Short diary, and yet another election post-mortem. We've seen some other narratives:
- We remain a 'center-right' nation.
- If not for Hurricane Sandy, we'd be winning.
- Mitt Romney was not communicating conservative values effectively [He had PAUL RYAN on the ticket, for gods sake].
- Not "really a mandate" without blue collar white males.
- It was a "close" loss i.e. a squeaker.
- Hey, if we just put Rubio on the next next ticket, and parade lots of women and hispanics around, we'll be fine.
- Blacks, Hispanics, Asians, Women, etc should be a "natural GOP constituency".
- Ok, Ok, we'll do immigration reform, but no citizenship, and only after that fence goes up.
- No big deal, Obama suppressed GOP turnout, lots of whites stayed home so that's all there is to it.
Here's the newest one to watch out for--that there actually isn't any demographic change, and that 2008 and 2012 was simply support for Obama. 2016, things will rever to normal. The number of ways that conservatives can find a way to put a crossface on reality is simply astounding. Here:
The coalition that turned out Election night 2012 to re-elect Barack Obama is Barack Obama’s coalition. It is not Joe Biden’s coalition. It is not the Democrats’ coalition. It turned out to elect Barack Obama in 2008. It did not, despite his pleas, turn out in 2010. It will not turn out in 2014. In 2016, Joe Biden, despite his claims now, is going to be 74 and too old to make a good attempt at the Presidency. If, for some reason, he leaves office sooner than that, the Democrats are going to tear each other apart to fill the seat or the President will pick a care taker.First, are they really equating mid-term elections and general elections? WTF?
Either way, the odds are the Obama coalition is subject to fracture in 2016.
Third, the GOP long term does have a demographic problem, but so do the Democrats. As much as the GOP needs to improve with hispanic voters, the Democrats have a white voter problem. The GOP more likely than not has another few election cycles before the demographics with hispanics become insurmountable and, in the meantime, can find ways to reach out to them and talk to them that do not include amnesty.
Second, it's clear he doesn't consider educated young urban professionals, or women white, even though they vote Democrats. "White vote" is basically code for "traditional male WASPs from the American 'heartland'."