The Rasmussen poll was unchanged from yesterday, so I think the narrative changed on Friday. Don't be concerned with the actual numbers, we know their pretty screwed up, but it's the trend that matters.
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.
These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, today’s update is the first based entirely upon interviews conducted after the first presidential debate last Wednesday night.
We all knew there would be a bounce for Romney on Thu. and that has been reflected in the polls. But because this is a 3 day moving average, it means the good number Obama had on Wed. was dropped from the poll, and yet the poll didn't move from yesterday. What I think this means, is Romney peaked on Fri. and now must be falling back. When his peak number on Thu is dropped tomorrow, we'll probably see his actual number begin to fall. Pure speculation on my part.
UPDATE: There was an interesting analysis done with social media, that indicated the narrative changed on Fri. I published this diary yesterday about the idea. For those who didn't see that diary, I've posted a couple images from the diary below the fold, but I've added nothing new.