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This will be a short diary, but I think it's important. Charlie Cook is basically the definition of "pundititis", but he's privy to what each campaign's internal polls are showing, which are much more accurate than the public polls that are saturated with pro-GOP outliers by pollsters with an agenda. Here is his new article.

The important column to look at is the "D/R Pollster Characterization" under the Battleground states polling.

North Carolina: Romney +1 or Romney +2
RCP Average: Romney +5.6 (!!!)

Florida: Romney +2 - Obama +1
RCP Average: Romney +2.4

Virginia: Even to Romney +2
RCP Average: Tie

Colorado: Obama +1 to Obama +5
RCP Average: Romney +0.2 (!!!)

Iowa: Romney +1 - Obama +7 (kind of a ridiculous spread here)
RCP Average: Obama +2.4

New Hampshire: Obama +2 to Obama +5
RCP Average: Romney +1 (!!!)

Nevada: Obama +3 to Obama +7
RCP Average: Obama +3

Wisconsin: Obama +3 to Obama +7
RCP Average: Obama +2.8

Ohio: Obama +4 to Obama +7 (!!!)
RCP Average: Obama +2.4 (!!!)

Michigan: Obama +7 to Obama +8
RCP Average: Obama +5 (!!!)

Pennsylvania: Obama +7 to Obama +9
RCP Average: Obama +5 (!!!)

As you can see, RCP, which includes the GOP shill pollsters, is drastically understating Obama's performance in NC, CO, NH, OH, MI, and PA. We have 265 "safe" EVs according to this, and will only need to pick off one of Nevada, Iowa, and Colorado, all of which we're ahead in, to win.

Don't let the GOP pollsters and crock of shit Gallup fool you. We're still in control here and both campaigns know it.

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