Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 98.0%, Bayesian Prediction 99.8%
The 95% Confidence interval is well above the line (around 290)
Obama is predicted to get CO, NV, IA, OH, WI, MI, NH, VA, FL with NC as a toss-up
This thing is in the bag...but please carry that bag all the way home and put the groceries in the pantry and put the orange crescent rolls in the fridge.