targets set by their own campaign committee in advance of this fall's elections, according to figures circulating among the leadership, heightening concerns inside the party about major losses in November.

Heck it's probably been diaried, but it just makes me happy and I want to share the love.

Oh how it buoys my spirit

Poll

47 votes Show Results

Since predicting the house is a bitch, how many seats will the Republican's Senate Caucus have in January (assuming President Obama [say that three times] tells Lieberman to "go f*$k yourself")

47 votes Vote Now!

Since predicting the house is a bitch, how many seats will the Republican's Senate Caucus have in January (assuming President Obama [say that three times] tells Lieberman to "go f*$k yourself")

>50

2 votes

0 votes

2 votes

6 votes

7 votes

6 votes

7 votes

40 â€" filibuster-proof

2 votes

<39 â€" filibuster and Lieberman-proof

15 votes

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2010 Preview — Republicans still in delusion

If McCain steals the election...

Who likes Whoppers? Palin does!

Annotated transcript of Palin on "Bush Doctrine"

Things closer to me than Russia to Wasilla

While Palin is pilloried, here's what's come out about Biden

Romney or Pawlenty — here are the new logos!

The Obama campaign's PERFECT timing

Franken ahead — even with indie in race

Saint Paul cop: "Republicans the most condescending around"

I wish I was like Uncle Ted

GOoPers way behind in $$$ — how many dems in House?