Here is the current overview of the consensus EV and BATTLEGROOUNDS data:
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ELECTORAL VOTE DISTRIBUTION:
TPM moves OBAMA from 274 to 290; ROMNEY from 239 to 191
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BATTLEGROUND STATE DESIGNATION:
TPM.com moves VIRGINIA and NEW HAMPSHIRE from TIED to OBAMA
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And here is the updated ELECTORAL MAP:
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OBAMA: 303 (303) (0)
ROMNEY: 191 (233) (-42)
TIED: 42 (0) (+42)
CHANGES:: NORTH CAROLINA, VIRGINIA, AND FLORIDA ALL MOVE TO 'TIED' - a clear movement towards OBAMA.
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And the current ELECTORAL VOTE TRENDLINE:
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And here is the current CONSENSUS ranked by MOST to LEAST Certain:
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SPECIAL NOTE: The two MOST ACCURATE POLLSTERS from the 2008 cycle (Nate Silver and Sam Wang) are the #2 and #4 most certain sources on the current list. Nate Silver sees Obama's current odds of winning at greater than 3 to 1, while Sam Wang puts the President's current chances of re-election at 99%.