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The Loud Family -- "Don't Respond, She Can Tell"

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Comment Preferences

  •  Wondering what weird thing Sanford does next (9+ / 0-)

    This whole week has felt like the opposite of the Massachusetts Senate race in 2010.  That year, each day brought some new Coakley gaffe and every time I didn't think things could get worse they did.   Must be what Republicans watching SC-01 are feeling right now.  

    23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-01 (college).

    by Jeff Singer on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 04:44:46 PM PDT

  •  18-0 map for Illinois (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen, Alibguy, MichaelNY, jeffmd

    http://www.dailykos.com/...

    Finding the limits for the Democratic Gerrymander.

  •  SC Gov (5+ / 0-)

    This is a bit old but former 2010 primary candidate and former state superintendent Jim Rex is creating a third party. It doesn't mention anything about another run but I feel like he might.

    http://www.wistv.com/...

    •  What a bold, impactful move (4+ / 0-)
      Rex and Lovelace are trying to organize this new party of moderates who believe in term limits, ethics, transparency, and maybe most important, an emphasis on the common good and solving problems instead of partisanship.
      SO BRAVE.

      Shame on us. | Pro-transit young black urban progressive | SSP/DKE | -9, -7.79 | MO-05: come for the jazz, stay for the burnt ends | Yard signs don't vote.

      by gabjoh on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 08:07:09 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Right now, we need to be focused on SC-01 (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Adam B, Odysseus, pademocrat

    I know we should be concerned about other races but man, we really need to fire up the base and grow the Democratic Party by electing Elizabeth Colbert-Busch in a couple of weeks.

    And man, building the Democratic base in South Carolina is a good start.

    •  Nice thought (5+ / 0-)

      But this is not mostly about firing up the base or "growing the Democratic Party." It's a case of a large minority of Republicans voting against a totally unacceptable Republican candidate. Sanford is a target of opportunity. That district is not going to suddenly become liberal or even moderate.

      Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

      by MichaelNY on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 05:29:17 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Oh I know (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, Gygaxian

        My group, Knowledge Democrats, posts new diaries on Kos all the time gathering information about Congressional districts across the U.S that are occupied by Republicans.  And I'm talking ALL GOP-held seats.

        At this moment, I will say I'm focused on getting Elizabeth Colbert-Busch elected.  Even starting there can start to make South Carolina a little less red than it used to be.

  •  FL-Gov (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    BKGyptian89, James Allen, Swamp Cat

    I would actually like Bill Nelson to run, because our only other viable option is Charlie "Democrat because its politically expedient" Crist. After beating Connie Mack IV hands down despite Mack's name rec, I doubt Rick Scott would be little more than a speed bump for Nelson even with the thousands in attack ads, as Nelson is entrenched and popular among the state's independent voters, an advantage Scott does not have and cannot simply pay for after his horrendous performance thus far as governor. As for the issue of who would appoint his successor, as far as I can tell he would take office at noon on January 6th, 2015, so he could specifically have his resignation as Senator from Florida take effect at 12PM on January 6th, 2015. He would then likely appoint Kathy Castor, who would run for the remainder of the term alongside (hopefully) Hillary Clinton in 2016, which would then give us a youthful incumbent with the potential to serve many terms in the 2018 midterm as opposed an aging incumbent who may have otherwise chosen to retire.

    Barbara Buono for NJ Governor 2013, Terry McAuliffe for VA Governor 2013

    by interstate73 on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 05:28:26 PM PDT

    •  I agreed with everything here (5+ / 0-)

      I know some here are a little hostile to Charlie Crist, but he was popular with Democrats in Florida, he was popular with everyone until the GOP in Florida start going hard right over the last several years. And we all know how they gave the backhand to Crist.

      I like Charlie, and I'll support him if he runs and hope he wins . Nelson has the opportunity to be mention in the same breath with the other prominent and most revered Dems the state of Florida has ever seen. He has the chance to be in the same category with Bob Graham, Lawton Chiles, Reubin Askew. No doubt he's aging, and running for Governor and winning would put him in that category, and be a swan song ending to his career.

      And with that he has the opportunity like you mention, to appointed a young, solid Dem, who could hold that seat for a good period of time. I've been mentioning Castor, not just this week, but for a while here now.

      The way Nelson sounded today it doesn't look like he's going to run. I don't think he will run, but people do have a change of heart. And if he does run then there's no doubt he'll win.

      NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

      by BKGyptian89 on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:00:06 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Just now I'm interested in (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    James Allen, pademocrat, Neon Vincent

    MA-Gov (I would like some poll)
    GA-Sen
    WI-Gov (I would like some poll)
    MD-Gov (I would like some poll)
    HI-Sen (I would like some poll)
    MI-Sen (I would like some poll)
    OR-Sen (I would like some poll)
    MI-Gov

    •  I think I'm primarily interested in AK-Sen, (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      abgin, MichaelNY, pademocrat, betelgeux

      AR-Sen, LA-Sen, and NC-Sen for senate races.  In gubernatorial, OH-Gov, FL-Gov, and MI-Gov.  For OR-Sen I honestly have no idea who our opponent might be, other than that it looks like it won't be a state senator up in 2014.  I don't know what a poll would show other than that Merkley would dominate against largely unknown opponents.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 06:22:58 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  A poll about OR-Sen (0+ / 0-)

        would talk about if J Merkley is raising his profile statewide. This is what I want in this case. Also it would be my wish to have G Smith and G Walden under control. I hope J Merkley will be dominating the race more easily every time, and I want to see if this is confirmed by new data.

        I think the GOP will not fight this seat, but better to have the things under control in early stages of the race.

        •  neither Smith or Walden are running (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, SaoMagnifico, Swamp Cat

          I mean Walden is head of the NRCC, so he can't.  Gordon Smith said he's not running for office again.

          ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

          by James Allen on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 06:45:46 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  The most important part for me (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            James Allen

            in my previous comment was the part of confirming that J Merkley is raising his profile. This is the most important part.

            As I tell before I expect not the GOP fighting this seat.

            If J Merkley raises enough his profile I think in a state like Oregon he can lead by something close to a 10%. I hope to see it in the following months.

        •  Sen. Merkley will cruise (4+ / 0-)

          I don't think I'm exaggerating when I say the Democratic brand in Oregon has never been stronger than it is right now.

          •  How so? (0+ / 0-)

            what makes it so strong?

            "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

            by KingofSpades on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 09:16:50 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  my opinion (4+ / 0-)

              Dems have done a good job of presenting themselves as trying to solve the state's real problems, and trying for good governance, rather than going on ideological crusades.  I think most of it, though, isn't so much the strength of the Dem brand, but the weakness of the Republican one.

              ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

              by James Allen on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 10:35:26 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  and to explain that out a tiny bit more (2+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                MichaelNY, ArkDem14

                the Republicans just don't give a shit if their ideas/opinions are unpopular, they keep running on them statewide, keep putting up ballot measures, and just keep getting beat over and over again.  They've won one statewide election in the past 15 years.  They don't care.  They are seen as being on ideological crusades, for what are in the state very unpopular causes.

                ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

                by James Allen on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 04:53:46 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

          •  I also hope it (0+ / 0-)

            It is likely if J Merkley raises his profile a little more. He is going by good way.

            As you can see in my list there are some race that are not in risk. I always want the things guaranted by the good way in the safest zone before look forward.

      •  There are interesting races in your list (0+ / 0-)

        I included not FL-Gov, LA-Sen, AK-Sen, NC-Sen and AR-Sen in my list because I see the work in the Democratic side by the right way and I see good polls. Also can be in this group CO-Gov, CO-Sen, PA-Sen, ME-Gov, SC-Gov, VA-Gov or MT-Sen.

        I see not many things more to do in these races except the normal development of the races, in some case with competitive primaries.

        MD-Gov, HI-Sen and OR-Sen can be easier still but I think it would be good to have some new poll.

        In the case of PA-Sen and MD-Gov I see not trouble with the people who is running and with the rest of the potential candidates. PA-13 has also good level candidates/potential candidates (I feel sympathy by the case of M Margolies-M).

        In the case of HI-Sen, I would prefer that C Hanabusa run not because I like not HI-01 Open. I hope to see high profile candidates for the seat.

        I would tell that the biggest risk for all these races I mentioned would be E Cutler running as independent. I want M Michaud in and an easy race, I would have not trouble with E Cutler running in the Democratic Primary but a three way race only benefit to P Le Page.

        At this point I would tell that there is more work to do in the Democratic side in races like MA-Gov, GA-Sen, WI-Gov, MI-Sen and MI-Gov. And all are winnable races.

  •  HI and NM Apportionment (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades

    I didn't know this until recently, but apparently the 1967 law that mandated single-member districts in the House exempted Hawaii and New Mexico (which at the time were electing their representatives at-large). So as far as I know, to this day, both Hawaii and New Mexico could have at-large or multimember districts.

    http://www.govtrack.us/...

  •  Indiana Week in Review (7+ / 0-)

    Governor Pence and the state legislature agreed on a budget that includes a 5% income tax cut, half of what Pence has been pursuing. It will take effect in two stages: a 3% cut in 2015 and a 2% cut in 2017. Pence issued a statement: "Today Hoosier taxpayers won a great victory. The agreement reached...is the right tax relief at the right time..." Of course, this demonstrates a lapse in logic - if the tax cuts are years away from being implemented, how does this offer current relief? This is awful policy all around. For someone who makes $50,000 a year, by 2017, that person would save about $85 a year. This is at the expense of $1 billion in the state's budget. There's a reason that Pence has been so high on this effort even as every other conceivable group (Indiana mayors, both parties in the state legislature, Indiana taxpayers) have been opposed to these tax cuts. It's all about Pence being able to say that he cut taxes in preparation for his Presidential campaign in 2016 or 2020.

    Indianapolis Mayor Greg Ballard went to the statehouse in an effort to resurrect the mass transit bill. He testified before a conference committee considering the bill that called for a summer study committee of transit issues. The mayor said the issue has been studied enough times. He asked that a 2014 referendum on tax increases to fund a mass transit system be reinstated. The biggest issue around the matter seems to be the issue of a tax increase, though allowing a referendum on the matter should take care of that. It's silly that this has been such a contentious issue.

    Ballard also wanted the General Assembly to give him new budget authority that he believes could help prevent a fiscal crisis. Democrats have correctly called it a political power grab. The new budget authority is in a bill calling for the elimination of the four at-large seats on the city-county council, all currently held by Democrats. If the seats were eliminated, the council would go from a 15-14 Democratic majority to a 14-11 Republican majority. The author of this plan, state Senator Mike Young, restored the provision that eliminates the at-large seats in a conference committee. Because of that, the black caucus asked that the issue be sent to a summer study committee. Both Young and the mayor, obviously, are opposed to that idea. Considering that every other city in Indiana has at-large seats, it's pretty hard for Republicans to defend this as anything other than a power grab. If they went through with this plan, Republicans could receive massive backlash within the city. Even with the removal of at-large seats and the presence of a Republican gerrymander, it's not likely that Republicans would be able to hold onto the city-county council for too much longer given how blue the city has become.

    Spotting potential mental health problems in American soldiers is the focus of the first bill introduced by Joe Donnelly in the US Senate. The bill is named after Jacob Sexton, a soldier from Farmland, Indiana (just outside of Muncie), who committed suicide while home on leave from Afghanistan. The bill adds mental health screening to the comprehensive periodic health assessment given to service members. Donnelly stated that he's supporting this legislation "so that in talking to that particular service member, we can look to see if there are certain markers or certain flags to, in effect, detect early that there might be some mental health challenges." Donnelly's top priority throughout his time in Congress has been on benefits and support for veterans, so I'm not surprised that this is the first bill introduced by Donnelly. He also gave his first floor speech, discussing the job climate for returning soldiers, which can be viewed here.

    The Pragmatic Progressive (IN-4); Economic Left/Right: -7.12; Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -5.44

    by AndySonSon on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 06:41:17 PM PDT

    •  I think it would be funny in 2015 (3+ / 0-)

      if a Democrat wins the Mayor's race (probably Joe Hogsett), but the GOP wins a weakened Council. But I don't think that the GOP map is a sure thing. It seems that there are 10 Dem seats, 10 GOP seats and then 5 competitive seats- the new CCCD-2, 6, 16, 19, 21. Also, CCCD-3, 5, 15, 22 are only slightly leaning GOP seats, which will trend away from them in time.

      Here is the district map (unless the courts undo it): http://www.indy.gov/...

      "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

      by SouthernINDem on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 10:07:19 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  So Ballard is showing his true (0+ / 0-)

      ideological conservative colors. Only Indiana Democrats could lose to this amateur, and let him get reelected.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 10:54:10 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  I was going to diary about the race (5+ / 0-)

    in Oregon's HD-52 last year, where an underfunded Dem challenger nearly knocked off a freshman Republican, losing by only 937 votes, or about 51.7-48.3%.

    Then I lost all I'd worked on.  To sum, our candidate hailed from a one-precinct community, the Mount Hood Villages.  He did about as good as Obama there.  In the rest of the precincts in Multnomah and Clackamas counties (it has three in rural east Multnomah, and some in northeastern Clackamas) he generally underperformed Obama by maybe 2 points on average.  Had he done that well in the rest of the district he'd have won, since it's about a D+1 district so Obama must've gotten around 53% of the vote.

    The rest of the district is Hood River County, where he underperformed Obama by 6-17 points in every precinct.  Our candidate did win Hood River County by a little, but Obama won it by a lot more.  Hood River is also the home of Republican incumbent, but also congressman Greg Walden, and it has a Republican state senator who used to be a Hood River County Commissioner.  It's a pretty swingy area, though definitely Dem-leaning.

    My conclusion is that we need a candidate who (1) will raise more money, but also (2) I think it would be better to have a candidate from either Hood River, to try to cut more into the incumbent's base and get more of those swingy voters, or from Sandy, a slightly Republican-leaning city in Clackamas County, since that is the largest community in the district.  Then work the hell out of Hood River.

    ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

    by James Allen on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 06:44:40 PM PDT

  •  A great duet from Meat Loaf: (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    tommypaine, Swamp Cat

    "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

    by KingofSpades on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 06:52:58 PM PDT

  •  My musical contrbution... (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, GloFish, jeffmd

    http://www.youtube.com/...

    Whoever she was, he finally did stop loving her today. George Jones died today, age 81. Rest in peace.

    19, Male, MD-8. Fan of University of Virginia athletics.

    by Danny Ricci on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 06:56:31 PM PDT

  •  Former ND Gov. Guy dies at 93 (6+ / 0-)

    20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
    politicohen.com
    Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
    UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

    by jncca on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:06:48 PM PDT

  •  What are people here's favorite sci fi shows? (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Stephen Wolf, KingofSpades

    I'd probably have to say Stargate (SG-1, although I've just recently started Atlantis and it's growing on me fast).

    I've also watched Firefly, BSG, and Doctor Who and enjoyed them all.

    •  I really liked the original Stargate movie (0+ / 0-)

      but have never liked the shows.  Doctor Who is too campy for me.  I've not seen more than 5 minutes of Firefly.  The newer BSG is my favorite of those you've mentioned, but I've only seen a few episodes.

      I'm not terribly into science fiction anymore.  I was much more when I was younger.

      ...better the occasional faults of a government that lives in a spirit of charity, than the consistent omissions of a government frozen in the ice of its own indifference. -FDR, 1936

      by James Allen on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:13:32 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I feel like theres a strong lacking of good sci fi (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      James Allen

      shows as opposed to films as there really isn't anything I can think of off the top of my head on HBO or Showtime that is top quality. Firefly is definitely one of my favorites and if you liked that, Cowboy Bebop is very much in the same vein but it is anime (even if you don't like anime all that much, this is consistently rated as the best anime show or one of them, plus it has a great soundtrack). I just looked through all my five star rated shows/movies and those two were the only sci fi shows. I liked BSG a lot (season 4 sucks though) but there were still a lot of elements to it I didn't like.

    •  Atlantis also grew on me. (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      BeloitDem, lordpet8

      I have not watched Doctor Who in almost a year and may try to catch up this summer (starting this weekend if I can).  The two parter with the Daleks in Manhattan (10th Doctor) sold me and I really enjoyed the two parter introducing the Silents.  The idea of an alien race who is living among us but we don't know of because whenever we're not looking at them all memories of them are swept out of our brains automatically was an eerily good concept.  I also chuckled at how the Doctor went back in time to 1969 and brazenly exited the invisible TARDIS to eavesdrop on Nixon and then later requested "a street level map of Florida, a SWAT team on standby, some coffee, some jammie dodgers (which I bought once and they're extremely good with tea), and a fez."

       I heard that the Doctor's name will get revealed soon.  Is that true???

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:18:26 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  The season finale is slated to be called (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades

        "the name of the Doctor." But Steve Moffat is a notorious tease, so who knows.

      •  "Daleks in Manhattan"? (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        lordpet8, BeloitDem

        Wow, not to knock your taste or anything, but that's pretty much universally regarded as the worst two-part story the show has done since its 2005 revival.

        •  It's what sold me though. (0+ / 0-)

          Plus it set the stage for the return of Davros.

          "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

          by KingofSpades on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 09:11:02 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Honestly, the return of Darvos felt forced (0+ / 0-)

            I felt kinda like Russell T. Davies basically just wanted to do something big on the way out. As someone who hadn't seen any of the classic series, I couldn't really tell why I was supposed to be afraid of this guy.

            •  Yeah, and Davros didn't learn his lesson. (0+ / 0-)

              Davros met his end once in the original ending because the Daleks he created eventually turned on him because they became so obsessed with destroying all that is not Dalek that they saw him as an enemy (Davros is a mutated, crippled Kaled, the species precursor of Daleks).  In his new series return, Davros thought that cloning new Daleks from his own Kaled DNA would make sure they would obey him, but again they ultimately turned on  him because he is not Dalek.

              "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

              by KingofSpades on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 12:48:37 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

    •  I wish HBO would do the sci fi equivalent of (0+ / 0-)

      Game of Thrones. That would be pretty awesome.

    •  Blake's 7 (0+ / 0-)

      Best series ending ever (with Newhart #2).

      Mr. Gorbachev, establish an Electoral College!

      by tommypaine on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:24:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I also really enjoy ST: TNG (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      pademocrat

      Captain Picard is someone whose ethics and logical reasoning I look up to.

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:25:43 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Oh boy (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Skaje, ehstronghold

      "Deep Space Nine" is probably my favorite, but I love "Firefly" and "Doctor Who", and the first two and a half seasons or so of "Battlestar Galactica".

      •  Yup (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Stephen Wolf, SaoMagnifico

        Count me as another fan who loved the first two and a half seasons of BSG.  After that...ehh...well the show ends in four seasons anyway, so it's not too much further to the end.  But a clear step down in the quality.

        •  Oh (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Stephen Wolf, SaoMagnifico, Skaje

          man everything from the Miniseries to the episode in the 3rd season when they were air locking the people who collaborated with the Cylons on New Caprica was just pure magic for BSG.

          It's too bad they lost the plot soon after that and the fact they had the Pegasus destroyed....

          Though the episode when Gaeta and Zarek try to overthrow Adama and Roslin was excellent though. You couldn't help but to feel sorry for Gaeta especially when you watch the miniseries and see that he was a young officer with a bright future ahead of him.

          Caprica was a promising series as well if it was given a chance. Even though most of the first season seemed directionless at times, you could see in the last few episodes the story was rapidly coming into focus.

          It's too bad Syfy never gave Caprica a chance to salvage itself in the second season. Blood and Chrome was okay if you wanted a gritter less developed version of Star Wars, but an utter failure in the BSG universe.

          The Republican party is now an extreme right-wing party that is owned by their billionaire campaign contributors. - Bernie Sanders

          by ehstronghold on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 08:58:54 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

        •  I thought the way they ended the series (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          SaoMagnifico

          was just utterly stupid. I won't spoil it for anyone, but suffice to say it's just totally unrealistic given everything they had been through. Plus I just strongly disliked the show's Christian undertones. Come on, they're an entirely different civilization with advanced technology and much higher prevalence of education, yet the characters are still fairly religious and polytheistic at that? Right...

    •  Quantum Leap (0+ / 0-)

      "What do you mean "conspiracy"? Does that mean it's someone's imaginings and that the actual polls hovered right around the result?" - petral

      by conspiracy on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 03:11:49 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Dark Angel (0+ / 0-)

      Firefly too, maybe Babylon 5. I don't feel like there's been a lot of great si-fi television.

      (-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", social anarchist, KY-01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy." — Stanisław Lem

      by Setsuna Mudo on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 05:34:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Fringe, Firefly, BSG (0+ / 0-)

      Plus there's no beating The Twilight Zone.

      25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

      by HoosierD42 on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 07:29:46 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Since I previously said that I think sci fi shows (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Swamp Cat, lordpet8

      are lacking in quality, I'll give you a list of some of my top rated sci fi movies (4/5-5/5 stars)
      The Hunger Games, 9 (2009 animated short), Cloud Atlas (my 2012 favorite film, this should have won oscars), The Matrix (another favorite), Looper (very excellent), Star Wars original trilogy, Limitless, Dredd, Inception, Chronicle, Star Trek (2009 film), Star Trek II the Wrath of Khan (only good Shatner one), Star Trek First Contact, Avatar (best theater experience I've had, but the acting and script are meh. It's a visual spectacle), Blade Runner, The Chronicles of Riddick, Pitch Black (prequel to Riddick and the better film), District 9, Prometheus, Alien, Aliens, the Firefly movie 'Serenity'.

      Anyone know of some other great ones?

    •  my favorites are (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, BeloitDem

      Firefly - Glad a few of my college friends got me into this show

      Doctor Who- I been loyal fan of the show for the past 3-4 years now. But I will say the current season feels like its missing something

      Torchwood- It's funny but I watched this Doctor Who spin-off before I got into Dr. Who

      Sanctuary- I've been fan of Amanda Tapping, wish they didn't axe this show prematurely

      Supernatural - Amazed its gone on for so long, looks like they may make it to 10 seasons

      In fact, the occasional victory for the GOP cannot hide the fact that this country is fast heading into another era, not of two-party democracy, but a party-and-a-half system. And the GOP is the half a party- Larry Sabato

      by lordpet8 on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 11:49:37 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Surprising that Supernatural did so well. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        lordpet8

        I never watched it, but I remember being intrigued when it first came out.

        "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

        by KingofSpades on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 12:42:35 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Yeah it came close to being axed after the (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          KingofSpades

          3rd season (during the writer's strike), but it managed to hang on. I know the new head of CW is a big fan of the show, so I'm hopeful she will give them the green light for Season 10 next year.(the writers are already planning to have the show go till season 10, even though they only just got renewed for a 9th season)

          In fact, the occasional victory for the GOP cannot hide the fact that this country is fast heading into another era, not of two-party democracy, but a party-and-a-half system. And the GOP is the half a party- Larry Sabato

          by lordpet8 on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 01:33:05 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  Point of fact (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        lordpet8, BeloitDem

        Supernatural is not science fiction, it is technically fantasy.

        23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

        by wwmiv on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 12:43:46 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  True (0+ / 0-)

          apart from a few time-travel episodes, it's mostly Horror/Fantasy.

          In fact, the occasional victory for the GOP cannot hide the fact that this country is fast heading into another era, not of two-party democracy, but a party-and-a-half system. And the GOP is the half a party- Larry Sabato

          by lordpet8 on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 01:28:32 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

      •  I stopped watching Supernatural this season (0+ / 0-)

        It feels completely different and wrong.

        25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

        by HoosierD42 on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 06:23:02 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Is the movie "Moon" worth seeing? (0+ / 0-)

      I heard it's awesome.

      "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

      by KingofSpades on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 12:49:15 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  I don't have a current favorite (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ndrwmls10, KingofSpades

      I loved Battlestar Galactica on SyFy Channel and Lost, but of course those are long done.  I even liked the series finale for each, putting me in the minority here if I remember right.

      I've watched a couple episodes of Defiance, it's OK but not gripping me yet.

      45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

      by DCCyclone on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 02:19:59 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  MT-SEN (9+ / 0-)

    For what it's worth, Newsmax says, "Should Schweitzer for any reason choose not to make the Senate race, sources in Big Sky Country agree the near-certain Democratic candidate would be state Supreme Court Chief Justice Mike McGrath."

    I haven't heard his name mentioned before now, but I actually agree with them that McGrath would be a strong candidate, seeing as he was twice elected Attorney General, though I imagine he'd have to resign from the Court before running for Senate.

    Link.

    19, FL-07 (school), MD-07 (home). UCF sophomore, politically ambitious, vocally liberal--what else could you need to know?

    by tqycolumbia on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:20:02 PM PDT

    •  Luckily this is a state where our bench is (10+ / 0-)

      very deep despite its redness. This is also amazingly a state that has only elected a Republican senator four times ever which is shockingly low for a red presidential state outside the south. And it isn't like we're talking conservadems either. Hopefully Schweitzer gets in and locks it up as I'm inclined to believe he will. I had this one as a loss with Baucus in so that would be a great turnaround. It makes a Republican senate majority quite difficult as they really have to run the table and win some Lean D races. I only have AR, LA, AK as tossup and SD and WV as Lean R (Rounds looks like Tommy Thompson 2.0, struggling to win the primary and being broke when he does).

      •  Say more about Rounds (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        Zack from the SFV

        What's your evidence?

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:55:47 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  He refused to sign the no tax raises pledge (5+ / 0-)

          his numbers were soft on whether he was conservative enough in PPP's poll and he just generally wasn't lighting a fire with conservatives. Then he posted just a truly pitiful first quarter where he pulled in all of $184k despite being a popular former governor and getting in the race in December when he raised $270k in that month alone. That tells me he's exhausted all of his low hanging fruit or just didn't bother doing necessary call time, etc. and that was an issue of Thompson's campaigns, though he was certainly less popular in a bluer state, his opponent wasn't incredibly popular like SHS would be if she runs. I think there's a strong chance of him losing in the primary or at least having to deal with a significant challenge that leaves him broke when the general starts. He just doesn't have solid bona fides among conservative Republicans and he's vulnerable from the right.

          •  I starting to believe that we may (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            see a case of Wisconsin and North Dakota play it self in the South Dakota senate race in 2014.

            North Dakota where you had a very likable person in Heitkamp. SHS is certainly likable. And a former Governor who is just showing a lackluster performance in Tommy Thompson, in this case it's Mike Rounds. If the GOP don't get this seat, then they will not win a majority in 2016. When they have to defends 4 seat in blue states (IL, WI, PA, NH) and another seat in a purple state they could lose depending on internal states politics in NC

            NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

            by BKGyptian89 on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 08:20:17 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Not to mention (3+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              James Allen, pademocrat, MichaelNY

              Iowa, Florida, Ohio, Arizona (not a purple/blue state now but could be by then and McCain has terrible approval ratings)... It'll be a tough year for them.

              •  they only lose Florida (0+ / 0-)

                If Rubio is the nominee, that's another reason why it's important to win the governorship next year. It's almost certain that the legislature will try to pass a law that changes that, and we need a Democrat Governor to veto it.

                NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

                by BKGyptian89 on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 07:17:17 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  We'll see (0+ / 0-)

                  Rubio's work on immigration reform probably helps him, but his really extremist votes against background checks to try to prevent insane murderers from getting weapons and ammo, etc., could hurt him. It could depend a lot on who his opponent is.

                  Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

                  by MichaelNY on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 12:27:31 PM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  I'm skeptical he's the nominee (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    The GOP as a rule almost always nominates a more seasoned pol.  With the exceptions of Eisenhower, Ford, and Bush, all of whom had exceptional reasons for their vault that don't apply to Rubio in 2016, every GOP nominee has been someone who ran for President before and lost the nomination.  Now, it's a given that anyone but Jeb represents a total break from precedent, but still the principle applies that the GOP prefers someone seasoned, and Rubio won't be that soon.

                    Secondarily, the problem he's going to have is that the enforcement provisions will be imperfect, and unauthorized crossings will climb again (maybe only slowly, but climb nevertheless) as the economy improves.  It will be very hard to have an outcome over the next couple years where the wingnuts can't complain in some way about the border control outcome, no matter how unfair it is.

                    That makes it tougher for him.

                    45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

                    by DCCyclone on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 02:17:43 PM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

              •  That's also assuming (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                MichaelNY

                McCain doesn't retire.

    •  Newsmax is not really a source I trust (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      BeloitDem, pademocrat, MichaelNY

      He sounds like a fine candidate, but it's not like Democrats don't have a bench.

      •  Indeed, if Schweitzer doesn't run (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        I'd love to see State Auditor Monica Lindeen give it a go. She's second term and has nothing to lose, and won by like 7 points in 2012.

      •  Denise Juneau looks like a (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        great back up candidate with a proven statewide track record.

        "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

        by ArkDem14 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 11:25:42 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  I love Denise Juneau (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, jncca

          But she's probably too liberal to win a more prominent office. I mean, she barely won reelection for superintendent in 2012, and that was as in incumbent in office heavily associated with an issue that votes trust Democrats was more than Republicans on. Either Linda McCulloch or Monica Lindeen would be stronger.

    •  I would love McGrath to run. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      That would be awesome.

    •  he has rilly cool tattoos! (0+ / 0-)

      oh, wait... that's Mark McGrath  

      A Republican is a person who says we need to rebuild Iraq but not New Orleans. - Temple Stark

      by Christopher Walker on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 08:22:50 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  music contribs (0+ / 0-)

    NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

    by BKGyptian89 on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 07:22:08 PM PDT

  •  I don't have a song to contribute, but (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Zack from the SFV

    I'm finally getting around to collecting the classics of Jazz, mainly Hard Bop but also some 60's avant-garde, 70's fusion, and 40s Bebop with Charlie Parker and Dizzy Gillespie. Other than that I already had Miles Davis, John Coltrane (hands down favorite), Herbie Hancock, Art Blakey, Horace Silver, Pat Metheny, Larry Coryell, John McLaughlin, Pharoah Sanders, Wayne Shorter, Thelonious Monk (not a favorite at all), and Weather Report. Now I'm finally getting around to just going down the list of top rated albums and have been getting things by Andrew Hill, Cannonball Adderley, Clifford Brown, Dave Brubeck, Duke Ellington, Eric Dolphy, Grant Green, Hank Mobley, Jackie McClean, Lee Morgan, Max Roach, Oliver Nelson, Sonny Clark, West Montgomery, and Yusef Lateef, all of whom were roughly in the top 50 or 100 under jazz on rateyourmusic.com. Anyone got any other suggestions or their personal favorite album, jazz or otherwise? Mine, which I'd recommend to anyone looking to get into jazz is 1959's Kind of Blue by Miles Davis, but the true star of the album is John Coltrane in my opinion. He plays the saxophone like it were a natural extension of his body and does so in a way that makes it look effortless. That album is currently ranked #10 best of all time on the site and the top jazz album of all time period.

  •  NY State Sen. Greg Ball made Cracked.com! (5+ / 0-)

    http://www.cracked.com/...
    And to thing, we were so close to beating him: http://ballotpedia.org/...

    "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

    by KingofSpades on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 08:48:45 PM PDT

  •  Michigan (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, MichaelNY

    Any news on the situation there? With an open Senate race and a more-than-likely competitive governor's race, has there been any polling done there lately testing the generic ballot for the state?

    Is Gretchen Whitmer still interested in running for AG against Bill Schuette?

    Besides Gary McDowell, are there any other Dems who can take on Dan Benishek in MI-01? And what of Kerry Bentivolio in MI-11? If Justin Amash vacates his seat, is it winnable? And besides Hansen Clarke, who else could be angling for Gary Peters' seat in MI-14?

    28 • Gay Male • CA-35 (new) • Pragmatic • Progressive • Liberal • Democrat

    by BluntDiplomat on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 08:55:52 PM PDT

    •  Haven't heard much about Whitmer lately (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, brooklyncyclones

      and I don't know a whole lot about MI-01.

      The eleventh, though, depends on who you talk to.  A lot of people here seem to think it's winnable, but I'm a lot less optimistic.  The thing to remember about the 11th is that it's extremely red, and was made even more so after redistricting.  They basically shored it up to make McCotter safe.  Further, we seem to always have trouble finding a good candidate.  I don't see MI-11 flipping anytime soon, even with a nutjob like Bentivolio.

      MI-03 would be difficult as well.  Again, it's a pretty red area, one that, iirc, hasn't elected a dem in a while.

      •  I go further (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        ehstronghold

        I don't think any of Michigan's seats are winnable for Democrats.

        23 Burkean Post Modern Gay Democrat; NM-2 (Raised), TX-20 (B.A. & M.A. in Political Science), TX-17 (Home); 08/12 PVIs

        by wwmiv on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 08:22:52 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  I don't think Whitmer has ruled about AG (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, BluntDiplomat

        But other people are positioning themselves to run for it. The most notable seems to be MSU law prof Mark Totten. He ran for State Senate in 2010 but lost the primary. Law professors have done pretty well for Michigan Dems recently.

        I am not sure who will run in the 11th. It will always be an uphill battle for the 11th. Most of our candidates are from Wayne County (St. Senator Glenn Anderson). If it was the old 11th that would be fine, but the new 11th is dominated by Oakland County. We simply don't have much of a bench in this part of Oakland County. Republicans did a really good job cutting around our strong Democratic candidates (St. Rep Vicki Barnett) .

        I think MI-03 is more winnable against Amash. If he enters the race the senate race, Terri Lynn Land should stop eyeing the Senate seat and run here. I don't think anybody could beat her. If Mark Schauer runs for Governor, it should help us out in Calhoun County part of the district. We just need to drive up the margin in Grand Rapids. We have lots of options. State Rep. Brandon Dillon is probably my favorite.

        I think a lot of people will jump into the race for MI-14. State Senator Bert Johnson may go after the open seat. Bert Johnson challenged Conyers in 2012, but he represents more of the 14th than the 13th. Maybe former St. Senator Buzz Thomas enters the race. He is still pretty young (44). Southfield Mayor Brenda Lawrence may run again as well. My dark house candidate is Vicki Barnett. Gary Peters put her name out there for Gov, but she could run here as well. She could win if the Detroit vote splits enough ways.

        Our bench in MI-1 has been destroyed. I think the best bet outside of McDowell is former St. Senate minority leader Mike Prusi. He turned down a run in 2010. After that, Tribal Chairman Derek Bailey probably is still interested.

        M, 23, School: MI-12, Home: NY-18

        by slacks on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 12:57:59 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Anderson (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          is actually one of the few people I think would have a good shot for us in MI-11.

          I also wouldn't be surprised, though, to see him try again in the 13th if Conyers retires.

          I suppose he could try the 14th, too.  He's definitely got ambitions for higher office, and is term-limited out next year, so I'd expect to see him run somewhere.

  •  All Michigan here (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    Governor, Senator, and CD-07, currently held by Tim Walberg.  There's maneuvering going on for Governor and Senator already.  As for CD-07, other than Walberg running for re-election, I got nothing.

    "The party of ideas has become the party of Beavis and Butthead." ~ Paul Krugman.

    by Neon Vincent on Fri Apr 26, 2013 at 09:03:22 PM PDT

    •  We don't have much in MI-7 (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, KingofSpades

      The bench is fairly thin. It is a district filled with mostly small cities so none of the local officials have high profiles. Jackson Mayor Marty Griffin has lost a lot of races so I don't trust him to beat Walberg. We might be able to find somebody out of the Monroe County part of the district.

      We have some former state reps that could be good candidates. They didn't run in 2012 so I don't think they would run in 2014. The first is Kathy Angerer. After leaving the state house she became AT&T's state lobbyist. The next is Dudley Spade. He joined the Snyder Administration so I think he is a non-starter.

      On the state level, we don't have a single state senator in this district.We won three state rep seats in 2012. We will have to wait and see how they develop.

      M, 23, School: MI-12, Home: NY-18

      by slacks on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 01:25:57 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Ed Cox on Up with Steve Kornacki: (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    LordMike, KingofSpades, betelgeux

    "The Republicans will gain the Senate in 2014 and make major gains in the house."

    What planet does he live on?  Seriously, throughout the entire show he and Nan Hayworth (who actually sounded sane compared to him) expressed over-confidence with regard to the republican party.  Cox even said that the Tea Party is "in the middle [of the country] with regard to spending and taxs."  

    Is Cox really just that stupid?

    27, male, gay, living with and loving my partner of over 4 years in downtown Indianapolis (IN-7).

    by IndyLiberal on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 06:59:04 AM PDT

  •  Okay Schweitzer's probably running (22+ / 0-)

    http://thehill.com/...

    He's just updated his campaign website to now include "I want to volunteer" and "From Montana, for Montana." That tells me there's a 95% chance he's going to run.

  •  A nice overview of how Salt Lake County Dems (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, jj32, lordpet8

    are great compared to their Republican predecessors: http://www.sltrib.com/...

    Salt Lake County Dems seem to be trusted a lot more than Salt Lake County Republicans, and that's how we win. Trust and competence.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 10:41:02 AM PDT

  •  Headline hyperbole (8+ / 0-)

    Gay marriage vote: History bears stamp of GOP

    Refers to the five GOP state senators in Rhode Island backing same-sex marriage.  Clearly, Republicans are national leaders on gay rights now.

  •  House Majority PAC started this year real well (4+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    jj32, itskevin, BeloitDem, ArkDem14

    likely because of SC-01:
    http://blogs.rollcall.com/...

    "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

    by KingofSpades on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 02:09:54 PM PDT

  •  AP: GOP struggling with Senate recruitment (7+ / 0-)

    link.

    One bit of info in here that I didnt know previously: NRSC tried(or is trying) to get Branstad into the IA-SEN.

    Recruitment is always important, but it's pretty key this year, especially for the GOP. This is a great chance for them to win back the Senate. A midterm election, with 7 Dem seats in states Romney won, plus potentially competitive races in IA and MI. Compare that to 2016, when there are only 10 Dem seats up total, and 8 of the 10 are in states Obama won by double digits.

    •  If Gov. Branstad runs... (4+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      jj32, MichaelNY, betelgeux, DCCyclone

      Republicans would probably have a good chance at that Senate seat, but they would likely lose the governor's mansion.

      •  It seems unlikely (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        KingofSpades, MichaelNY, betelgeux, jncca

        that Branstad would run for Senate, as the article says that the efforts to persuade him to do so were "in vain, it turns out."

        Besides, having been elected as governor five times (four in the 1980s and 1990s), if Branstad really wanted to be a Senator he probably would have run a long time ago, presumably against Harkin who often looked vulnerable early in election cycles before winning.

        37, MD-8 (MD-6 after 2012) resident, NOVA raised, Euro/Anglophile Democrat

        by Mike in MD on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 03:20:32 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Branstad isn't super popular any more (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        and 69 is a little old to be a freshman, which is what he would be if inaugurated. The last few PPP polls showed him reasonable above water, but nothing stellar and nothing to the point that automatically makes him a favorite over Braley. The GOP just doesn't have a candidate with Grassley's popularity in the state and without one, any Republican starts out as a slight underdog thanks to the state's lean, even if Branstad or Latham make it a tossup.

        And I agree, they'd lose the governor's mansion and with us only being down 3 in the state house, we could possibly gain the trifecta. I'd imagine Vilsack would heavily consider running if Branstad vacated and he'd be a near lock to win as Latham would never run.

      •  He won't run for Senate and this underscores... (6+ / 0-)

        ...the NRSC's desperation in this race.

        Branstad is in the twilight of his career, he's got maybe one more term as Governor and then he's done.  He was itching for a comeback, but he's getting old, too, and isn't going to want to be a freshman Senator for one term.

        That the NRSC is even looking at that when he hasn't expressed any interest, ever, speaks to their panic.  They got nuthin' in Iowa and they know it.

        45, male, Indian-American, married and proud father of a girl and 2 boys, Democrat, VA-10

        by DCCyclone on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 09:10:23 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

    •  Iowa isn't just where they're having problems (5+ / 0-)

      but also, MI, MT, NH, NC and few more I cant think of right now.

      NY-9/NJ-10; Russians can give you arms but only the United States can give you a solution. -- Anwar Sadat

      by BKGyptian89 on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 03:38:47 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Branstad is also 68 (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, jj32

      which is a little old to try and start a competitive campaign for a 6 year term in the U.S. Senate.

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 11:49:54 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  North Carolina electoral system (8+ / 0-)

    http://www.newsobserver.com/...

    Gov. Pat McCrory on Friday evening announced he was replacing all members of the State Board of Elections. The appointments take effect Wednesday – just as an investigation into political contributions made to McCrory and other top Republicans’ officeholders’ campaigns is getting underway.

    Three Republicans and two Democrats will replace the current three-Democrat, two-Republican board. The board’s majority represents the governor’s party.

    The move puts the progress of the board’s investigation into campaign contributions from an indicted sweepstakes software company owner in question.

    •  In fairness, it looks the term for (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, MichaelNY

      the board members expires April 30th.

      But if they dont end up investigating or  at least examine the complaint at all, it wont look good.

      •  That isn't the point (4+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        jj32, ChadmanFL, MichaelNY, ArkDem14

        the point is that A) having elected a Republican governor means they control the board now and B) there were legitimate complaints that warranted investigation into McCrory's finances and this same board brought down Dem Speaker Jim Black in 2009, and now there likely won't be an investigation.

        Having the board Republican controlled should make it slightly easier for them to implement voter ID as well as they're set to do. The House has passed it while the senate still has to, but I don't see how they wouldn't. Hopefully the justice department blocks it before Shelby v. Alabama fucks us over.

        •  I don't want to (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          be certain as to how that case against Section 5 goes.  We all know by now that oral arguments are an unreliable barometer.

          "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

          by KingofSpades on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 05:15:00 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

  •  Interesting article on CA GOP Latinos: (7+ / 0-)

    http://www.latimes.com/...
    Despite putting up a legit Hispanic Republican on the statewide ballot in 2010, 2002, and 1998, they don't make inroads among Latino voters.  The article points to Gov. Sandoval, who lost the Latino vote 33%-64%.

    In 2010, the party tried something different, fielding its most diverse ticket in history. It consisted of the first-ever Republican female nominees for both governor and U.S. Senate, a Latino for lieutenant governor (Maldonado), an African American for secretary of state and another woman for treasurer.

    In the end, however, it didn't matter. Every one got mowed down and the Democrats carried all statewide constitutional offices for the second time in the last three election cycles (they also did it in 2002, for the first time since 1882).

    "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

    by KingofSpades on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 05:46:06 PM PDT

    •  I was having a discussion about this (13+ / 0-)

      Subject in a car ride to Bakersfield today (I helped canvass for Leticia  Perez for State Senate there.) We were talking about how just switching on immigration reform is not going to win over Hispanics for Republicans. Issues like worker's rights, unions and the minimum wage are pretty big and the majority of Hispanics seem to side with the Democrats on those issues.

      For more election analysis and redistricting maps, check out my blog http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/ CA-2 (former CA-6) College in CA-37. Go Trojans!!

      by Alibguy on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 06:25:47 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  This also seems to debunk the notion (5+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      KingofSpades, Skaje, Gygaxian, MichaelNY, askew

      that the GOP would do better among minorities, if they had more minority spokespeople. A lot of Republicans seem to think they can make inroads with African Americans, for example, if Tim Scott, Ben Carson or Mia Love have prominent national roles in the party.

      •  The Utah GOP seem to want to double down (5+ / 0-)

        on this; two out of their three choices for State Chair this year (as the old chairman is retiring) are either Hispanic or black. There's one white guy as well, but since he's neither a minority nor well known, it looks like the Utah GOP will have a minority chairman. And Mia Love will be hyped again, though with less fervor this time.

        Not that it'll do them any good with minorities, of course. In fact, I'd say Utah Dem attempts to appeal to Mormons will do better than Utah GOP attempts to appeal to minorities.

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 09:48:05 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  How do minorities actually vote in Utah? (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, Gygaxian

          The only recent exit polls I can find do not show percentages for how non-whites voted because they were too small in numbers.  According to the 2008 Presidential exit polls 90% were white.

          •  I think they vote very Democratic (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY

            but the sample is too small to pinpoint the margin.

            "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

            by KingofSpades on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 10:34:20 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

          •  Well, I don't know specific numbers (3+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            MichaelNY, General Goose, ChadmanFL

            But several articles credit the Hispanic vote with giving Matheson and McAdams wins last year. So it's at least a factor.

            And just like with national minorities, the Utah GOP's pro-immigration reform attempts aren't helping them at all.

            What's really important is that Hispanic Mormons aren't voting Republican, and Hispanic Mormons are becoming a larger portion of the Mormon population everywhere, and even in Utah.

            So in a few decades, Utah politics may be a little bit topsy-turvey.

            Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

            by Gygaxian on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 10:36:52 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

        •  How are things looking? (2+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          Gygaxian, MichaelNY

          Do you think Matheson has significantly better odds this time?

          "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

          by KingofSpades on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 10:33:46 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  Matheson's looking more secure (5+ / 0-)

            He's still vulnerable, but if he can beat Mia Love again (and she won't get the big donors she got last time), I think he'll be reasonably secure.

            One thing that might pose a problem is that Mia Love seems to be more serious this time. She hired Dave Hansen, a former GOP state chairman and Orrin Hatch's 2012 campaign manager (basically the guy who fended off the Tea Party), as her campaign manager. He's a bit of a local campaign legend, and from what I understand, played a part in smashing the Utah Democratic party to bits.

            Then again, Matheson himself is a bit of a local campaign legend, so he may cancel Hansen out. To be honest, at this point, Matheson is running more against Hansen than Love.

            Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

            by Gygaxian on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 10:45:28 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Why won't Love get the big donors again? n/t (0+ / 0-)

              Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

              by MichaelNY on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 11:29:57 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  My guess would be . . . (3+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                Gygaxian, KingofSpades, MichaelNY

                . . . because she lost. The big donors thereby threw a lot of money at her campaign and were assured that victory was in the bag. They don't want it to happen again.

                30, chick, Jewish, solid progressive, NY-14 currently, FL-22 native, went to school in IL-01. "We need less of that War on Women, and more of that Warren woman!"-- writer Paul Myers.

                by The Caped Composer on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 06:41:47 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Correct (4+ / 0-)

                  Love will still get the usual amount of big donors that any challenger to Matheson gets, but she won't have the hype and potential that would get her the big donors she had last time.

                  Again, I'm more worried about her campaign manager, as he'll be crucial in cutting down on her gaffes and preparing her for debates. Matheson won't be able to pull off a "make Love look naive and crazy" and leave himself unscathed this time.

                  Plus, though Love's base won't GOTV as much in 2014, neither will Matheson's base.

                  But I still think he's going to be secure. Though I think it'd help if he tried a bit of populism (like voting against stuff like CISPA, on the grounds that Utahns don't want federal intrusion into their lives, instead of voting for it for who knows what reason).

                  I've become at peace with Matheson's conservadem ways, it's just that now my complaint is that I think he's overlooking a few good issues that he could buck the Republicans on. With stuff like CISPA, I don't think opposing it would hurt his chances.

                  Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

                  by Gygaxian on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 07:49:30 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                •  Also, a big chunk of her money was from (1+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  MichaelNY

                  the press she got by speaking at the RNC.

                  "It is the stillest words that bring on the storm. Thoughts that come on doves' feet guide the world." -Nietzche, Thus Spoke Zarathustra

                  by KingofSpades on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 10:34:17 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

            •  do you think Matheson can survive long enough to (0+ / 0-)

              become chair of the Commerce committee? Some people might find him too conservative but other moderate dems have become chairs of committee (Skelton, Peterson, Spratt, Gordon).

              Here are the dems ahead of him (he was born in 1960)
              Waxman (b. 1939)
              Dingell (b. 1926)
              Markey (b. 1946)
              Pallone (b. 1951)
              Rush (b. 1946)
              Eshoo (b. 1942)
              Engel (b. 1947)
              Green (b. 1947)
              DeGette (b. 1957)
              Capps (b. 1938)
              Doyle (b. 1953)
              Schakowsky (b. 1944)

              RRH expat (known as AquarianLeft). Also known as freepcrusher on leip atlas forum

              by demographicarmageddon on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 12:40:18 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  I don't think he wants a committee chair (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                MichaelNY

                I think Matheson thrives on being considered an "outsider", and getting any official position in Congress would undermine his image. Sure, he probably has wink-wink-nudge-nudge kinds of deals, but to have an official deal with his party (or even with the Republicans) would destroy his "independent" image.

                Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

                by Gygaxian on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 01:08:07 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

    •  There's also this silly idea (5+ / 0-)

      that Republicans have that  just nominating minorities will get you the minority vote. They're still quite obsessed with it (see: Marco Rubio).

      "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

      by ArkDem14 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 11:53:16 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Canvassed for Leticia Perez Today (13+ / 0-)

    She is running for State Senate in the 16th district which represents  Bakersfield and large portions of farmland between Bakersfield and Fresno. I met Perez and she is very impressive.

    It was super hot in Bakersfield where we canvassed. Most of the voters we talked to were pretty receptive, pretty friendly and we definitely persuaded a few.

    This is an important race to win for the supermajority in the State Senate.

    For more election analysis and redistricting maps, check out my blog http://racesandredistricting.blogspot.com/ CA-2 (former CA-6) College in CA-37. Go Trojans!!

    by Alibguy on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 06:27:41 PM PDT

  •  Did a DKEr write Obama's whcd jokes? (13+ / 0-)

    "Did anybody not see that birthplace joke coming? Maybe Gallup or Dick Morris?"  

    23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-01 (college).

    by Jeff Singer on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 07:34:30 PM PDT

  •  My music submission (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades

    Not sure if we have any Joni Mitchell or James Blake fans, but I absolutely love this song and can (and often do!) listen to it over and over again.

    http://www.youtube.com/...

    25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

    by HoosierD42 on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 09:14:04 PM PDT

  •  From Comment on Kentucky this weekend (12+ / 0-)

    Alison Lundergan Grimes talked to reporters about the possibility of a Senate race after avoiding the media. She is discussing it with her family, and the meeting the media was only about 2 minutes. One tea leaf: she was very on message to questions about gridlock and the McConnell recording. Joe Arnold says that people that have spoken to her would be very surprised if she did not run. She also said that she denounced the Progress KY in an appearance in Hazard. Republicans in Kentucky, desperate to get anything on Grimes, are grasping for straws- a picture of Grimes with someone from Progress KY.

    They also discussed the possibility of Tom Fitzgerald, an environmental activist running for the Senate, who may be too liberal for conservative Democrats. Also discussed was the effort to remake the image of McConnell, by trying to make him a populist fighter against Obama. Ronnie Ellis points out the McConnell ad attacks Obama for the bank bailout, which occurred before Obama took office, and which McConnell not only voted for, but whipped votes for. It has received over one million youtube hits. Also, a $50k buy by the Gabby Giffords group, which is all on radio. Also, the Tea Party is still looking at getting behind a candidate in the GOP primary against McConnell. Candidates include Matt Beavin and John Kemper, but they have a third person they will not name.

    And of course former Ag Commissioner Richie Farmer and 2011 LG candidate was given a 5 count indictment in federal court. The panel noted that Dems may try to circulate pictures of McConnell and Farmer together. Farmer asked for a bond exception to go on a trip to Mexico, but the judge denied it.

    Also, the 2015 Dem primary for Governor looks like it could be crowded. Despite their long friendship, AG Jack Conway has pretty much said he is in the race, even if Crit Luallen gets in. Also, Auditor Adam Edelan is strongly considering running. hey mentioned how Louisville Mayor Greg Fischer looks hard to beat for reelection.

    I was in the heart of the Bluegrass tonight for a concert (people may never guess who it was) at Rupp Arena in Lexington. Coming home (in the pouring rain), I was thinking about driving through Woodford County, where there will be a special election in HD-56, which will give the winner momentum in the race for the KY-House, and whether Dems will find a serious challenger to Rep. Andy Barr. I was also reminded of all the times Ashley Judd appeared there for UK basketball games.

    "So there's a time for silence, and there's a time for waiting your turn. But if you know how you feel, and you so clearly know what you need to say, you'll know it. I don't think you should wait. I think you should speak now." -Taylor Swift

    by SouthernINDem on Sat Apr 27, 2013 at 11:09:17 PM PDT

  •  So if Elizabeth Colbert Busch can win a few times (0+ / 0-)

    Might she be a plausible Democratic candidate for Governor in the future? I mean, the 1st district is conservative beyond South Carolina as a whole, so if she can win there, that's a good sign for her in the state as a whole. If she lasts that long, maybe she could run for Governor in 2018?

    This is of course if Vincent Sheheen doesn't win next year.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 07:54:29 AM PDT

  •  Apparently we missed this last week (4+ / 0-)

    but for followers of the Italian clusterfuck election from two months ago, the Democratic party (center left) and Silvio Berlusconi's conservative faction People of Freedom party (how Orwellian) agreed to form a coalition with the Democratic party's Enrico Letta becoming PM. This is at least better than the pre-election status quo as this government would be opposed to austerity, but I have no idea what their agenda will shape up to be. Letta is considered a moderate and his uncle is a senior Berlusconi aide, so this is very much a compromise coalition. Berlusconi will not be a minister unsurprisingly given his legal charges.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/...

    I was hoping there would be a new election where the Five Star movement's support shrank so that the DP would have a majority, but I doubt that would have happened in that event anyway. It's ridiculous though how many people essentially threw their votes away in a manner has crippled the parliament.

    •  There is no agenda really (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, BeloitDem, ehstronghold

      The agenda is rushing through a new electoral law through the parliament and making plans for new elections in a year. The only policy agenda for this government is keeping the 5 Star Movement out of power for as long as possible. At the end of the day though, this coalition is too fragmented and ideologically venomous to last much longer than it takes for a new election law to be approved

      21, Male, Latino-Spanish, OK-1 (Tulsa: The Art Deco, Terracotta, and Cultural Gem of Green Country!); Currently studying in Madrid, Spain

      by gigantomachyusa on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 12:06:24 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  snow for Nebraska into Wisconsin? (0+ / 0-)

    computer model 1 ensembles The sequester has affected the accuracy of this American model somewhat.

    European model This shows 70s into Quebec while La Crosse, WI and Des Moines has snow.  

    This is for this upcoming Friday.

    Long live winter 2012-13!

  •  MN-GOP (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Gygaxian, KingofSpades, ArkDem14

    Michael Brodkorb simply won't go away. He is suing the party for $600,000 PLUS pain and suffering. This likely won't help the party raise money, which it desparately needs.
    http://www.twincities.com/...

    I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

    by OGGoldy on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 08:42:41 AM PDT

    •  Is it bad if I cackle at the MN GOP's pain? (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      sapelcovits

      Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

      by Gygaxian on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 09:12:30 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  And depending on how this case goes (5+ / 0-)

        It could get bad. Real bad. The party would be better paying the blackmail. The reason for this is the fact that his defense is that he was fired because he was a man sleeping with a female senator, and the female staffers sleeping with their male senators don't get fired. It could get interesting if he starts name dropping!

        I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

        by OGGoldy on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 10:00:36 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  This is no doubt why (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          OGGoldy

          Democrats don't need exceptional competence.

          I would probably argue that the reason for the incompetent legislature probably falls back on Dayton. He's not a particularly good executive or politician. A strong Governor with the ability to set down an agenda and get it passed by the legislature would avoid problems like this one has had.

          It also hurts that each chamber is stacked so as to maximize regional divisions in the party.

          "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

          by ArkDem14 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 12:01:02 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  I agree on all 3 counts (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            ArkDem14, MichaelNY

            With an asterisk.

            1: this is where the asterisk is. Republicans can win if the DFL really is seen as feckless come next November. The Republicans wouldn't have to be organized of then public rejects the party. A war of attrition.

            2. I was against Dayton when he was running for governor in 2010, and REALLY against him when he thumbed his nose at the process. After hr got the nomination I fell in line begrudgingly. I'd prefer if he stepped aside for Swanson, but he won't.

             3. What makes the regional divisions is not only the divides between the House and Senate committees and the lopsided chairmanships. But what's worse is the fact that they got them backwards. The House is the more conservative body with more of of membership made up of rural DFLers, and its run be the most liberal members from Minneapolis and St. Paul. The senate is the more liberal body with less of an outstate membership (marginally and relatively speaking) and its run by predominantly outstate senators.

            I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

            by OGGoldy on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 07:50:54 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

  •  LA-Mayor: Is Greuel going to beat Garcetti? (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    I was surprised by her switch in the polls, and I think I like her better.  When is the election?

    27, male, gay, living with and loving my partner of over 4 years in downtown Indianapolis (IN-7).

    by IndyLiberal on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 09:32:19 AM PDT

  •  Vermont politics (8+ / 0-)

    http://www.rutlandherald.com/...

    If only the nation were more like this:

    Legislation that will raise gas and diesel taxes May 1 has passed the Legislature and is on its way to the governor for his signature.

    The House on Wednesday quickly approved a compromise transportation bill that includes the tax hike.

    Rep. Patrick Brennan, R-Chittenden, chairman of the House Transportation Committee, said the bill strikes a middle ground between the House and Senate versions.

    “With a little back and forth I think we’ve come to a place where we can actually make this tax package a little more palatable, if that’s possible,” Brennan said.

    Under the legislation, gas taxes would rise 5.9 cents in May, while diesel taxes will increase by 2 cents in July.

    "Once, many, many years ago I thought I was wrong. Of course it turned out I had been right all along. But I was wrong to have thought I was wrong." -John Foster Dulles. My Political Compass Score: -4.00, -3.69, Proud member of DKE

    by ArkDem14 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 10:43:03 AM PDT

  •  Utah St House District 64 (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, MichaelNY

    So on the Mormon Democrats FB group I'm a part of, one of our members just announced that he's going to be running for State House District 64, a Provo-based district current held by House Speaker Becky Lockhart, though she's retiring.

    I've been talking to this guy, and I'm rather impressed. He probably doesn't have any chance, but he's well-versed on local issues, and he seems competent. District 64 has a large population of students (though they're mostly vaguely conservative BYU students and Utah Valley University students), and a Latino population of 23%.

    He also says that many Latino Dem activists (and the Latino Dems in the legislature) are going to help him canvas, which helps.

    So it'll be interesting to see what happens in 2014.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 11:30:09 AM PDT

    •  Provo-based=Probably not winnable (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY

      Unfortunately.

      25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

      by HoosierD42 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 04:53:50 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  You're probably right (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        Though it is going to be an open seat. And the state representative in the neighboring Provo district of 63 only got 56% of the vote in 2010 (he didn't have a challenger in 2012). And that's with less favorable demographics in 63 than in 64.

        So perhaps the Provo Dems will give the GOP a scare, even if they don't win.

        Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

        by Gygaxian on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 05:17:33 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  By the way, a thought scenario (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    I thinking about how successful candidates for Congress and the like tend to try for a higher office (like Senator or Governor) first, and even though it's usually hopeless, they often build up name recognition and excitement from the base. Then, they successfully run for a lower office after building up that recognition. And many times, this even works in red states.

    So I was thinking, what if Democratic candidates signed up for clearly hopeless races against Congressmen in ruby-red districts (say Chaffetz, Chris Stewart, or Rob Bishop in my state), and try their best to energetically run against those Congressmen, and (hopefully) get name recognition and credentials, before turning around and running for a much smaller and easier seat in the legislature?

    I think this would work a lot better than the current system of no-names running in elections for either the federal or state House, at least in my state.

    Leftist Mormon in Utah, Born in Washington State, live in UT-04 (Matheson).

    by Gygaxian on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 11:49:46 AM PDT

    •  Sounds like the Dino Rossi strategy (0+ / 0-)

      21, Male, Latino-Spanish, OK-1 (Tulsa: The Art Deco, Terracotta, and Cultural Gem of Green Country!); Currently studying in Madrid, Spain

      by gigantomachyusa on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 12:14:55 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  No (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY

        Dino Rossi held lower office (state Senator), ad ran for higher offices (Governor and US Senator), but has not run for lower office again.

        Age 25, Republican, WA-03 (represented by wonderful Congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler), getting married in September:)

        by KyleinWA on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 02:03:38 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  What did Rossi do? (0+ / 0-)

          Fail three times running for a big office then settles for a temporary appointment as a State Senator.

          21, Male, Latino-Spanish, OK-1 (Tulsa: The Art Deco, Terracotta, and Cultural Gem of Green Country!); Currently studying in Madrid, Spain

          by gigantomachyusa on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 07:06:32 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  No, not really (0+ / 0-)

            The poster was talking about politicians using runs for office as way to run for lower, more obtainable offices down the road.

            Rossi was already a state Senator when he first ran for Governor. Last year he was appointed for a few months to his empty, old Senate seat. He did not run for anything, and probably will not run for anything ever again, and thus went nowhere in terms of gaining an position by running statewide.

            Age 25, Republican, WA-03 (represented by wonderful Congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler), getting married in September:)

            by KyleinWA on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 07:20:38 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

    •  problem (3+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, Gygaxian, GaleForceBurg

      To get credit for doing better than expected, you have to raise enough money to run a serious campaign. With a race that's completely hopeless, it's virtually impossible to raise money. This isn't true of races that are uphill but not totally hopeless.

      SSP poster. 43, new CA-6, -0.25/-3.90

      by sacman701 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 12:40:56 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  Semi-related (0+ / 0-)

      What's the future for Jay Seegmiller?

      28, Male, MA-07 (hometown MI-06)

      by bumiputera on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 05:45:41 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Charlotte Mayor Foxx to Transportation (8+ / 0-)

    29, M, Swingnut, CA-38 resident. Chairman of the DKE Ginger Left-handed caucus. Huge Angels, Lakers, Bruins, Kings, Galaxy fan. Follow me on Twitter: @Artesialove

    by uclabruin18 on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 12:08:14 PM PDT

  •  IL-13 (17+ / 0-)
    EDWARDSVILLE - Chief 3rd Circuit Judge Ann Callis plans to resign soon to begin a run for Congress in 2014, sources say.
    The decision would place her as a potential Democratic challenger to incumbent U.S. Rep. Rodney Davis, a Taylorville Republican who was elected from Illinois' 13th Congressional District in November.
    Via RRH. She could have had Costello's seat last cycle. This is a prime pickup opportunity. If I was her I might wait until 2016 though.

    http://www.thetelegraph.com/...

  •  Missouri 8th Special Election (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    paradise50, abgin, spiderdem

    Has anybody done any polling or is anybody volunteering for Steve Hodges in the special election to fill Jo Ann Emerson's seat on June 4th? I know this is a hard district but do we know anything about the candidates? Does Hodges have a chance? has ANYONE done a poll?

    ChrisinPA now... just kept the screenname.

    by ChrisinMD on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 01:28:10 PM PDT

  •  Va State Senate (8+ / 0-)

    DCCyclone had a dire prognostication of the 2015 state senate elections. VPAP released new stats for each state senate district updated for 2012.

    Sen. Jeff McWaters of VA Beach and Sen. John Watkins of Powhatan represent Obama districts The latter district voted for Kaine by a 6 pt margin.

    The Fredricksburg district that cost Dems the state senate in 2011 voted narrowly for Kaine.

    The Manassas seat that DCCyclone was afraid would flip gave Obama 64% of the vote.

    The Puckett seat is gone when he retires.

    VPAP

  •  NYC Mayor: Catsimatidis gets his Joe Walsh on (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    KingofSpades, MichaelNY, OGGoldy

    http://politicker.com/...

    “No! No! No!” Mr. Catsimatidis boomed back, pausing for effect. “Bullshit! Go bullshit yourself if you want! … The program is to teach these people the ability to earn a living, okay? … I know how to make a living! I know how to teach people to make a living. You know, if you don’t like it, tough!”

    ...

    “If that’s the way you talk to me!” Mr. Catsimatidis exclaimed as the two attempted to shout over one another. “I am not scared. Let me tell you, I’m not scared of the 12 people that will be demonstrating at the bottom of the street saying, ‘Oh, bap-bap-bap-bap.’”

    And yes, there's a video.  This was to a crowd of GOP activists: can't say insulting your potential supporters is a good idea.  

    23, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-01 (college).

    by Jeff Singer on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 04:32:23 PM PDT

  •  Constituent service from Esty (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    So my ex who lives in Esty's district and is going to vet school contacted Esty about serious controlled substance legality issues for vets and got back a response related to gun control. I don't know if Newtown is in CT-04 or CT-05, either way, it is close enough to the border to be local to both, but that still doesn't mean is is the only issue affecting people in the district. I don't think it is good for us if our candidates can't at least categorize constituent mail for an appropriate response prior to sending one off. Just makes us look bad in my view, especially in what is the  closest to a swing district the state has to offer.

    Registered in NY-02, College CT-01, Spent most of the rest of my life on the border of NY-08 and NY-15

    by R30A on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 05:43:28 PM PDT

  •  question about incumbents in hostile territory (0+ / 0-)

    in a presidential election:

    would it help to endorse the other party's candidate for president to prevent the top of the ticket dragging one down? This doesn't actually mean voting for said candidate but giving someone bipartisan cred.

    So an example would be Mark Kirk endorsing Hillary Clinton for president in 2016 (though really voting for the R nominee) as a way of appeasing the constituents.

    RRH expat (known as AquarianLeft). Also known as freepcrusher on leip atlas forum

    by demographicarmageddon on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 08:01:44 PM PDT

    •  You lose your own party then (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      MichaelNY, JDJase

      I'm no purity troll, but if you don't endorse the Democrat for President you don't get my vote for Congress, period. (short of scandal)

      20, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (school)
      politicohen.com
      Socially libertarian, moderate on foreign policy, immigration, and crime, liberal on everything else.
      UC Berkeley; I think I'm in the conservative half of this city. -.4.12, -4.92

      by jncca on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 11:34:33 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Icelandic parliamentary election (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY

    as expected, the center right absolutely destroyed the center-left incumbent coalition.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/...

    The center left coalition, (Social Democrats and Left Greens), won just 23.8% after winning a majority in 2009 (for the first time in a long time). The two center-right/right of center parties won a little over a majority, with the Pirates taking 5.1%.

    Basically this should scuttle any further progress towards joining the EU, which was already wildly unpopular and wouldn't have passed a referendum.

    •  What is with the high number of women (0+ / 0-)

      Iceland has an astonishingly high number of women in their parliament, much higher than any other country. What is the reason behind this?

      Also, interesting fact of the day, Iceland is the only European country without any strip clubs.

      I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

      by OGGoldy on Sun Apr 28, 2013 at 08:50:06 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  Too cold for strip clubs. (0+ / 0-)
      •  A number of reasons. (6+ / 0-)

        Iceland has a very strong feminist movement, for one.  Another reason is that there's a very strong support network for parents - governmental (9 months parental leave, to pick one example), family, and social (people take little kids everywhere, be it ).  So it's not expected that a mother has to basically give up her life when she has a child.  Also Iceland is more like a town.  There's only 320,000 people.  It's very rare that you know nobody in government, or at least someone who ran for government.  Several of my FB friends were on candidate lists.  So there's not a sense that being part of government is some kind of unachievable thing.  And there's a long tradition of women in government - let's not forget, for example, that we had the first directly-elected female president in the modern world, Vigdís Finnbogadóttir.

        So there's a lot of factors.

        As for strip clubs, that's not true.  True, strip clubs are illegal here, and when they were made so, nine of the country's eleven strip clubs went out of business.  But two converted themselves to "champaign clubs" and now have no official connection to the strippers, and have suchly been working around the law.  Drives me crazy, but that's certainly not going to change now with the conservatives in power.

        •  Thanks for the information (0+ / 0-)

          I guess I don't fundamentally have a problem with exotic dancing, but it is not something I have a strong opinion of either way. I just find it interesting that Iceland stands alone in that way.

          I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

          by OGGoldy on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 08:53:09 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  It's not about nudity. (0+ / 0-)

            Far from it, Icelanders are a lot less uptight about nudity than Americans as a general rule.  Sex, too.  It's about exploitation and about the sexualization of women.  A large percent of the women at such places are trafficed in to work at them.  And even if that wasn't the case, there's a lot of concern about the viewing of women as just sex objects (which obviously has a lot of very negative social consequences), and while that's a very hard thing to combat, that doesn't mean that one shouldn't at least try.

            That's the reasoning, at least.  And I find it pretty sound.

            •  Sex trafficking is a HUGE problem (0+ / 0-)

              But I don't think the concepts intertwined. I myself know men and women that have worked as exotic dancers before on their own free will, and I find nothing immoral about it at all.

              I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat

              by OGGoldy on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 10:16:55 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  As mentioned, it's not about morality. (0+ / 0-)

                This is a country where a typical pickup line from a guy at a club is something like, "Hey, want to see my penis?  It's really big," and girls are hardly reserved either.  A country where our outgoing prime minister is a lesbian.  Where one of the largest annual festivals, attended by a third of the country, is gay pride.  Etc.  Not a moralistic society.

                It's about the reality that most of the women at these places here even today are clearly immigrants brought in to work at the place.  There are some Icelanders there, but not many (I know from talking with people who've gone).  It's human trafficking.  And as mentioned, there's the other problem: the promotion of objectification of women.  Is the minimization of the viewing of women merely as sex objects not an incredibly valuable goal, in terms of elimination glass ceilings, "old boys clubs", rape, etc?  I certainly think so.  And banning of places which exist specifically for the purpose of encouraging men to view women as sex objects seems like a proper goal.  And what's the harm in the ban?

                BTW, there's no punishment for people who strip, just like how buying or promoting prostitution is illegal but selling yourself is legal.  The concept being, if your goal is to, for example, protect trafficked sex workers, why make it worse by making them criminals too?

    •  The EU is just one issue of many. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      Stephen Wolf

      People on DK act like it's the primary driving issue of politics over here, but it's not.  This election was in large part a correction back toward Iceland's historic alignment.  The excedingly good performance by Framsóknarflokkurinn was driven by, among other things, their opposition to Icesave and continual talking about household debt relief.

      Also, it's important to note that there were something like 8 new leftist political parties running in this election.  So even if there hadn't been a left-right correction, Samfylkingin and Vinstri grænir would have lost a lot of ground anyway.  What's important isn't looking at specific parties but the left-right shift, which if I remember right was something like 8% to the right.  While the individual left and right parties do have differences amongst themselves, the left parties all had an awful lot in common with each other, while the two strong right parties (Sjálfstæðisflokkurinn and Framsóknarflokkurinn) have an awful lot in common with each other.

    •  Isn't avoiding the EU a good thing? (0+ / 0-)

      The EU has been disastrous for the bulk of the countries involved.  I would think staying out of it is a good thing.

      •  The EU maybe, but the Eurozone absolutely (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        James Allen

        however as part of the Schengen Area and with multiple free trade agreements, it isn't like Iceland stands to gain as much as some of the Balkan countries by joining and it wouldn't have passed a referendum anyway. And to answer Rei above, yes I'm well aware the EU isn't the only issue but I figured it would be of interest to people here and I'm not an expert by any means on other areas of Icelandic politics. Finally, while I realize there were plenty of new left parties, it's still astounding to see the governing coalition be reduced from roughly majority to about a quarter of the vote, though I should have clarified that there were new parties taking left leaning votes.

        •  FYI (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          bumiputera

          EU isn't entirely a left-right split.  For example, the Left Greens are anti-EU.

          And again, it's pretty meaningless what percent Samfylkingin and Vinstri grænn got because that doesn't really matter here in Iceland.  The left in particular is always being restructured between different parties - a merger here, a split there, a new one here, an old one disappears there, etc.  What matters is the left-right split.  The right actually took only half the votes.  But they got a lot more than half the seats because of the left votes cast on parties that didn't hit the 5% mark and because of the weird precinct system.

          I'm not trying to be hostile so please don't take it that way  :)  I'm just trying to add information to the topic.  :)

      •  No, the EU is a good thing (0+ / 0-)

        The EU has been a godsend and I say that as someone living in Madrid, Spain in the midst of austerity-mania. Just ask the Irish how life was before the EU. Every country in the EU benefits somehow from being in the EU. I wholeheartedly believe that there wouldn't be a backlog of countries waiting to be admitted if the EU were as bad as is stated. Norway and Iceland and Switzerland are all special cases (oil, fish, and banks respectively) but at the end of the day countries do what is in their self-interest and every country in the EU today remains committed to the project (could you imagine Greece's situation outside the EU or Eurozone)? Like StephenWolf said the Eurozone is a different matter even though I would also support it if it came up for a vote in Spain (although I can't vote in Spain so the point is moot).

        21, Male, Latino-Spanish, OK-1 (Tulsa: The Art Deco, Terracotta, and Cultural Gem of Green Country!); Currently studying in Madrid, Spain

        by gigantomachyusa on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 07:18:58 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  Shhh.... (0+ / 0-)

          You'll get kicked out of DK for voicing heresy by saying that  ;)

          Really, though, the people here voicing this anti-EU sentiment have no idea what it means to live in an economically small nation.  They have no understanding what it does to prices, to interest rates, to inflation, to instability, to everything.

          Americans: an example.  The US prime rate right now is 3.25%.  If you have good credit, you might pay say 3.75% for a 30-year-fixed home loan.  We pay 7.6% for a 30-year loan with only 5 years fixed.

          There are huge costs to being a little nation.  It's only natural for smaller nations to want to work together.  The questions are really over "how" and "to what extent".

    •  Did the right-wing preside over the 2008 crisis? (0+ / 0-)

      Either way, a mayoral race in Anaheim impacts more people than the prime minister-ship of Iceland

      21, Male, Latino-Spanish, OK-1 (Tulsa: The Art Deco, Terracotta, and Cultural Gem of Green Country!); Currently studying in Madrid, Spain

      by gigantomachyusa on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 07:12:54 AM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  So... (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        bumiputera

        the mayor of Anaheim controls the North Atlantic and has a seat at the UN?

        •  "Controls the North Atlantic" (0+ / 0-)

          Is a bit of an absurd claim. Iceland has no standing army, how could it possibly "control" an entire segment of an ocean?

          25, Practical Progressive Democrat (-9.38, -8.51), Gay, IN-02 - Defeat Wacky Jackie for 2014!

          by HoosierD42 on Mon Apr 29, 2013 at 04:05:17 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  And yet it does. (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            bumiputera

            In fact, I actually work on the airspace side.  Icelandic airspace runs from just northeast of the Shetland Islands in the east, to near the east coast of Greenland to the west, to the North Pole to the north.  Whether you think Iceland "should" control the North Atlantic because we have no army has no bearing on the fact that we do, in fact, control the North Atlantic.

            Iceland has a level of strategic importance that a random US city never will.  To the point that during the Cod Wars with the UK, when Iceland threatened to hand the former Keflavik NATO base over to the Soviets if the US didn't stop the UK, the US actually went against its closest ally the UK (who had also over 400 times the economic might of Iceland) and put enough pressure on them to get them to stop.  

            Think Anaheim could do that?  What do you think would have happened in Anaheim if Anaheim had threatened to hand control over to the Soviets during the Cold War?

            To reiterate: Iceland is a nation.  Which comes with airspace, an exclusive economic zone, a seat at the UN, and all sorts of other powers, completely independent of population.

            (Oh, and FYI, Iceland has more land than Ireland, as much as South Korea.  The population may not be big but the land is sizeable).

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