Skip to main content

LOL, remember how close the election was predicted to be, by pollsters and pundits alike?

Only two days left — and, no, no one knows what's going to happen.

President Obama and Mitt Romney are scrambling for last-minute votes on Sunday and Monday in what could turn out to be a historically close presidential election — maybe not a rerun of the 2000 George-W.-Bush-Al Gore battle, but very close nonetheless.

How close, you ask?

The average of polls compiled by the RealClearPolitics website gives Obama a lead of 0.2% in the popular vote — 47.4% to 47.2%. That would leave 5.4% undecided.

And after President Obama won reelection, the media still insisted on calling the election very close.
There seems to be some confusion about whether or not the United States just witnessed a close election. Perhaps some historical perspective can help: Yes, this was a close election.
Here’s why:  
If we include Florida, Obama appears to have won 332 electoral votes to Romney’s 206. In the popular vote, the latest numbers suggest an Obama victory of 50.4 percent to Romney’s 48.1. This is not recount territory. Measured by the standards of the 20th century, though, it reflects a genuinely tight race.
Photobucket

On today's episode of ABC's This Week, John Karl gave himself some good advice:

KARL: Maybe if we can just listen to Nate Silver next time and not have to bother with the election.
Photobucket

The Pundit Row on the same show was asked to choose the defining moment of 2012. It seems that now that the election has ended and all the votes are in indicating a 51% popular vote majority, the media is finally reluctantly admitting that President Obama's victory was decisive.

KARL: OK, now we've asked each of you to come up with your -- since this is the last show of the year -- tell me what you felt were the defining or was the defining moment of 2012.

PURDUM: Well, it sounds like an obvious answer, but I think President Obama's re-election will be seen by history as...

(CROSSTALK)

(LAUGHTER)

PURDUM: I think -- I think the way that he won, the way that he won, so decisively, so clearly, and with an electorate that -- whose composition surprised the heck out of the Republicans will make his second term seen as -- he can no longer be seen as sort of a fluky creation of the wars and the Bush economy. He's actually a two-term president.

Imagine that. Sen. Mitch McConnell failed, in his main mission to make President Obama a one term President. Spectactularly, by all measures. I am glad President Obama is acting like he knows it, in these fiscal cliff 'negotiations', where the Republicans still delusionally seem to think they have some hand and are making demands as we inch ever closer to the curb. The Republicans continue to cling to their gerrymandered House 'majority' as their mandate. Time for them to embrace the reality.

Link to video is here, the quote appears in the last segment of the show.

EMAIL TO A FRIEND X
Your Email has been sent.
You must add at least one tag to this diary before publishing it.

Add keywords that describe this diary. Separate multiple keywords with commas.
Tagging tips - Search For Tags - Browse For Tags

?

More Tagging tips:

A tag is a way to search for this diary. If someone is searching for "Barack Obama," is this a diary they'd be trying to find?

Use a person's full name, without any title. Senator Obama may become President Obama, and Michelle Obama might run for office.

If your diary covers an election or elected official, use election tags, which are generally the state abbreviation followed by the office. CA-01 is the first district House seat. CA-Sen covers both senate races. NY-GOV covers the New York governor's race.

Tags do not compound: that is, "education reform" is a completely different tag from "education". A tag like "reform" alone is probably not meaningful.

Consider if one or more of these tags fits your diary: Civil Rights, Community, Congress, Culture, Economy, Education, Elections, Energy, Environment, Health Care, International, Labor, Law, Media, Meta, National Security, Science, Transportation, or White House. If your diary is specific to a state, consider adding the state (California, Texas, etc). Keep in mind, though, that there are many wonderful and important diaries that don't fit in any of these tags. Don't worry if yours doesn't.

You can add a private note to this diary when hotlisting it:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from your hotlist?
Are you sure you want to remove your recommendation? You can only recommend a diary once, so you will not be able to re-recommend it afterwards.
Rescue this diary, and add a note:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary from Rescue?
Choose where to republish this diary. The diary will be added to the queue for that group. Publish it from the queue to make it appear.

You must be a member of a group to use this feature.

Add a quick update to your diary without changing the diary itself:
Are you sure you want to remove this diary?
(The diary will be removed from the site and returned to your drafts for further editing.)
(The diary will be removed.)
Are you sure you want to save these changes to the published diary?

Comment Preferences

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site