I know I shouldn't get too worked up about political predictions but it has been bugging me for a long time that normally very good analysts (Charlie Cook, I'm talking to you) have rated the Hawaii senate race as a tossup. This is absurd just based on the location. Hawaii has elected 1 Republican senator in its admittedly short time in the Union. So we have a state in which every Senator has been Democratic since my parents were in college. Then you add on the fact that this is a presidential election year which will result in a higher turnout, especially for Democratic voters as they help the President and their favorite son win his second term. Just for good measure lets throw in some amazingly good poll numbers.
Stop the madness and make this a safe Democratic seat.