I know many here are following the polls, and the poll-watchers, round the clock and, like me, pay close attention to 538.
It is interesting to note that Nate Silver's predictions actually appear quite conservative and (I am paraphrasing his words) even "Romney-leaning" in comparison with some other analysts doing work similar to his. (This morning, he rated the probability of an Obama win at 73.1%.) So, if you are not already aware of it, you might want to have a look at the Princeton Election Consortium, which as I understand it, is working with state-based polling numbers and not relying on the other factors Silver includes, such as market data. Here is what Sam Wang at Princeton posted:
Today, the Popular Vote Meta-Margin is Obama +1.8%. His November 6th re-elect probability is 90%. To the extent that I anticipate change, it is in the direction of President Obama. That much is apparent from the recent history.
I hope that has improved your morning as much as it did mine.