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So far, according to government reports, 7.5 million Americans lost their jobs in the first 6 months of 2013.

Please read the first paragraph VERY carefully:

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics 11.8 million Americans are currently unemployed -- and of those counted as unemployed, 4.3 million were long-term unemployed (they were jobless for longer than 6 months) --- meaning that, according to the BLS, the great majority of the unemployed in the U-3 rate (the balance of 7.5 million out of 11.8 million) had lost their jobs only recently...within the last 6 months --- this year --- in 2013.

Now my question: How could that be? What happened to everybody else who lost their jobs in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012? Of the millions who did lose jobs over the last 5 years, the BLS is essentially saying that 4.3 million of them remained long-term unemployed from those 5 years, and that everybody else either got a job, went on disability, retired or died (or are living in a spare room with food stamps like myself and are not being counted at all.)

As of June 15, 2013 the Department of Labor reports that 2.8 million unemployed Americans receive regular state unemployment benefits (the short term unemployed, less than 6 months) and 1.7 million receive the federally extended benefits (long-term unemployed, over 6 months --- which benefits are being phased out this year). Of the 11.8 million counted as unemployed, a total of 4.5 million receive UI benefits in all programs (meaning 38% of the unemployed current qualify for, or applied for, unemployment insurance benefits.)

According to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, 8.7 million jobs were already lost between the start of the recession in December of 2007 and June of 2009. Also, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, as of 2011, 8.1 million were job losers (that is, those workers who lost their jobs and those who completed temporary jobs).

The U.S. Department of Labor reports 6.8 million net new jobs were created over the previous 3 years 4 months (From March 2010, all of 2011, all of 2012, up until June 2013)

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports 3.2 million high school graduates in 2012. There were also 3.4 million in 2013 --- so assume 3 million for 2010 and 2011 as well for an estimated 12 million high school graduates for 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013.

The U.S. Bureau of Justice Statistics reports that the total U.S. prison population declined for the second consecutive year to under 1.6 million --- so at least for 2010 and 2011, this is not a factor at all. And if someone does goes to jail, doesn't the employer sometimes replace their job?

So let's now assume that the majority of long-term unemployed (or those who lost jobs in 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012) all went on disability or retired...

8.7 million jobs lost (December 2007 to June 2009).
-1.4 million Social Security disability awards (not claims) during that same period of time.
7.3 million (balance) If they go on SSDI, are their jobs replaced by the employers?
-3.9 million Social Security retirements, early or otherwise, for all of 2010, 2011, 2012 until June 2013.

That equals a balance of 3.4 million --- so let's also assume they are part of the 4.3 million long-term unemployed.

Now add 7.5 million for the "short-term" unemployed in 2013 (jobless less than 6 months) for a total of 11.8 million unemployed.

So then, what happened to 12.0 million high school graduates for 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013 (not counting college graduates) There were 6.8 million new net jobs were created (added over past 40 months) from March 2010 to June 2013 --- so tell me, are 5.2 million unemployed high school graduates living at home? (Not even counting college graduates). The chart below show all graduates, JUST for the 2012/2013 school year alone. (click on image for a link to the stats.)

High school and college graduates 2013

And how many of the 6.8 million jobs that were created were part-time and/or filled by foreigners in guestworker visa programs?

I submit that there are at least 8 million unemployed Americans with no income at all who are not even counted by the government in their labor reports.

Wall Street Journal: Pumps and Dumps Jobs Report
http://bud-meyers.blogspot.com/... 

Count the long-term unemployed 99ers in 2013
http://bud-meyers.blogspot.com/...

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (17+ / 0-)

    If people won't go protest in the streets, then they'll end up sleeping on them instead.

    by Bud Meyers on Sun Jul 07, 2013 at 03:31:21 PM PDT

  •  The absolutely tremendous (8+ / 0-)

    human suffering behind those numbers sobers me utterly and boggles my mind.

    Thanks for the diary.

    It's here they got the range/ and the machinery for change/ and it's here they got the spiritual thirst. --Leonard Cohen

    by karmsy on Sun Jul 07, 2013 at 03:43:12 PM PDT

  •  The vast majority of jobs (14+ / 0-)

    created have been low paying and part time. We are systematically having our standard of living lowered. This is not an accident.

    ~War is Peace~Freedom is Slavery~Ignorance is Strength~ George Orwell "1984"

    by Kristina40 on Sun Jul 07, 2013 at 03:49:31 PM PDT

    •  I google all my job contacts. (6+ / 0-)

      Friday I found a name, googled it, found the MUGSHOT for the person I would be sucking up to.

      Assault, child endangerment. Running a child therapy business.

      Shitty, shitty times.

    •  No, it certainly isn't. (0+ / 0-)

      It's all about the mid-terms.

      You see, demographically the writing is on the wall and it's making the owners (the real one's) feel quite unsettled about their future prospects.

      And we can't go back and re-Occupy, because, well, you know......pepper spray, tear gas, zip cuffs, kettling, rubber bullets, bean bag blasts and billy clubs.  Oh! almost forgot-don't taze me, Bro (please?).

      So now what the fuck do we do?

      We're all suspected terrorists.

      by Boberto on Tue Jul 09, 2013 at 09:29:24 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Now lets imagine that each person (10+ / 0-)

    goes on unemployment and is required to make this ridiculous "3 new job contacts per week" to "qualify" for those UEB X the 11.8 million people on UEB.

    34 million "new job contacts PER WEEK" have to be made by these folks 136 million MILLION per month.

    Preposterous.

    Outrageous.

    Fucked up.

    I am one of those who lost a job this year. 6th layoff since 1993. College degree, masters degree...experience.

    I feel treated like a criminal by the asswipes who monitor the UEB here. Not ONCE has anybody said anything remotely similr to ' too bad you lost your job".

    It is ALL "YOU MAY BE COMMITTING FRAUD!!"

    I am a vindictive son of a bitch and I wish great shit upon them.

  •  I've been unemployed more than employed (4+ / 0-)

    for the past four years. No unemployment. Started early Social Security. Imagine my surprise when I applied for SNAP a couple of weeks ago to discover that, because I'm registered with two temp agencies, I am considered "employed".

    I haven't received any temp/contract hours for almost two months. Yay! I'm employed...

    I did qualify for SNAP. I'm not happy about that, but my choices are increasingly limited.

    Most truths are so naked that people feel sorry for them and cover them up, at least a little bit. --Edward R. Murrow

    by chuckvw on Sun Jul 07, 2013 at 05:38:47 PM PDT

  •  What pisses me off is that all these 'new' jobs (6+ / 0-)

    are most likely contract, temp jobs and/or low wage hourly jobs.  I'm a computer programmer.  I was laid off Jan 1 2010 and was able to get a contract job in Nov of 2011 and now have a 'permanent' position with a large financial company.  IT has been hiring people on contract for the length of a specific task or period of time.  My contract job was specifically for the conversion of a database and although the last month I was there and not working specifically on that project (they were trying to get a straight answer from the user) it was made clear that I would never get an offer for a 'permanent' position.  Companies are 'right sizing' the staff at the 'grunt' level.  I do not believe that these are really 'new' jobs, but just different tasks within the same job.

  •  I am seeing a lot (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    greengemini

    of temp workers coming into the computer chip manufacturing industry . They can only work for 6 months then they must either hire them or let them go.

    They have been letting them go for a month then rehiring them to get around the rule. We seem to be adding a temp or two a month but nobody permanent.

    And then why would they, the pay is less, no benifits, no vacation/ sick leave, no 401k matching,ot even access to the onsight classes they offer here to help people learn different aspects of their job.

    It is a nasty world.

    It is the heart that makes a man rich. He is rich according to what he is not what he has -Henry Ward Beecher

    by PSWaterspirit on Sun Jul 07, 2013 at 08:20:43 PM PDT

  •  Since we're all trading horse stories.... (0+ / 0-)

    I'll start a fire.  Does anyone have anything to burn?

    Here goes:

    I have until the end of November.  Then my EB runs out.
    I've had a few interviews, but no offers.  So-

    There is a 3 month temp job out of state that I will do.  It pays ok.  BUT-  Here's the downside;

    The work will end my qualification for UI (because it is considered a break in my claim).  And, when the job ends after 3 months, it won't be enough to qualify for a new claim.  So no more UI.

    I will also lose SNAP and Medicaid benefits for me AND my disabled wife (Because my income will put me over the limit)  AND my 4 kids (one of whom, is also disabled).

    So, me and the rest of the family will kiss goodbye our healthcare and SNAP.  Oh, and they'll also kiss goodbye to me (for at least 3 months).  

    But you know what they say, "The Lord do love a working man"

    This really is, the 2nd Great Depression.

    We're all suspected terrorists.

    by Boberto on Tue Jul 09, 2013 at 09:46:31 PM PDT

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