(Sorry for the short diary.)
The last NIE on Iraq was published in the summer of 2004. That one was rejected by the Bush Administration for not being positive enough, although its grim assessments were pretty accurate:
The estimate outlines three possibilities for Iraq through the end of 2005, with the worst case being developments that could lead to civil war, the officials said. The most favorable outcome described is an Iraq whose stability would remain tenuous in political, economic and security terms.
The most favorable outcome predicted by the last NIE, needless to say, never happened.
Since then? Well, the new Iraq NIE has been, er, postponed.
But it's coming tomorrow:
PRNewswire-USNewswire/ -- The following was
released today by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence:
Unclassified Key Judgments of the National Intelligence Estimate,
"Prospects for Iraq's Stability: A Challenging Road Ahead," will be posted
on the website of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence
(http://www.dni.gov) at 12:30 PM EST on Friday, February 2, 2007.
What do you think it will say?