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I've set up a Google Docs spreadsheet devoted to keeping track of the official ACA/Obamacare signup numbers as they're reported by the states running their own exchanges (as well as other reputable sources).

The HHS Dept. has stated that they aren't planning on releasing any official numbers for the still-massively-screwed-up federal exchange (Healthcare.gov), so this will have to serve for the moment. If and when someone else starts tracking these numbers on a regular basis, I'll be happy to give up this effort, but until then, it's at least something.

Here's the place to go; I'll be compiling the numbers as they come in, to the best of my ability, at the following link:

ObamacareSignups.net
The blue states are the ones that are running their own exchanges; the rest are all run by the Federal site (Healthcare.gov), although it looks like 2 states (Idaho and New Mexico) will be moving to their own next year, and Utah has it's own site for business signups only. Interestingly, it turns out that the territories (American Samoa, Puerto Rico, etc.) aren't covered by the ACA at all.

So far, 2 weeks in, according to the listed sources, the current tally stands at 246,380 people (or households?) actually applied for actual health insurance policies through the exchanges.

However, I'll need your help. I'd appreciate it if 15 people (one for each state exchange, plus D.C.) could volunteer to check the media in each of those states for the latest official (hopefully accurate) figures on how many people have actually signed up for a healthcare policy via the ACA (as opposed to just creating an account at the website, which doesn't count).

Oregon and Washington State will be tracked by rsmpdx.

Maryland will be tracked by dadadata.

Colorado will be tracked by MotherShipper.

California will be tracked by ybruti.

Here's the other states I need covered; If you're interested in assisting, email me at cgaba (at) brainwrap (dot) com, thanks!

--Connecticut
--District of Columbia
--Hawaii
--Kentucky
--Massachusetts
--Minnesota
--Nevada
--New York
--Rhode Island
--Vermont

A few other notes:

--Since not every story with an update will come out on a Tuesday, I'm just going with "Week 1", "Week 2" and so on. Any updates that come out from 10/15-10/21 will be listed under Week 2; from 10/22-10/28 Week 3 and so on.

--Some of the stories list "households", others list "residents" or "people". In cases where they list the number as a "household" (but it's a reliable number), I'll multiply by 2.6 (which, according to the Census Bureau, is the average number of people in a U.S. "household" these days).

--Remember that the 246,000 figure only includes info on the states that have actually released their numbers.

--Also important: This number only includes people who have actually fully completed the signup process. In many cases there are thousands of pending applications, either online or printed paper, waiting to be processed.

--The magic number is 7 million, and the date for that magic number is March 30, 2014.  That's the number that the Obama administration has been openly touting as their goal for the first 6 months of the exchanges; apparently, if they hit that mark, the law should be financially successful; if they fall short, it probably won't (at least not initially). Of course, it also depends on who signs up--ideally, they want a good chunk of those 7 million to be young, healthy folks (the type unlikely to actually use too many healthcare services), to shore up the cost of the rest of us.

To hit 7 million in 6 months, they'll have to average at least 270,000 signups per week. However, the signup numbers will fluctuate greatly depending on the time (expect a spike in signups as we approach Dec. 15th), so I'm not too concerned...yet.

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Comment Preferences

  •  I got impatient because of the "red error" glitch (4+ / 0-)

    at the end of my application and did one over the phone.  Just waiting on the eligibility report so I can start shopping.

    "Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity." --M. L. King "You can't fix stupid" --Ron White -6.00, -5.18

    by zenbassoon on Wed Oct 16, 2013 at 06:03:55 PM PDT

  •  This is work that needs to be done (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, slowbutsure, gffish

    ACA isn't perfect; far from it.  It's a start.

    I am very heartened that PBO did not back down.  When a piece of legislation has (by default) your name attached to it, you tend to take it personally.

    I think that's what the GOP really miscalculated when they let Senator Ted Cruz lead the House GOP into a political cul-de-sac.  

    This wasn't business for PBO.  It was personal.

    UID: 14791 Join Date: 7/7/2004 Status: Lifetime member Mojo: nearly infinite Any questions?

    by Richard Cranium on Wed Oct 16, 2013 at 06:07:12 PM PDT

  •  MN just today reported (4+ / 0-)

    "Some 12,011 people have created accounts on MNsure, the state’s online health insurance marketplace, which launched Oct. 1 as part of federal health reforms, but only 5,569 have completed applications on the site and only 3,769 have actually enrolled in health plans, state officials reported Wednesday. The completed applications cover 11,684 people."

    Star Trib today reports

    Just give me a good patch of dirt and I'll show you growth and well-being!

    by kfred on Wed Oct 16, 2013 at 06:25:51 PM PDT

  •  Might fix this, passed it pull date (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, slowbutsure
    The magic number is 7 million, and the date for that magic number is March 30, 2013.

    Help me to be the best Wavy Gravy I can muster

    by BOHICA on Wed Oct 16, 2013 at 06:33:06 PM PDT

  •  50,000/day in 180 days = 9million applications (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, slowbutsure, yella dawg

    If 50,000 applications are completed each day, then 9 million applications will be completed in 180 (+/-) days - March 31, 2014.

    And ass-u-ming that 2.6 people/application - goal achieved.

    So, in two weeks, with plenty of web problems and half the population seemingly at odds with ObamaCare, 250,000 completed applications seems about right and just about on track.

  •  In CA, I went to an event sponsored by our (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, ichibon, ybruti

    local representatives to explain the ACA.  There I learned that the uninsured young person living in my home could sign up for Medical immediately - does not need to wait until January.  Paperwork is being processed. YAY!

    ...Son, those Elephants always look out for themselves. If you happen to get a crumb or two from their policies, it's a complete coincidence. -Malharden's Dad

    by slowbutsure on Wed Oct 16, 2013 at 07:05:33 PM PDT

  •  I'm in Texas. Just tried the healthcare.gov site (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Cpqemp, gffish

    again.

    While the site is much cleaner and you can see the premiums for the different plans before you register. That's a plus.

    You do have to register to see the details of the plans.

    I attempted to register. The ball whirled for a few minutes, but then I got the following message: Not available - try later.

    Another big fail!

    Now that the debt problem has been solved for the time being, media is starting to concentrate on these failures. The next news cycles will keep hammering on this, giving the R's new material to hammer Obama and the Dems.
    The debt crisis might have been a plus to shield ACA from a closer look. I've already heard this evening calls for heads to roll. Bet the Rs in the House will hold hearings.

    This is not good. Might just tilt public opinion away from
    Obama and Dems.

    Yes, I'm clutching my pearls and heading for the fainting couch.

    It’s the Supreme Court, stupid! Followed by: It's always the Supreme Court! Progressives will win only when we convince a majority that they, too, are Progressive.

    by auapplemac on Wed Oct 16, 2013 at 07:17:13 PM PDT

    •  They should have never went live.. (1+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      auapplemac

      They've done more harm than delaying it a month or two, imv. It's still not working worth a damn.

      What is so unnerving about the candidacy of Sarah Palin is the degree to which she represents—and her supporters celebrate—the joyful marriage of confidence and ignorance. SAM HARRIS

      by Cpqemp on Wed Oct 16, 2013 at 07:35:13 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

    •  A work around for the lack of plan details (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      ybruti, samddobermann

      is to use the link to the insurance company itself that is often on the government site or Google one up.

      Then search on the insurance co's own site for the plan details in your state.

      Or you can call the insurance ccopany directly and get the skinny on the plan(s) you might be considering.  Be sure to ask about the network if it's an HMO or PPO.  They may be able to send you stuff by email or snail.

      I'm in NY and I used this tactic while I was waiting for the site to settle down and allow me to complete my app. in order to suss out the plan details I wanted to see.

      Also in NY, the state adopted a pretty specific set of plan details for each level plan.  While plans can be more generous, they can't be less if they are the "state standard".  I know you're using the national Exchange, but perhaps they have done something similar.

      Saves time in sorting between plans if the some (or all) are the "standard" flavor for that level.

      Araguato

      •  I did think of that work-around but how many (0+ / 0-)

        people will. Especially those with who have little experience with health insurance.

        It's still not an acceptable way of doing business.

        Also, while some states that have their own setup have released the numbers of applications, the Administration will not. Have given several somewhat questionable excuses when asked.

        The combined total those state-run plans is only about 30,000+.

        Seems low, although I've heard the person who was involved in the MA program say that many people went to the site several times during the first month and then finally signed up during the second month.

        It’s the Supreme Court, stupid! Followed by: It's always the Supreme Court! Progressives will win only when we convince a majority that they, too, are Progressive.

        by auapplemac on Wed Oct 16, 2013 at 10:10:17 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  RI: 1,701 (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Brainwrap, ichibon, ybruti

    that's "completed and processed applications," through Oct. 12; they're not counting people as "enrolled" until the first month's premium is paid, which many people won't do until December. (I signed up for direct debit, and the money already came out of my bank account, so I'm in. Woohoo!)

    I would assume that's # of households, not individuals covered. Total estimated uninsured (under age 65) as of 2010: 140,000 snapshot, with 188,000 uninsured at some point in the year. Number receiving SNAP about 174,000.

  •  Wow! (0+ / 0-)

    1/4 million in 2 weeks on a system that has major computer glitches no less.  I betcha that the number that sign up will exceed expectations.

    "The real wealth of a nation consists of the contributions of its people and nature." -- Riane Eisler

    by noofsh on Thu Oct 17, 2013 at 04:37:35 AM PDT

  •  You have omitted the small business (0+ / 0-)

    exchanges. They are contracting for an unknowable number of people/families.

    NM has its exchange for businesses up and running even though the one for individual/families won't open till next year. Incidentally the decision to use the federal exchange wasn't made till July which put an added burden on the feds. Someone should point out that if some states abdicate their responsibilities and prefer to have the federal government run things for their citizens they shouldn't bitch.

    The law envisions each state taking care of their own.

    But in most states the hospitals and larger medical practices are going to help people get signed up. And the insurers are advertising their services.

    I'm asking you to believe. Not in my ability to bring about real change in Washington ... *I'm asking you to believe in yours.* Barack Obama

    by samddobermann on Thu Oct 17, 2013 at 02:08:52 PM PDT

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