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Summary:
 UT has 3 reps, 1 D, 2 R, primary done
 VT has 1 rep, a D, primary 8/24
 VA has 11, 5 R and 6 D, primary done
 WA has 9, 6 D, 3 R, primary 8/17
 WV has 3, 2 D 1 R, primary done
 WI has 8, 6 D, 2 R, primary 9/14
 WY has 1, an R, primary 8/17

Possibly vulnerable
UT-02 (D)
WA-02 (D)
WV-03 (D)
VA-02 (D)
VA-05 (D)
VA-09 (D)
VA-11 (D)
WA-03 (D)
WA-08 (R)
WI-07 (D)
WI-08 (D)
WV-01 (D)

Sources:
House vote in 2008 from WaPo
VoteView (ranked from 1 for most liberal to 447 for most conservative; more than 435 because some districts had more than one rep in the 110th congress)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State
National Atlas for maps
FEC
Stochastic Democracy for recent polls

District: UT-01
Location  Northwestern UT, including Ogden and part of Salt Lake City   map
Cook PVI  R + 21
Representative Rob Bishop (R)
VoteView  371
First elected 2002
2008 margin  65-30 over Morgan Brown
2006 margin 63-32
2004 margin 68-29
Obama margin 33-64
Bush margin 2004 75-25
Current opponents Stephen Thompson
Demographics  36th fewest Blacks (1.1%), 8th most Republican (per Cook PVI)
Assessment Safe for Republicans.  Bishop has about $125K COH, Thompson has little.

District: UT-02
Location  Most of Salt Lake City, and all of southeastern UT   map
Cook PVI R + 15
Representative Jim Matheson (D)
VoteView 224
First elected
2008 margin 63-35 over Bill Dew
2006 margin 59-37
2004 margin 55-43
Obama margin 40-58
Bush margin 2004 66-31
Current opponents Morgan Philpot
Demographics  18th fewest Blacks (0.6%)
Assessment Matheson has over $1 million COH, Philpot has little
SSP rating: Likely D
My rating: Safe.

District: UT-03
Location Southwestern UT, including Orem and Provo    map
Cook PVI R + 26
Representative Jason Chafetz (R)
VoteView NA
First elected  2008
2008 margin 66-28 over Bennion Spencer
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 29-67
Bush margin 2004 77-21
Current opponents Karen Hyer
Demographics 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), 7th most Republican district in the country  
Assessment Safe for Republicans, Chafetz has $100K COH, Hyer has little

District: VT-01
Location  Vermont  map
Cook PVI D + 13
Representative Peter Welch (D)
VoteView  32.5
First elected 2006
2008 margin 84% against multiple minor parties
2006 margin 53-45
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 67-30
Bush margin 2004 39-59
Current opponents Three Republicans are in a primary: Don Beaudry, John Mitchell, and Keith Stern.
Demographics  13th most rural (61.8%), 4th most White (96.2%), 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), 17th fewest Latinos (0.9%)
Assessment Safe.  Welch has over $1 million COH, the Republicans have little.

District: VA-01
Location Northeast VA, including Fredericksburg and most of the Chesapeake shoreline (on the western side) map
Cook PVI R + 7
Representative Robert Whitman (R)
VoteView  336
First elected 2007
2008 margin 57-42 over Bill Day
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 48-51
Bush margin 2004 60-39
Current opponents Krystal Ball (what a name!)
Demographics   13th most veterans (17.7%)
Assessment Ball has $260K COH, but a lot of debt, Whitman has about $500K.  Safe for Republicans.

District: VA-02
Location  Virginia Beach and the eastern side of the Chesapeake    map
Cook PVI R + 5
Representative Glenn Nye (D)
VoteView  NA
First elected 2008
2008 margin 52-48 over Thelma Drake
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 50-48
Bush margin 2004 58-42
Current opponents Scott Rigel
Demographics  3rd most veterans (20.3%)
Assessment Nye ousted Drake; he has about $1.3 million COH, Rigel has about $250K, but is somewhat self-financed.  
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Tossup

District: VA-03
Location Richmond and Norfolk and more or less contiguous points in between map
Cook PVI D + 20
Representative Bobby Scott (D)
VoteView  98.5
First elected 1992
2008 margin Unopposed
2006 margin Unopposed
2004 margin 69-31
Obama margin 76-24
Bush margin 2004 33-66
Current opponents Chuck Smith
Demographics  53rd most veterans (15.5%), 59th fewest Whites (37.7%), 16th most Blacks (56%)
Assessment Safe.  Scott has only $60K COH but Smith has even less, and this is a safe D seat.

District: VA-04
Location Southeastern VA    map
Cook PVI R + 4
Representative Randy Forbes (R)
VoteView  339
First elected 2001
2008 margin 60-40 over Andrea Miller
2006 margin 76-23
2004 margin 64-35
Obama margin 50-49
Bush margin 2004 57-43
Current opponents Wynne Legrow
Demographics 34th most veterans (16.2%), 38th most Blacks (33.1%), 91st fewest Latinos (2.0%)  
Assessment Safe for Republicans.  Forbes has about $500K, Legrow has little.

District: VA-05
Location Central southern VA, north to Charlottesville map
Cook PVI R + 5
Representative Thomas Perrielo (D)
VoteView  353
First elected 2008
2008 margin 745 votes out of about 300,000 over Virgil Goode
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 48-51
Bush margin 2004 56-43
Current opponents Robert Hurt
Demographics 10th most rural (64.0%), 68th most Blacks (23.9%), 67th fewest Latinos (1.6%)  
Assessment Perrielo ousted Goode, but Goode was nuts.  Vulnerable.  Periello has $1.7 million COH, Hurt has about $215K, but some debt.  This is a Republican district, but now Perielo is the incumbent and has a big money edge
SSP rating: tossup
My rating: tossup

District: VA-06
Location Northwestern VA, bordering WV, including Roanoke     map
Cook PVI R + 12
Representative Bob Goodlatte (R)
VoteView  344
First elected 1992
2008 margin 62-37 over Sam Rassoul
2006 margin 75% against minor parties
2004 margin Unopposed
Obama margin 42-57
Bush margin 2004 63-36
Current opponents None declared
Demographics  Not unusual on what I track
Assessment No opponent

District: VA-07
Location Richmond and points north and west map
Cook PVI R + 9
Representative Eric Cantor (R)
VoteView  409
First elected 2000
2008 margin 63-37 over Anita Hartke
2006 margin 64-34
2004 margin 75-24
Obama margin 46-53
Bush margin 2004 61-38
Current opponents Rick Waugh
Demographics 90th highest income (median = $51K), 90th fewest Latinos (2.0%)
Assessment Safe for Republicans. Cantor has $1.5 million COH, Waugh has little.

District: VA-08
Location  DC suburbs   map
Cook PVI D + 16
Representative James Moran (D)
VoteView  57.5
First elected 1990
2008 margin 68-30 over Mark Ellmonre
2006 margin 66-31
2004 margin 60-37
Obama margin 69-30
Bush margin 2004 35-64
Current opponents Patrick Murray
Demographics   68th highest income (median = $63K), 48th most nonBlack, nonLatino, nonWhites (mostly 9.5% Asians)
Assessment Safe.  Moran has over half a million COH, Murray has little.

District: VA-09
Location    map
Cook PVI R + 11
Representative Rick Boucher (D)
VoteView  180
First elected 1982
2008 margin Unopposed
2006 margin 59-39
2004 margin 59-39
Obama margin 40-59
Bush margin 2004 60-39
Current opponents Morgan Griffith
Demographics  7th most rural (65.9%), 24th lowest income (median = $30K), 27th most Whites (93.3%), 27th fewest Latinos (1.1%)
Assessment Looks safe, Boucher has over $2 million COH, Griffith about $300K.  Although this is a Republican district, Boucher has won pretty easily, year after year.
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Likely D

District: VA-10
Location    map
Cook PVI R + 2
Representative Frank Wolf (R)
VoteView  266
First elected 1980
2008 margin 59-39 over Judy Feder
2006 margin 57-41
2004 margin 64-36
Obama margin 53-46
Bush margin 2004 55-44
Current opponents Jeff Barnett
Demographics  10th highest income (median = $72K), 76th most nonWhite, nonBlack, nonLatino (6.6% Asian, 1.9% multiracial),
Assessment Safe for Republicans.  Wolf has about $500K COH, Barnett has about $65K

District: VA-11
Location    map
Cook PVI D + 2
Representative Gerald Connolly (D)
VoteView  279
First elected 1994
2008 margin 55-35 over Keith Fimian
2006 margin 55-44
2004 margin 60-38
Obama margin 57-42
Bush margin 2004 50-49
Current opponents Fimian is running again
Demographics Highest income (median = $80K), 41st most veterans (15.9%), 40th most nonWhite, nonBlack, nonLatino (10.9% Asian, 2.6% multiracial)  
Assessment  Look reasonably safe.  Connolly has $1.3 million COH; Fimian has about $300K but lots of debt and some self financing.  I don't see a 20 point pickup in 2 years for Fimian.
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Likely D

District: WA-01
Location North of Seattle on both sides of Puget Sound   map
Cook PVI D + 9
Representative Jay Inslee (D)
VoteView  62.5
First elected 1998
2008 margin 68-32 over Larry Ishmael
2006 margin 68-32
2004 margin 66-34
Obama margin 62-36
Bush margin 2004 43-56
Current opponents James Watkins
Demographics 46th highest income (median = $59K), 67th fewest Blacks (1.8%), 53rd most nonWhite, nonLatino, nonBlacks (7.9% Asian, 3.1% multiracial)
Assessment Safe.  Inslee has $1.3 million COH, Watkins has little.

District: WA-02
Location  Northwestern WA, but east of Strait of Georgia and Puget Sound; bordering Canada, including many islands in the strait and sound.     map
Cook PVI D + 3
Representative Rick Larsen (D)
VoteView 177
First elected 2000
2008 margin 62-38 over Rick Bart
2006 margin 64-36
2004 margin 64-34
Obama margin 56-42
Bush margin 2004 47-51
Current opponents John Koster
Demographics  32nd most veterans (16.3%), 36th fewest Blacks (1.1%)
SSP Rating: Likely D
Assessment Safe.  Larsen has almost $900K COH, Koster about $125K

District: WA-03
Location Southwestern WA, bordering OR and the Pacific    map
Cook PVI Even
Representative Brian Baird (D) Retiring
VoteView 163
First elected 1998
2008 margin 64-36 over Michael Delavar
2006 margin 63-37
2004 margin 62-38
Obama margin 53-49
Bush margin 2004 50-48
Current opponents Democrat Denny Heck, Republican Jaime Herrera
Demographics  34th most veterans (16.2%), 42nd fewest Blacks (1.2%)
Assessment  A swing district.  Heck has $700K COH, partly self financed; Herrera has about $100K.
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Tossup

District: WA-04
Location  Central WA, bordering OR, including Yakima    map
Cook PVI R + 13
Representative Doc Hastings (R)
VoteView 350
First elected 1994
2008 margin 63-37 over George Fearing
2006 margin 60-40
2004 margin 63-37
Obama margin 40-58
Bush margin 2004 63-36
Current opponents Jay Clough
Demographics  27th fewest Blacks (0.8%), 67th most Latinos (26.4%)
Assessment Safe for Republicans.  Hastings has about $350K COH, Clough has little.

District: WA-05
Location Eastern WA, bordering ID and OR, including Spokane and Walla Walla   map
Cook PVI R + 7
Representative Cathy Rogers (R)
VoteView  330.5
First elected 2004
2008 margin 65-35 over Mark Mays
2006 margin 56-44
2004 margin 60-40
Obama margin 46-52
Bush margin 2004 57-41
Current opponents None declared
Demographics   34th most veterans (16.2%), 47th fewest Blacks (1.3%)
Assessment No opponent

District: WA-06
Location Northwestern WA, west of Puget Sound, bordering the Pacific and across the Strait of Juan de Fuca from Canada.  map
Cook PVI D + 5
Representative Norman Dicks (D)
VoteView 166
First elected 1976
2008 margin 67-33 over Doug Cloud
2006 margin 71-29
2004 margin 69-31
Obama margin 57-41
Bush margin 2004 45-53
Current opponents Doug Cloud again.
Demographics  15th most veterans (19.8%)
Assessment Safe.  Dicks has over $600K COH, Cloud has little.

District: WA-07
Location Seattle map
Cook PVI D + 31
Representative Jim McDermott (D)
VoteView  5
First elected
2008 margin 84-16 over Steve Beren
2006 margin 79-16
2004 margin 81-19
Obama margin 84-15
Bush margin 2004 19-79
Current opponents None declared
Demographics  88th fewest veterans (10.6%), 19th most nonWhite, nonBlack, nonLatino (13.2% Asian, 3.9% multiracial)
Assessment  No opponent.

District: WA-08
Location Eastern suburbs and exurbs of Seattle map
Cook PVI D + 3
Representative David Reichert (R)
VoteView 248
First elected
2008 margin 52-48 over Darcy Burner
2006 margin 51-49
2004 margin 52-47
Obama margin 57-42
Bush margin 2004 48-51
Current opponents Suzan DelBene
Demographics 25th highest income (median = $64K), 78th fewest Blacks (2.0%), 54th most nonBlack, nonWhite, nonLatino (7.8% Asian)  
Assessment Vulnerable; Reichert has about $1 million COH, DelBene about $900K
SSP rating: Likely R
My rating: Lean R

District: WA-09
Location Eastern shore of Puget Sound map
Cook PVI D + 9
Representative Adam Smith (D)
VoteView 183
First elected 1996
2008 margin 66-34 over James Postma
2006 margin 66-34
2004 margin 63-34
Obama margin 58-40
Bush margin 2004 46-53
Current opponents Dick Muri
Demographics  17th most veterans (17.2%), 37th most nonWhite, nonBlack, nonLatino (7.1% Asian, 4.2% multiracial)
Assessment Safe.  Smith has about $400K COH, Muri has little.

District: WV-01
Location Northern WV, bordering OH, PA, and MD map
Cook PVI R + 9
Representative Alan Mollohan (D) Lost primary
VoteView  171
First elected 1982
2008 margin Unopposed
2006 margin 64-36
2004 margin 68-32
Obama margin 42-57
Bush margin 2004 58-42
Current opponents Democrat: Mike Oliverio Republican: David McKinley
Demographics  67th most rural (46.3%), 28th lowest income (median = $30K), 8th most White (95.8%), 64th fewest Blacks (1.7%), 7th fewest Latinos (0.7%)
Assessment Oliverio has about $300K COH, McKinley about the same, but largely self-financed.
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Lean D

District: WV-02
Location A wiggly strip across central WV, from west to east; borders OH, WV, and MD map
Cook PVI R + 8
Representative Shelley Capito (R)
VoteView 261
First elected 2000
2008 margin 57-43 over Anne Barth
2006 margin 57-43
2004 margin 57-41
Obama margin 44-55
Bush margin 2004 57-42
Current opponents Virginia Graf
Demographics  34th most rural (53.8%), 68th lowest income (median = $33K), 27th most White (93.9%), 11th fewest Latinos (0.8%)
Assessment Safe for Republicans.  Capito has about $500K COH, Graf has little.

District: WV-03
Location  Southern WV, bordering KY and VA map
Cook PVI R + 6
Representative Nick Rahall (D)
VoteView 156.5
First elected 1976
2008 margin 67-33 over Marty Gearhart
2006 margin 69-31
2004 margin 65-35
Obama margin 42-56
Bush margin 2004 53-46
Current opponents Elliott Maynard
Demographics  4th most rural (61.6%), 3rd lowest income (median = $26K), 27th most White (93.9%), fewest Latinos (0.6%)
Assessment Safe.  Rahall has $1.5 million COH, Maynard abotu $100K.
SSP rating: Likely D
My rating: Safe, but see comments

District: WI-01
Location Southeastern WI, bordering IL and Lake Michigan. map
Cook PVI R + 2
Representative Paul Ryan (R)
VoteView  400
First elected 1998
2008 margin 64-35 over Marge Krupp
2006 margin 63-37
2004 margin 65-33
Obama margin 51-47
Bush margin 2004 54-46
Current opponents Paulette Garin
Demographics Not unusual on what I track  
Assessment Safe for Republicans.  Ryan has $2 million COH, Garin has little.

District: WI-02
Location Central southern WI, including Madison map
Cook PVI D + 15
Representative Tammy Baldwin (D)
VoteView  10
First elected 1998
2008 margin 69-31 over Peter Theron
2006 margin 63-37
2004 margin 63-37
Obama margin 69-40
Bush margin 2004 37-62
Current opponents Daniel Theron or Chad Lee
Demographics  Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Safe.  Baldwin has almost $800K COH, the Republicans each have little.

District: WI-03
Location  Southwestern WI, bordering MN and IA, including Eau Claire map
Cook PVI D + 4
Representative Ron Kind (D)
VoteView  185
First elected 1996
2008 margin 63-35 over Paul Stark
2006 margin 65-35
2004 margin 56-43
Obama margin 58-41
Bush margin 2004 48-51
Current opponents Dan Kapanke
Demographics 23rd most rural (56.9%), 5th most White (96.1%), 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), 17th fewest Latinos (0.9%)  
Assessment Safe.  Kind has $1.3 million COH, Kapanke about $300K.
SSP rating: Likely D
My rating: Safe

District: WI-04
Location Milwaukee and some suburbs map
Cook PVI D + 22
Representative Gwen Moore (D)
VoteView 7
First elected 2004
2008 margin 89-11 over an independent
2006 margin 71-28
2004 margin 70-28
Obama margin 75-24
Bush margin 2004 30-70
Current opponents Dan Sebring, Paul Morel, Dan Sebring
Demographics  67th lowest income (median = $33K), 92nd fewest Whites (50.4%), 39th most Blacks (33.0%)
Assessment Safe.  Moore has $100K COH, the Republicans have little.

District: WI-05
Location Northern suburbs of Milwaukee map
Cook PVI R + 12
Representative James Sensenbrenner (R)
VoteView 427
First elected 1978
2008 margin 80-20 over Robert Raymond
2006 margin 62-36
2004 margin 67-32
Obama margin 41-58
Bush margin 2004 64-36
Current opponents Todd Kolosso
Demographics  47th highest income (median = $58K), 24th most Whites (94%), 47th fewest Blacks (1.3%)
Assessment Safe for Republicans.  Sensenbrenner has $400K COH, Kolosso has little.

District: WI-06
Location Central part of eastern WI, along Lake Michigan, including Sheboygan and Oshkosh map
Cook PVI R + 4
Representative Thomas Petri (R)
VoteView  390
First elected 1979
2008 margin 64-36 over Roger Kittelson
2006 margin unopposed
2004 margin 67-31
Obama margin 50-49
Bush margin 2004 57-43
Current opponents None declared
Demographics 94th most rural (39.3%), 22nd most Whites (94.1%)
Assessment No opponent

District: WI-07
Location  Northwestern WI, bordering MN, MI and Lake Superior map
Cook PVI D + 3
Representative David Obey (D) Retiring
VoteView NA
First elected NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 56-42
Bush margin 2004 49-50
Current opponents Democrat: Julie Lassa, Republican: Sean Duffy
Demographics   21st most rural (58%), 14th most Whites (95.1%), fewest Blacks (0.3%), 17th fewest Latinos (0.9%)
Assessment With Obey out, this district is vulnerable, still, it's a slightly D district.  Lassa has about $300K COH, Duffy about $650K
SSP rating: Tossup
My rating: Lean D

District: WI-08
Location Northeastern WI, bordering MI and Lake Michigan, including Green Bay map
Cook PVI R + 2
Representative Steve Kagen (D)
VoteView 155
First elected 2006
2008 margin 54-46 over John Gard
2006 margin 51-49
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 53-45
Bush margin 2004 55-44
Current opponents Five Republicans: Reid Ribble, Marc Trager, Terri McCormick, Roger Roth, Marc Savard.
Demographics Not unusual on what I track
Assessment Vulnerable. Kagan has $800K, Ribble about $170K, Trager and McCormick and Roth about $100K each.
SSP rating: Lean D
My rating: Lean D

District: WY-01
Location  Wyoming  map
Cook PVI R + 20
Representative Cynthia Lummis (R)
VoteView 352
First elected 53-43 over Gary Trauner
2008 margin 2008
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 33-65
Bush margin 2004 69-29
Current opponents David Wendt
Demographics 44th most veterans (15.8%), 74th most Whites (88.9%), 23rd fewest Blacks (0.7%)
Assessment Safe for Republicans.  Lummis has about $300K COH, Wendt has little

Originally posted to plf515 on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 06:54 AM PDT.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Congressional tips n/t (13+ / 0-)

    We all differ in ways that matter. But we're all the same in the ways that matter most.

    by plf515 on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 06:54:11 AM PDT

  •  Do you factor current polling (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    plf515

    in any of this?

    There are ton of potentially vulnerable seats here.  Many of the Washington seats went to the GOP in the '94 bloodbath if memory serves.

    The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

    by fladem on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 07:05:49 AM PDT

    •  I usually try to find some polls (0+ / 0-)

      but there aren't many on House races yet.  I forgot to check this time, but will do so later today.

      We all differ in ways that matter. But we're all the same in the ways that matter most.

      by plf515 on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 07:14:46 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  plf (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    bronte17, murrayewv, plf515, bluesheep

    At the top summary, you have

    WV has 3, all R, primary done

    But in the body you have it correct. Two Dems and one Republican. Mollohan isn't retiring, but lost in the primary to Oliverio who used Republican talking points to take out a fellow Democrat, which has many of us pissed. Since then Oliverio has moved a bit more to the center (from the far right). He should win the race handily.

    I'm nervous about Rahall even though he has a solid lead in even Republican polls, but maybe I'm nervous because Spike Maynard is a totally despicable, corrupt and morally bankrupt individual in the pocket of Don Blankenship.

    There is nothing more deceptive than an obvious fact. S. Holmes

    by Carnacki on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 07:26:55 AM PDT

  •  on VT - Rep (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    plf515

    Welch is about as safe as any dem can get this cycle. All 3 of his repub opponents are AGW denialists, which is a decidedly fringe position in this state. None has offered solutions of any kind to our financial situation, or employment. They talk about taxes, because for a decade that has been an issue in the state, since the state Supremes said we couldn't have an unequal education system.
    hopefully, the 5-way dem primary for governor brings out the overall (D) vote and gets the interest level up a bit. We'll have a battle for governor in November, surely.

    thanks for all the data.

    The Republican Party will never die until there is a new political home for racists.

    by kamarvt on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 07:35:37 AM PDT

    •  Who is Dubie's (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      plf515

      toughest opponent.

      I would think Racine may have been around the track too many times.

      The bitter truth of deep inequality has been disguised by an era of cheap imported goods and the anyone-can-make-it celebrity myth - Polly Toynbee

      by fladem on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 08:05:07 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Racine is old news (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        plf515

        he was Lt gov, so he's got the "job experience" part down.
        Plain vanilla, blah candidate though. I'm a Shumlin guy, because he's the most progressive in general.
        Matt Dunn is quixotic in his run, as is Susan Bartlett. Markowitz is in the top three, but something tells me the RW noise will turn her into Kunin II, which is a Pavlovian sound to repubs.

        I think we'll end up with Dubie due to low turnout and the infuriating belief in keeping pols forever in our little state. Which doesn't mean I won't be phone banking for Shumlin this weekend, and for whoever wins the primary in the general election.

        The Republican Party will never die until there is a new political home for racists.

        by kamarvt on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 09:32:44 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  My sources..... (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    plf515

    say Rahall isn't safe.  There are lots of Spike Maynard signs out.  Folks are angry about outsiders trying to regulate cap and trade.  Liberals want to take away coal mining and replace it with_____?  You tell me.  

    I am completely in favor of Rahall.  He is a blue dog, but Maynard would be our worst nightmare.  Rahall needs to run as a WV style democrat and have the pocket book to counter negative Maynard ads based on fear of outsiders.

    You shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you mad. Aldous Huxley

    by murrayewv on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 07:46:27 AM PDT

    •  Liberals don't want to take away coal mining (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      murrayewv, plf515

      at this moment in time. They do want to phase in clean energy such that coal isn't responsible for so much of our energy needs. And that will happen over time regardless.

      The dirty damn shame is the production of coal actually costs states more money than what it gives back. The costs outweigh the benefits... but the nation needs this energy source. Bruce Niles put up a link to the cost-benefit breakdown a couple weeks ago.

      And it isn't liberals fault that the coal industry has drastically and consistently cut the number of jobs in the mining industry over the years. Those jobs are never coming back either.

      Land use and private property rights should be one of the big talking points for Democrats in the coal fields. Talking about clean air and clean water gets fuzzier because some people are just idiots, but other people in those communities do get it.

      Coal country Democrats just need to be very clear in their words when they speak. We need to somehow learn how to call out the GOP for falsely demonizing this issue.

      <div style="color: #a00000;"> Our... constitutional heritage rebels at the thought of giving government the power to control men's minds. Thurgood Marshal

      by bronte17 on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 08:44:34 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  It shortens lives of people in coal counties..... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        plf515

        and they live in poverty.  But modernization and automation hit jobs hard and they still don't see the issue for the concern that the region will become emptied.  

        I work hard on helping people see alternatives and the true cost of coal.  And Marcellus Shale/Gas worries me as well.  These big companies are coming in a buying rights all over the place, even from School systems.

        You shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you mad. Aldous Huxley

        by murrayewv on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 10:46:04 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I know it all well murraywv (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          murrayewv, plf515

          Had a great uncle who died from black lung and my husband's people were mine owners/operators. So, I know the business.

          The poverty IMO is a product of the coal industry. The people back in the 1800s pursued normal livelihoods and the richness of land provided for their families. It wasn't until King Coal wrapped its iron glove around the region that people had their options limited and the blinders went on for economic development.

          <div style="color: #a00000;"> Our... constitutional heritage rebels at the thought of giving government the power to control men's minds. Thurgood Marshal

          by bronte17 on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 02:38:48 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  And thank you for your dedication and (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          murrayewv, plf515

          hard work to make a difference and bring positive change.

          <div style="color: #a00000;"> Our... constitutional heritage rebels at the thought of giving government the power to control men's minds. Thurgood Marshal

          by bronte17 on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 02:39:32 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Thanks..... (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            bronte17

            I teach a technology subject at a WV University.  I work really hard to help students start businesses and develop new ways to succeed in our state. Congressman Rahall is a good man, true to his principles.  He is working on getting funding to the state for our students and entrepreneurs.  We don't agree on every issue, but he will be a stong democrat overall.

            You shall know the truth, and the truth shall make you mad. Aldous Huxley

            by murrayewv on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 03:30:55 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  FYI VA-05 (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    plf515

    There's also an independent running by the name of Clark. I believe he's a teabagger and we're hoping he can steal away some of the Hurt voters. The Senior Center in Charlottesville hosted a debate and Hurt didn't even show up because Clark was part of it. An attendee told me that Clark actually conducted himself quite well and was quite articulate. I'm still astonished that Hurt didn't show since seniors are most likely the ones who will actually be voting.

    I hope we can keep Tom in office, but it's iffy in this district.

    We are all in the gutter but some of us are looking at the stars. --Oscar Wilde

    by zerelda on Thu Aug 19, 2010 at 09:29:20 AM PDT

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