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GA has 13 representatives, 8 R and 5 D
HI has 2 representatives, both D, both safe
ID has 2 representatives, 1 D and 1 R

Vulnerable:
GA-02, GA-08, GA-12, HI-01, ID-01 (all D)

Sources:
House vote in 2008 from Wikipedia
VoteView (1 = most liberal, 447 = most conservative)
Race Tracker
Obama vote by CD from Swing State (other stuff there too).
and my previous diaries.
FEC
and Steve Singiser's diaries here on daily Kos (which I checked for about a month).
=========================================================================
District: GA-01
Location Southeastern GA, bordering FL and the Atlantic, including Valdosta and Hinesville map
Cook PVI R + 16
Representative Jack Kingston (R)
VoteView rank 433
First elected  1992
2008 margin 67-33 over Bill Gillespie
2006 margin 69-31
2004 margin Unopposed
Obama margin 36-63
Bush margin 2004 66-34
Current opponents Oscar Harris
Demographics 63rd most Blacks (24.9%) and 54th most veterans (15.3%)
Assessment Long shot. Kingston has $800K COH, no info on Harris.

District: GA-02
Location Southwestern GA, bordering FL and AL and including Columbus map
Cook PVI D + 1
Representative Sanford Bishop (D)
VoteView rank 180
First elected  1992
2008 margin 69-31 over Lee Farrell
2006 margin 68-32
2004 margin 67-33
Obama margin 54-45
Bush margin 2004 50-50
Current opponents Mike Keown.
Demographics 23rd poorest district (median income = $30K), 37th most Blacks (47.5%)
Assessment Bishop has $400K COH, Keown has $240K
SSP rating: Lean D

District: GA-03
Location Western GA, about in the middle of the state map
Cook PVI R + 19
Representative Lynn Westmoreland (R)
VoteView rank  437
First elected  2004
2008 margin 66-34 over Stephen Camp
2006 margin 68-32
2004 margin 76-24
Obama margin 35-65
Bush margin 2004 70-29
Current opponents Frank Saunders
Demographics 18th most Republican per Cook PVI
Assessment Long shot.  Westmoreland has $340K COH, Saunders has little.

District: GA-04
Location Eastern and northern suburbs of Atlanta map
Cook PVI D + 24
Representative Hank Johnson (D)
VoteView rank 45
First elected  2006
2008 margin Unopposed
2006 margin 75-25
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 79-20
Bush margin 2004 28-71
Current opponents Liz Carter.
Demographics 31st most Blacks (52.6%)
Assessment Safe.  Johnson,  has $67K COH, Carter has little.

District: GA-05
Location Atlanta and some suburbs map
Cook PVI D + 26
Representative John Lewis (D)
VoteView rank  14
First elected  1986
2008 margin unopposed
2006 margin unopposed
2004 margin unopposed
Obama margin 80-20
Bush margin 2004 26-74
Current opponents Fenn Little
Demographics 18th most Blacks (55.7%)
Assessment Safe.  Lewis has raised $340K COH, Little has, well, little.

District: GA-06
Location Northern central GA map
Cook PVI R + 19
Representative Tom Price (R)
VoteView rank  417.5
First elected  2004
2008 margin 69-31 over Bill Jones
2006 margin 72-28
2004 margin unopposed
Obama margin 34-65
Bush margin 2004 70-29
Current opponents None declared
Demographics 9th wealthiest (median income = $72K), and highest in the South
Assessment No opponent

District: GA-07
Location Northern central GA map
Cook PVI R + 16
Representative John Linder (R) Retiring
VoteView rank NA
First elected  NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 39-60
Bush margin 2004 70-30
Current opponents Rob Woodall (R) Doug Heckman (D)
Demographics 37th wealthiest (med income = $60K)
Assessment  Safe for Woodall.  A very Republican district.  Woodall has only $15K COH, Heckman about the same.

District: GA-08
Location Central GA including Macon and Moultrie map
Cook PVI R + 10
Representative Jim Marshall (D)
VoteView rank 237
First elected  2002
2008 margin 57-43 over Rick Goddard
2006 margin 51-49
2004 margin 63-37
Obama margin 43-56
Bush margin 2004 61-39
Current opponents Austin Scott
Demographics 78th most rural (43.4%), 41st most Blacks (32.4%).
Assessment Marshall is a DINO, and I don't use that term lightly.  Is it worth it? I don't really know. Would a more liberal Democrat have a chance in this district?  It partly depends on turnout; but, even with nearly 1 in 3 people being Black, Obama lost here.    Marshall is vulnerable, in any  case.  Marshall has nearly $1 million COH, Scott about $200K.  A recent Republican poll showed Scott up by 8
SSP rating: Lean D

District:  GA-09
Location Northwestern GA, bordering TN, AL, and NC map
Cook PVI R + 28
Representative Nathan Deal (R) Retiring
VoteView rank NA
First elected  NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 23-75
Bush margin 2004 77-23
Current opponents Tom Graves (R)
Demographics 38th most rural (52.7%), 4th most Republican per Cook PVI
Assessment No Democrat that I could find

District: GA-10
Location The northern part of eastern GA, mostly bordering SC (but also NC) map
Cook PVI R + 15
Representative Paul Broun (R)
VoteView rank 447
First elected  2007
2008 margin 61-39 over Bobby Saxon
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 37-62
Bush margin 2004 65-35
Current opponents Russell Edwards
Demographics 50th most rural (49.6%)
Assessment Long shot.  Broun has $140K COH, Edwards about $80K

District: GA-11
Location Northern part of western GA, bordering AL, including Rome and Marietta map
Cook PVI R + 20
Representative Phil Gingrey (R)
VoteView rank 421
First elected  2002
2008 margin 68-32 over Bud Gammon
2006 margin 71-29
2004 margin 57-43 (there was a redistricting)
Obama margin 33-66
Bush margin 2004 65-35
Current opponents Bud Gammon
Demographics 18th most Republican (per Cook PVI)
Assessment Long shot. Gingrey has over $1.2 mill COH, no info on Gammon

District: GA-12
Location Eastern GA, bordering SC, including Savannah and Augusta map
Cook PVI D + 1
Representative John Barrow (D)
VoteView rank 238
First elected  2004
2008 margin 66-34 over John Stone
2006 margin less than 1,000 votes, of 142,000
2004 margin 52-48
Obama margin 55-40
Bush margin 2004 50-49
Current opponents Ray McKinney
Demographics 30th most Blacks (44.5%) and 33rd most people in poverty (21.9%)
Assessment Vulnerable, but Barrow has $650K COH, McKinney about $70K, but lots of debt. Barrow is among the most conservative Democrats in the House.
SSP rating: Likely R
My rating

District: GA-13
Location An oddly shaped district, mostly west of Atlanta map
Cook PVI D + 15
Representative David Scott (D)
VoteView rank 183
First elected  2002
2008 margin 69-31 over Deborah Honeycutt
2006 margin 69-31
2004 margin unopposed
Obama margin 72-28
Bush margin 2004 40-60
Current opponents Deborah Honeycutt
Demographics 30th most Blacks (41%)
Assessment Safe.  Scott has about $60K COH, Honeycutt very little.

District: HI-01
Location Honolulu and immediate environs map
Cook PVI D + 11
Representative Neil Abercrombie (D) Retiring
VoteView rank NA
First elected  NA
2008 margin NA
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 70-28
Bush margin 2004 47-53
Current opponents Colleen Hanabusa (D).  Charles Djou (R)
Demographics The most nonWhite, nonLatinos, nonBlacks of any district, HI-01 is 53.6% Asian
Assessment Case and Djou each have about $400K COH
SSP rating: Tossup

District: HI-02
Location All of HI except Honolulu map
Cook PVI D + 14
Representative Mazie Hirono (D)
VoteView rank 45
First elected  2006
2008 margin 76-20 over Roger Evans
2006 margin 61-39
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 73-25
Bush margin 2004 44-56
Current opponents John Willoughby
Demographics the second most nonWhite, nonLatino, nonBlacks, HI-02 is 28% Asian
Assessment Safe.  Hirono has about $700K COH, Willoughby has little.

District: ID-01
Location Western ID, bordering OR, WA and MT including Boise map
Cook PVI R + 18
Representative Walt Minnick (D)
VoteView rank NA
First elected  2008
2008 margin 51-49 over Bill Sali
2006 margin NA
2004 margin NA
Obama margin 36-62
Bush margin 2004 30-69
Current opponents   Raul Labrador
Demographics Tied for fewest Blacks (0.3%), 14th most Republican
Assessment At one point, this looked like our most vulnerable seat. But Minnick has over $1 million COH, Labradour has little. A recent Republican poll showed Minnick up by 6, and an independent poll gives him a double digit lead.

District: ID-02
Location Eastern ID, bordering MT and WY map
Cook PVI  R + 17
Representative Mike Simpson Not confirmed
VoteView rank 277
First elected  1998
2008 margin 71-20 over Debbie Holmes
2006 margin 62-34
2004 margin 71-29
Obama margin 36-61
Bush margin 2004 69-30
Notes on opponents In 2006, Jim Hansen raised $160K, to Sampson's $570K
Current opponents Mike Crawford
Demographics 11th fewest Blacks (0.5%), 14th most Republican
Assessment Long shot. Simpson has $100K COH, no info on Crawford

Originally posted to plf515 on Mon Oct 11, 2010 at 03:17 AM PDT.

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