Summary:
Connecticut has 5 representative, all Democrats, none very vulnerable
Primary is Aug 10
Delaware has 1 representative, a Republican, and its a potential gain for the Democrats.
Filing deadline is July 30, primary is Sept 14
Sources:
House vote in 2008 from WaPo
VoteView (ranked from 1 for most liberal to 447 for most conservative; more than 435 because some districts had more than one rep in the 110th congress)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State
National Atlas for maps
FEC
and my previous diaries.
District: CT-01
Location Shaped like a backwards C, including Hartford and suburbs, running north to tha border of MA, and looping south and then west to almost form a circle map
Cook PVI D + 13
Representative John Larson (D) Not confirmed
VoteView rank 119.5
First elected 1998
2008 margin 71-26 over Joe Visconti
2006 margin 74-26
2004 margin 73-27
Obama margin 66-33
Bush margin 2004 39-60
Current opponents Mark Zydanowicz (R)
Demographics Not unusual on things I track
Assessment Safe. Larson has $800K COH, Zydanowicz has very little.
District: CT-02
Location Eastern CT, bordering RI, MA and Long Island Sound, including Storrs and New London map
Cook PVI D + 6
Representative Joe Courtney (D)
VoteView rank 137/447
First elected 2006
2008 margin 65-32 over Sean Sullivan
2006 margin 83 votes
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 59-40
Bush margin 2004 44-54
Current opponents Matthew Daly (R) and Daria Novak (R), Greg Desheffy (Green).
Demographics 31st fewest people in poverty (5.8%)
Assessment One close race, one easy victory. I won't say "safe" but it looks good. Novak's website is like a joke (see the Wiki for a link), with no issues and some pix of her at a tea party. Daly has a more professional website, but he's a wingnut, not suited to the district.
Courtney has $1.3 million COH, others have little.
District:CT-03
Location New Haven and areas around it map
Cook PVI D + 9
Representative Rosa DeLauro
VoteView rank 93/447
First elected 1990
2008 margin 77-20 over Bo Itshaky
2006 margin 76-22
2004 margin 72-25
Obama margin 63-36
Bush margin 2004 42-56
Current opponents Itshaky (R) is running again, as are Jerry LaBriola and Peggy Rogers
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe. None of the candidates (including DeLauro) have much COH; DeLauro, though, has raised and spent a lot.
District: CT-04
Location NYC suburbs - Stamford, Darien, Norwalk, Bridgeport, bordering NY and Long Island Sound map
Cook PVI D + 5
Representative Jim Himes (D)
VoteView rank NA
First elected 2008
2008 margin 51-48 over Chris Shays
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 60-40
Bush margin 2004 48-52
Current opponents Will Gregory, Dan Debicella, Rob Merkin, Enrique Torres (all R)
Demographics 30th richest district (median income = $67K)
Assessment Himes won a close one over the incumbent Shays; but now is the incumbent. Himes has over $1.5 million COH, none of the others have much
SSP rating: Lean D (I am not sure why)
My rating: Likely D or even safe
District: CT-05
Location Western CT, bordering NY and MA, but going inland to New Britain and Meriden map
Cook PVI D + 2
Representative Chris Murphy (D)
VoteView rank 142/447
First elected 2006
2008 margin 59-39 over David Capiello
2006 margin 54-44
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 56-42
Bush margin 2004 49-49
Current opponents Justin Bernier, Daniel Carter, Kie Westby, Bill Evans, Mark Greenberg and Sam Caligari (all R)
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Probably safe. Fundraising info seems missing from the FEC page.
SSP Rating: Likely D
My rating: Likely D
District: DE-AL
Location Delaware.
Cook PVI D + 7
Representative Mike Castle (R) Retiring to run for Senate
VoteView rank 250/447
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 62-37
Bush margin 2004 46-53
Current opponents Democrats: John Carney and Scott Spencer. Republicans: Fred Cullis, Rose Izzo; and a libertarian.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Castle used to win here, but Delaware is Democratic now. Carney has $675K COH, Urquhart has $500K, but it's all his own money
SSP rating: Likely D
My rating: Likely D