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One of the races that will be on my radar for 2014 is the West Virginia Senate race.   Republican Congresscritter Shelley Moore Capito has announced that she will challenge the incumbant Jay Rockefeller for the 2014 election.   But Huffington Post reports that the Tea Party group Club For Growth is looking at backing a different candidate.   As poopdogcomedy recently explained, Capito being beat in a primary is good news for Demcorats.   I wonder if Club For Growth has learned nothing from this election

In a statement on Monday morning, Club for Growth president Chris Chocola pointed to the 2012 losses of Senate candidates who were backed by the GOP establishment and therefore did not face a competitive primary challenge.

"Her candidacy will undoubtedly be cheered by the GOP establishment, and dire warnings will be issued against any 'divisive' primary challenges, lest other candidates hurt Capito's chances of winning," Chocola said. "The problem is that Congresswoman Capito's record looks a whole lot like the establishment candidates who lost this year."

Let's look at the facts:   Richard Mourdock was a Tea Party candidate.  He beat an establishment Republican in Richard Lugar.   Lugar would have been a lock for re-election.   And we know that Donnelly stomped Mourdock in the Indiana race for a number of reasons but principally was the creepy "god's will" rape comments.     And we all know that Todd Akin was backed by Club For Growth, and he beat more establishment candidates and lost very badly to Claire McCaskill.  

Capito would be a strong Republican candidate for a general election.   She's pro-choice and strongly tied to coal which is big in West Virginia.   Capito is still a Republican though, and so would repeal Obamacare and do all the nasty things that Republicans do.    I will be watching this race with interest, but if the Club For Growth follows through and goes someone who is extremely anti-choice, our prospects for 2014 will get better.

Poll

If Capito is challenged in the Republican Primary

15%6 votes
7%3 votes
55%21 votes
10%4 votes
2%1 votes
5%2 votes

| 38 votes | Vote | Results

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Comment Preferences

  •  The TP'ers love to talk now (3+ / 0-)

    Let's see how much they get broken in the next year.  I think the establishment Republicans are about to drop an anvil on the Teawinkies.  Could be wrong, but I think it's about to happen.

    Obama in 2012: Because There Might Not Be Much Left by 2016

    by funluvn1 on Mon Nov 26, 2012 at 05:59:30 PM PST

    •  The Dems (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      pistolSO

      got NOBODY to run against her.  
      even Rockefeller has a real race on his hands if he runs again.
      The post-Raese WV GOP is here and that is bad news for progressives.   You are absent the battleground.

      •  There are several who could give her a race. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        a2nite

        ERT and Tennant have state-wide recognition and have been successful twice each. ERT would have to give the last two years of his term, but he is term-limited after that (at least I think so- not sure how the partial term works for that).

        Tennant wants to be governor, so maybe they could work something out.

        Thompson did well in the special gubantorial primary last year and might want to get out of the state legislature before he ends up as minority leader.

        Perdue is probably too old, but he is also popular and has been treasurer for a long while.

        Hechler wants to set the record of being the oldest guy in the Senate. He would be well over 100 by the end of the next term. He has national name recognition, having been Truman's press secretary.

  •  They have not learned one damn thing, have they? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    pistolSO, sparkysgal, a2nite

    I mean, for God's sake, Chocola is an Indiana native. He just saw Richard Mourdock, darling of the Tea Party and the Club for Growth, get his ass handed to him by Joe Donnelly (the man who, by the way, kicked the Count out of the House in 2006). He knows he and the CFG and the teabaggers, by taking out Lugar, giftwrappted this seat and handed it to the Democrats. And yet he won't stop doing this.

    Lemmings aren't this suicidal. Japanese soldiers on Iwo Jima weren't this suicidal. This is madness. Compared to these insane "purge all who don't pledge 100% fealty to us" conservatives, the folks on Jim Jones' compound look sane.

  •  I'll watch this with facination (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    pistolSO

    Shelly Moore Capito is Arch Moore's daughter.  Arch Moore was the most corrupt Governor West Virginia ever had, and possibly any state ever had.  Shelly learned it all at Daddy's knee--until he got sent to the joint by the feds.

    "It's too LATE to stop now!" - John Lee Hooker

    by Rolfyboy6 on Mon Nov 26, 2012 at 08:05:58 PM PST

  •  She is missing a Y chromosome; she's a sellout so (0+ / 0-)

    She can go to the devil.

    (R's) take those tired memes and shove 'em, Denise Velez Oliver, 11/7/2012.

    by a2nite on Mon Nov 26, 2012 at 09:17:56 PM PST

  •  Great. Now Dems have another pickup in the House (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    pistolSO
    •  well wouldn't be a pickup (0+ / 0-)

      since already in Dem hands but let them go ahead and run someone crazy that will make it easier for the seat to stay D. After Indiana and Missouri they haven't learned.

      •  Well... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        pistolSO

        I say it will be a pickup just because the seat is currently being held by a GOP Congresswoman and that if a Democratic candidate were to run in 2014, it's likely this would be a pickup opportunity for the Democratic Party.

        The one dilemma though would be that the Democrats would need to recruit someone who would be like Joe Manchin.  Manchin, you may or may not know, is kind of a wildcard Democrat although in West Virginia terms, he's as good of a Democrat as you can get.  He's been able to be anti-Obama yet still be a popular U.S. Senator who happens to be a Democrat.

        It's funny.  Democrats have been holding both U.S. Senate seats in West Virginia for many years yet no Democratic presidential candidate has been able to win WV since Bill Clinton (who won the state twice in his election and re-election campaigns).  Perhaps it would be wise if Democrats want to turn West Virginia blue to listen to Bill Clinton and James Carville.

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