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at Five ThirtyEight we learn

the president is up to 71% likelihood

....  290.8 electoral votes

individual states

WI 82
NV 76
OH 73
NH 67
IA  66
VA 53
CO 52
FL  48.8
NC 15

Most probable distributions of EVs

332  13%
303  10%
347   8%

total of those 3 scenarios  31%

take it for what it is worth

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