Look, this is all you need to know about Election 2004:
We are fighting over the people in the middle. Don't worry yourself about what the low end of the bell curve is thinking, we don't need them to win. They can't be reached anyway, since they are too stupid and doped up on religion to understand anything but "Jeebus," "Goo goo terrorist," and "Goo goo freedom." But they don't matter, it's the people in the middle that matter.
All Kerry has to do is convince 50%+1 of the people in the middle that Bush is a failure and that he can do better. The facts favor Kerry strongly. The economy and Iraq are not going to get substantially better between now and November 2. Once K/E goes negative, and they will, the middle people will turn their backs on Bush and K/E will win.
So quit worrying. We are going to win.