MN-Sen 2008: Coleman's Up Next

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Monday November 13, 2006 · 1:14 PM PST

2006/11/13 · 13:14

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report - now with even more snarky wonkishness!

U.S. Senator Norm Coleman has made it clear that his vote is available to prevent deadlock in the Senate once Democrats take control in January. The writing is on the wall - Coleman is vulnerable in 2008, representing a state that kicked out Republican officials up and down the ticket and didn't give him 50% of the vote against a dead incumbent and a former VP thrown into the race at the last moment. In light of these factors, Coleman has flip-flopped on his party - all too happy to go with the flow when the Republicans have a majority, his vote is available to the Democrats when it's their turn in charge.
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MN-SOS: Petition Filed Against Kiffmeyer

jbnr51

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Sunday November 05, 2006 · 9:15 AM PST

2006/11/05 · 09:15

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report - tracking statewide and key local races on Election Day across Minnesota - keep in touch :)

A petition to correct Omissions and Wrongdoings was filed against Secretary of State Mary Kiffmeyer on Friday in the Minnesota Supreme Court. The complaint, filed by John Hottinger on behalf of several complainants, alleges several wrongdoings by Kiffmeyer related to the upcoming elections - Read More

Final Friday

jbnr51

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Friday November 03, 2006 · 7:31 AM PST

2006/11/03 · 07:31

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report - it's Minnesota-specific, but you could replace "Minnesota" with just about any state in the union, and it would still apply.

It occurred to me late last night that not only was yesterday the final Thursday before this crucial election, it was also the second anniversary of the 2004 election.

Some scars heal a bit funny.

As I stood in Boston's Copley Square two years and a day ago with my dejected teammates, I wondered where we went wrong, where things broke down, and where we would go from there. I was at a loss for what the future would bring. Terri Schiavo still lay in a vegetative state, New Orleans was whole, Mark Foley was happily chasing pages around the Capitol, and about two thousand brave American troops had not yet given their lives for a poorly-planned lie. Read More

MN-Gen: Who's Behind the Push-Polling?

jbnr51

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Monday October 30, 2006 · 2:00 PM PST

2006/10/30 · 14:00

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report - and this one is worth your attention so you can see the screen capture of the report cited below....

More details are emerging in the continuing story of push polling in the West Metro. I've obtained a full account of the contents of such a call from a recipient in Melissa Hortman's House district (47A):

Greetings and brief explanation
Are you voting for Tim Pawlenty, Mike Hatch, or Peter Hutchinson?
Are you voting for Melissa Hortman or Andrew Reinhardt?
Would you be more or less likely to vote for Melissa Hortmann if you knew she supports an increase in the gas tax?

jbnr51

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Thursday October 26, 2006 · 9:57 AM PDT

2006/10/26 · 09:57

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report

It's one thing to talk with candidates who are running against entrenched incumbents, attempting to change the status quo. It's another thing to speak with a candidate who has a victory in a special election and a legislative session under her belt. Nevertheless, that's what I did on Wednesday afternoon with Terri Bonoff, State Senator in District 43 (Minnetonka and Plymouth).

Terri Bonoff grew up in Edina, and later attended Clark University in Worcester, MA. After college she returned home, and forged a career for herself in business. She decided to resign in 1999 to be at home with her four children, and became deeply involved in the community, eventually becoming President of the Hopkins Legislative Action Coalition, a guide at the Minneapolis Institute of Art, and the President of Babe Ruth Baseball in Hopkins/Minnetonka.
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MN-All: A Note on Polls

jbnr51

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Sunday October 22, 2006 · 11:16 AM PDT

2006/10/22 · 11:16

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report

Every time a new poll comes out, the big-race campaigns spin it to the best of their ability - "this poll shows a rapidly tightening race," and so on. This spin, however, is only that - spin. Each pollster uses a different methodology - interactive online, automated phone polling, phone interview, random digit-dialing, etc - and thus each pollster is going to come up with slightly different results.
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On the Bachmann/LWCC story

jbnr51

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Wednesday October 18, 2006 · 11:55 AM PDT

2006/10/18 · 11:55

Cross-posted at MN Campaign Report

There are two angles to the story of Michele Bachmann and the Living World Christian Center. One is that which is being carried by the AP and several local outlets now, that of the IRS complaint against LWCC by Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington based on the pastor's personal endorsement of Bachmann. The other, however, is what got this story play in the big national blogs in the first place, and that is the material showing Bachmann calling herself a "fool for Christ" and describing her three-day fast while meditating on a run for Congress.
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MN-01: Gutknecht Twists Truth in Attack Ad

jbnr51

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Friday October 13, 2006 · 6:49 AM PDT

2006/10/13 · 06:49

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report and Minnesota Monitor - Drop by sometime!

In a currently-running advertisement, incumbent Gil Gutknecht (R-MN) makes several claims about his opponent's positions regarding illegal immigrations. The facts asserted in the ad are, shall we say, somewhat spurious.

The Gutknecht ad accuses Walz of supporting "a plan to give amnesty to 11 million illegals already here," and cites an article from the New Ulm Journal from July 8th, 2006. This claim appears to twist the text and intent of that article: Read More

MN-05: Primary Opponents Endorse Ellison

jbnr51

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Wednesday October 11, 2006 · 12:21 PM PDT

2006/10/11 · 12:21

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report

*note for non-Minnesota Kossacks: If he wins, Keith Ellison will be Minnesota's first black Representative in Congress, and will be America's first Muslim Congressman.

In an Ellison campaign press release today, Ember Reichgott Junge and Paul Ostrow offered their endorsements to Ellison's bid for Congress. Junge and Ostrow opposed Ellison in the DFL primary in September. Although the language of the release is filtered as most press releases are, Junge said of Ellison "Rep. Ellison has a passion for these issues, and I look forward to working with him and other DFL candidates on the issues that concern all of us." Ostrow offered similar missives, saying "I support Keith because he is committed to an urban agenda critical to our neighborhoods - public safety, public education and a new energy policy for our nation." Read More

MN-01: Gutknecht Attacks Ads, Walz Camp Responds

jbnr51

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Tuesday October 10, 2006 · 10:28 AM PDT

2006/10/10 · 10:28

Cross-posted from MN Campaign Report.

In a press release today, the campaign of Gil Gutknecht (R-inc) sought to dampen the effect of ads running in Minnesota's First District criticizing the incumbent Republican. The ads, produced and paid for by the American Federation of State, County, and Municipal Employees (AFSCME), include a photo of Gutknecht in a tuxedo, which, according to the Gutknecht camp, is an attempt to mislead voters because the photo is from a charity event where Gutknecht served as auctioneer. Read More

MN-03: Interview with Wendy Wilde

jbnr51

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Monday October 09, 2006 · 9:23 AM PDT

2006/10/09 · 09:23

Cross-posted at MN Campaign Report - drop by sometime!

This is the third interview I've conducted with a DFL congressional candidate (fourth if you include Gail Dorfman, who lost the CD5 DFL endorsement to Keith Ellison), but the candidate is in perhaps the most interesting position of any with whom I've spoken. Wendy Wilde is not an elected official, and hasn't been running very long - and projects that in terms of partisan voting patterns, 2006 could be an extremely interesting election in Minnesota's Third Congressional District. We talked about the district, issues, and the eye-catching campaign slogan you may have seen on bumper stickers here and there.

MNCR: Tell me a little bit about your background - where did it all begin?

W. Wilde: I grew up outside Eau Claire, Wisconsin, but spent some of my childhood in the Twin Cities with family here. As a child I got into radio really early, and actually convinced my family to let me get out of Catholic high school so I could go to a public school with a radio club. I got into that, and have been doing radio for about thirty years now.
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MN-All: Local Links to Foleygate

jbnr51

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Thursday October 05, 2006 · 8:14 AM PDT

2006/10/05 · 08:14

Cross-posted at MN Campaign Report.

You'd better believe it - 61% of America thinks so, according to Rasmussen.

The data supports speculation that this issue could have a devastating impact on Republican prospects at the polls this fall. Even among Republicans, 31% believe the GOP leadership has been protecting Foley. Just under half (46%) of the GOP faithful believe that Congressional leaders just learned about the problem.
Not surprisingly, Democrats overwhelmingly believe that the Republican leaders have been protecting Foley for years (84% of Democrats hold that view).
Perhaps more significant politically, 69% of those not affiliated with either major party believe that leadership has been protecting Foley. Only 9% of unaffiliated the GOP leaders just learned of the problem last week. How much of an impact this will have on individual races will not be known until our next round of polling is complete.

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