Never Been Prouder of my Cousin Barack!

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Tuesday October 16, 2012 · 9:47 PM PDT

2012/10/16 · 21:47

I am proud to call Barack Obama my cousin! 8th cousin once removed, but that's still a cousin.

What an AWESOME debate! I agree with Rachel Maddow who said this was the debate by Obama in his ENTIRE political career! He was tough but but likable. His answer on immigration was excellent, Mitt's was terrible. He hit the 47% remark. He made the case to the American people! Go Obama!

Let's all get out and campaign, campaign, campaign and donate!

Poll

55 votes Show Results

How did Obama do tonight?

55 votes Vote Now!

How did Obama do tonight?

Awesome

15 votes

Beyond Awesome

12 votes

BEST DEBATE EVER!

28 votes

Poll Wrap-Up 10/14/2012- Actually Pretty Good!

teenvote

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Sunday October 14, 2012 · 6:17 PM PDT

2012/10/14 · 18:17

While it wasn't all good, today's final results showed that: (1) things are moving in the right direction in the tracking polls; and (2) state polls show Obama is still where he needs to be.

Today, in the 5 national tracking polls, Obama led in 3. That's the first time he has done that in several days! The margins:

Rand Poll- Obama +4
Reuters/Ipsos- Obama +1
IBP-TIPP- Obama +0.7
Gallup- Romney +2
Rasmussen- Romney +2

I know many of you are concerned about Gallup (not Rasmussen so much because most view it as a Republican outfit). But remember this about Gallup: in 2010- it was WAY off in predicting "likely voters": It said Republicans would win by 15 points (which probably would have resulted in a 100+ seat gain). Instead, they won by only 6 points.
So Gallup has had some "likely voter" issues.

teenvote

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Sunday October 14, 2012 · 9:06 AM PDT

2012/10/14 · 09:06

More good polling news out of the Rand poll, which is a unique tracking poll which polls the same group of 1500 individuals so that it is easy to avoid the problem of getting a completely different sample of voters each time.

In the Rand poll, Obama's percentage have been improving for the last two days, while Romney's has been getting worse for three straight days.

Over this period Obama's margin went from +1.8% to about +3.7%.

Also, we had good polls in Ohio from PPP (Obama +5 in Ohio, BETTER than the +4 he had before the debate) and Arizona (Obama +2--while of course I don't expect Obama to win Arizona, it suggests that he is at least still competitive).

So I know folks are a bit down over the Rasmussen numbers this morning, but I am expecting to see something better from Gallup and Reuters later. In any event, there is at least some evidence that Romney's post-debate bounce is finally starting to fade, and that Biden had a very good debate on Thursday. But really it's up to Obama on Tuesday! I know my cousin (8th cousin once removed to be exact) will come through for the big day!

Nate is WRONG! Today is certainly NOT Romney's Best Day Ever

teenvote

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Friday October 12, 2012 · 5:09 PM PDT

2012/10/12 · 17:09

It seems like Nate Silver has gone full negative on the Obama campaign. For the first time EVER (that i have seen) he views the President's chances of reelection at LESS (61.1%) than the traders on Intrade (who are at 61.2%). He used to be 5-20 points ahead of the Intrade crowd.

He actually had the nerve to say that today may have been Romney's best day ever.

Huh?

Today, Obama led in 2 national polls RAND and TIPP (where he gained almost 6 points in the past 2 days), while Romney led in Rasmussen and Gallup (whose week long sample still includes Obama's trrble day last Friday). According to Talking Points Memo, Romney's lead in national polls has fallen almost a whole point, from 2.7% to 1.9% in the last few days.

Even the state polls released today weren't that bad. A Romney lead by 1 in a Colorado poll (a state Obama over performed in 2008) and a 4 point Romney lead in New Hampshire.

teenvote

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Friday October 12, 2012 · 10:59 AM PDT

2012/10/12 · 10:59

If I am wrong, I will admit it. But I believe that by Tuesday afternoon (BEFORE the debate) Obama will be leading most national polls (even Gallup with its 7 day look).

Why?

Biden's great debate will play a big role. Obviously it won't flip Republicans or that many independents, but it will do what it was intended to do: greatly energize the Democratic base. The fact is, after the debate a lot of Democrats were very depressed (I sure was). In many polls, "likely voters" are often determined by how excited you are about the campaign. When Democrats said they were down, they were LEFT OFF the likely voter lists. Thus, their support of Obama wasn't counted! With the excellent debate, these voters will be more enthusiastic and will be back on as: likely voters".

Remember, Obama's favorable/approval numbers are still quite good (in most cases his favorables are STILL better than Romney!)

Poll

210 votes Show Results

I am-

210 votes Vote Now!

I am-

slightly concerned

26 votes

worried

40 votes

Terrified

16 votes

Planning my move to France in November

13 votes

Confident the President can DO THIS!

101 votes

Somewhere in between

14 votes

Today: Votes for Youth DC Rally, 4PM!

teenvote

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Friday October 12, 2012 · 5:23 AM PDT

2012/10/12 · 05:23

As Republicans everywhere attempt to disenfranchise voters through discriminatory ID laws, which disproportionately affect the young and minorities, young people are standing up for their civil and political rights. Youth are assembling in Washington DC today to honor that most precious of American liberties- the right to vote.

But Votes for Youth is not just for college students who face losing their right to vote because of Republican efforts to target Democratic leaning voters. There are millions of high school students who work, pay taxes, and care about our country. They are denied the right to vote because their parents made the mistake of giving birth to them too late: these young people may not be 18 yet, but they want to make their voices heard on issues that affect them deeply, from the environment to education to jobs. They deserve the right to vote!

Poll

7 votes Show Results

Do you support lowering the voting age to 16 to empower youth to get involved in their communites?

7 votes Vote Now!

Do you support lowering the voting age to 16 to empower youth to get involved in their communites?

Yes

2 votes

5 votes

My Take on the Polls- Awesome Approval/Favorable Numbers= Obama Victory!

teenvote

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Wednesday October 10, 2012 · 5:42 AM PDT

2012/10/10 · 05:42

Something really strange is going on. Normally, when a candidate has a bad stretch--makes a gaffe, has a scandal, receives poor news-- either their favorable numbers, or (if they are in office), their approval numbers drop significantly.

We all agree Barack Obama had a bad debate, which was further aggravated by terrible press coverage. So we would expect his favorable/approval numbers to fall.

Not only is that not happening, but President Obama is having some of the best favorable/approval numbers in recent months (or even years!)

Take the new ABC Washington Post poll. While the head to head hasn't been released yet, we do know this- People LIKE Barack Obama. He boast an impressive 55/44 favorable score, his highest in years. Meanwhile, Mitt Romney is still underwater at 47-51. The poll results are here. Meanwhile-

Poll

231 votes Show Results

The FINAL Popular Vote Margin will be

231 votes Vote Now!

The FINAL Popular Vote Margin will be

Obama by 1

9 votes

Obama by 2

39 votes

Obama by 3

68 votes

Obama by 4

41 votes

Obama by 5 or More

61 votes

Mitt Romney by something

13 votes

7.8% BABY!

teenvote

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Friday October 05, 2012 · 5:34 AM PDT

2012/10/05 · 05:34

Unemployment rate drops to 7.8%! I don't think I have ever been so happy to hear 7.8%! While hiring increased only 114,000, the public will focus on the percentage! I will get a link up as soon as I get it!

It's all AWESOME! July and August were revised WAY UP!

The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for July was revised from
+141,000 to +181,000, and the change for August was revised from +96,000 to
+142,000.

One more awesome piece of data- Total employment rose by 873,000 in September!

So it wasn't people who left, people are coming back into the labor force, AND THE RATE DROPPED! Awesome baby!

Update- Thanks to all for the recommends! I have a special request.

An organization I work with, the National Youth Rights Association, is organizing a new movement called Votes for Youth. It's a youth led effort to lower the voting age! To learn more go to Votes for Youth. The first big rally is Friday, October 12th at 4:00pm at: DC Board of Elections and Ethics, 441 4th Street, NW, Suite 250 North Washington, DC 20001 Please join us or help spread the word!

Where are the Obama TV Ads against the Ryan Budget?!

teenvote

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Wednesday August 15, 2012 · 3:59 AM PDT

2012/08/15 · 03:59

As you know, Paul Ryan's budget is toxic: it already took down a Republican in a New York congressional district that had been GOP-held for generations. Now there is a real chance it can take down not just Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, but also Republican House candidates, and give the Democrats are good chance at retaking the House and holding onto the Senate. Ryan's budget destroys Medicare, replacing it with a "voucher" or "coupon" system, damages Social Security and heavily cuts programs from education and transportation to food safety. This is EXACTLY what we want to run against!

Yet, I see no television ads linking Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan to Ryan's toxic budget. The first ad talking about Medicare appeared yesterday, and was released by Mitt Romney! Unlike with Sarah Palin, we cannot count on the press to give a fair picture of Paul Ryan's proposals. This is the Obama campaign's job!

Poll

39 votes Show Results

When should the Obama campaign put up ads on Paul Ryan and his budget?

39 votes Vote Now!

When should the Obama campaign put up ads on Paul Ryan and his budget?

Now

31 votes

Sometime next week (no rush)

4 votes

After the Convention

3 votes

Sometime in September or October

1 vote

No ads (Obama and the Democrats have this easy)

0 votes

Eri Yoshida and Cracking the Ultimate "Glass Floor"

teenvote

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Sunday June 10, 2012 · 11:08 AM PDT

2012/06/10 · 11:08

There have been many diaries on Daily Kos discussing the struggles of women to obtain equal pay and equal representation in a host of occupations formerly dominated by men. Other diaries have focused on women breaking through the "glass ceiling" that has kept so many from reaching the highest levels of corporate America and government.

But there are some professions where women aren't just underrepresented and underpaid. They are completely shut out. That's how it is with our national pastime- baseball, particularly Major League Baseball and its minor league affiliates. As I type this, in the year 2012, there are precisely zero women playing major league baseball. There are zero women coaching major league baseball, or managing or serving as general managers. Even in the "official" minor leagues, among the thousands and thousands of players from Triple-A to "Rookie Ball", it's easy to count the number of female players: that number is Zero. No woman has even been signed to a major-league affiliated minor league team since 1952, when Major League Baseball banned all teams from signing female players.

Poll

53 votes Show Results

What year will the first woman play major league baseball?

53 votes Vote Now!

What year will the first woman play major league baseball?

Before 2020

15 votes

2020-2030

8 votes

2030-2050

6 votes

In the distant future

8 votes

It will never happen

16 votes

Official- "I Voted" Wisconsin Thread- With Turnout Poll

teenvote

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Tuesday June 05, 2012 · 6:18 AM PDT

2012/06/05 · 06:18

We all know this is the most important election until the November presidential race. This diary is a jump off point for Wisconsin voters to let us know when and where they voted, and what the turnout was like in their area. Was it like 2010 or something more (like 2008!)? Please comment or at least vote in the poll below.
Go Barrett!

Poll

327 votes Show Results

Where did you vote and what was turnout like?

327 votes Vote Now!

Where did you vote and what was turnout like?

Democratic area- high turnout

121 votes

Democratic area- so-so turnout

20 votes

Democratic area- low turnout

11 votes

Republican area- high turnout

72 votes

Republican area- so-so turnout

14 votes

Republican area- low turnout

7 votes

Independent/mixed area- high turnout

59 votes

Independent/mixed area- so-so turnout

12 votes

Independent/mixed area- low turnout

7 votes

Wisconsin- Remember- Same Day Registrants NOT Being Polled!

teenvote

Community (This content is not subject to review by Daily Kos staff prior to publication.)

Monday June 04, 2012 · 7:30 AM PDT

2012/06/04 · 07:30

One final point leading up to the Wisconsin election tomorrow. All of the polls, whether PPP or Marquette or even the polls for Barrett- start out with registered voters. Then they determine those most likely to vote. But Wisconsin is different than most states. Wisconsin allows same day voter registration, which means that people who register tomorrow won't be polled in ANY polls! These individuals will probably be a good deal more Democratic than Republican (especially students and other young people who have not yet registered). If enough of them get out and register to vote tomorrow, it can make the current polls MEANINGLESS!

So what can we do? First, donate if you can. I will be making my third donation later today. It does NOT have to be much, $5, $10, whatever you can spare. The GOTV is the WHOLE BALLGAME! So let's get those donations in today!

Second, IF you have time, volunteer. Make phone calls, and if you live in or near Wisconsin and can get a day off of work, Travel THERE!

Go to http://grassroots.barrettforwisconsin.com/... to learn more!

Poll

111 votes Show Results

Who Will Win Tomorrow

111 votes Vote Now!

Who Will Win Tomorrow

Barrett

87 votes

Walker

24 votes

Newer
Older

RSS

Never Been Prouder of my Cousin Barack!

Poll Wrap-Up 10/14/2012- Actually Pretty Good!

Good Polling News: Obama's lead in Rand Poll Now up to 4 Points!

Nate is WRONG! Today is certainly NOT Romney's Best Day Ever

By Tuesday Afternoon- Obama will be leading most national polls!

Today: Votes for Youth DC Rally, 4PM!

My Take on the Polls- Awesome Approval/Favorable Numbers= Obama Victory!

7.8% BABY!

Where are the Obama TV Ads against the Ryan Budget?!

Eri Yoshida and Cracking the Ultimate "Glass Floor"

Official- "I Voted" Wisconsin Thread- With Turnout Poll

Wisconsin- Remember- Same Day Registrants NOT Being Polled!