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Tonight voters in Kansas, Michigan, and Washington hold their primaries (Missouri is up too, but there are no notable statewide or Federal races to watch). Our guide to the key races can be found here. Note that in Washington, the top-two vote-getters will advance to November regardless of party. We'll be bringing you tonight's results as they come in, and you can keep track of all the winners just below:
Results & Poll Closing Times (all times Eastern):

Kansas (8 PM for Central timezone, 9 PM for Mountain timezone) | Michigan (8 PM for Eastern timezone, 9 PM for Central timezone) | Missouri (8 PM) | Washington (11 PM)

8:58 PM PT (David Jarman): MO ballot: I'll be dead in the cold cold ground before I recognize Missourah, but there is one barnburner race going on there: Amendment 1, the "guaranteed right to farm." Sounds uncontroversial, but passing it would make environmental regulations and other oversight of agriculture more difficult. It's currently passing, but only 51-49, with 95% reporting (though with a 15,000 vote margin).

9:06 PM PT (David Jarman): WA-St. Sen.: So while Dems are on track to pick up the former Rodney Tom seat, things aren't looking very good to get that second pickup they need to take control. Their best pickup opportunity, SD-28, sees Dem Tami Green trailing appointed GOPer Steve O'Ban 56-44, and they're on track to lose the open seat in SD-30, where ex-Dem state Rep. Mark Miloscia, now running as a GOPer in this light blue district, is flattening Dem Shari Song 57-43.

The Dems' best pickup opportunity may actually be SD-45, where well-regarded moderate GOPer Andy Hill is beating Matt Isenhower only 54-46 in SD-45 (this is a bluer district than the others, which makes a big difference). The most notable state House race may be central Seattle's SD-43 (a 90% Obama district), where a challenge to the liberal-but-not-liberal-enough state House speaker, Frank Chopp, from socialist Jessica Spear (a mini-me to Kshama Sawant, who made headlines by winning a city council seat last year), is tanking: Chopp leads 81-19.

9:08 PM PT (David Jarman): MI-08 (D): We finally have an AP call in the Dem primary in the 8th for Eric Schertzing. He'll face Mike Bishop in this light-red open seat in November. That leaves MI-14's Dem primary as the only non-Washington House race that weren't waiting on, and the 14th will probably take days to resolve.

9:14 PM PT (David Jarman): WA-04: The AP has shot ahead of the SoS in the 4th, and things are much closer (presumably more Yakima County votes showed up). Clint Didier leads Dan Newhouse only 30-27, with Estakio Beltran and Janea Holmquist both at 11. Things are looking pretty locked in for Didier and Newhouse to advance, though ... in which case I'd conjecture that Newhouse has a significant advantage, since the Democratic votes (and probably the Holmquist and Cicotte votes too) will gravitate more in the direction of the much more establishment-flavored Newhouse. (Newhouse was a GOP state Rep., but was also the state Director of Agriculture, an appointed position, in Chris Gregoire's administration.)

9:15 PM PT (David Jarman): By the way, if these results hold, this'll be the first time Washington's Top 2 has yielded an all-R or all-D race in a federal election. (That has certainly happened in legislative races, and of course has already happened in House races in California, most notoriously in CA-31.)

9:21 PM PT (David Jarman): WA-01: If Robert Sutherland advances instead of Pedro Celis, it's already over: Sutherland has $891 cash on hand.

9:22 PM PT (David Jarman): WA-04: Well, that's the ballgame, folks: the AP has called the top 2 slots in the 4th. Clint Didier and Dan Newhouse advance to the top 2, so it'll be an all-R affair.

9:30 PM PT (David Jarman): We're just left with two races that don't look like they'll be resolved tonight: the Missouri "right to farm" amendment (though it doesn't look like there are enough St. Louis votes left to stop that from passing), and the MI-14 Democratic primary, where we might see a recount, given the narrow gap between Brenda Lawrence and Rudy Hobbs. With that, we're going to call it a night at Daily Kos Elections; thanks, as always, for joining us!

9:36 PM PT (David Jarman): MI-14 (D): Whoa, it's the electoral equivalent of a three-point buzzer-beater from half court! Whatever last precinct was gumming up the works in the 14th showed up in the last few minutes, and it went huge for Rudy Hobbs. It pushed Hobbs ahead of Brenda Lawrence, taking him from a 109-vote deficit to a 240-seat lead. (That's 100% reporting now, with all 386 precincts in, though still no AP call.) It's not a done deal, though; expect to see some sort of recount, given the margin, and given that the primary is the whole ballgame in this dark-blue seat.

10:00 PM PT (Taniel): MO ballot: As expected, the "right to farm" amendment's lead shrank rapidly as St. Louis came in. But it wasn't quite enough: With all precincts now reporting, the Yes is ahead by 2,528 votes out of nearly one million cast (a margin of 0.25%). Still no AP call at this moment.

10:50 PM PT: MI-14: The AP now has Lawrence up 36-32, with Clarke not far back at 31. Wayne County seems to have added a ton of ballots, with Lawrence now leading in the county 32-27. Lawrence's overall lead is almost 2,500 votes, very different from what we've been seeing all night.

The AP hasn't made any calls yet. If Lawrence's lead is clearly this high we should be seeing a concession from Hobbs Wednesday or so. If there are more shoes left to drop we should know much more Wednesday or so. Either way, we probably won't have the full story for a little while.

Originally posted to Daily Kos Elections on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 08:49 PM PDT.

Also republished by Daily Kos.

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Comment Preferences

  •  Tip Jar (24+ / 0-)

    Contributing Editor, Daily Kos Elections. 24, male, CA-18 (home and voting there), LA-02 (resident). Formerly known as Darth Jeff.

    by Jeff Singer on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 08:49:53 PM PDT

  •  anyone got info for michigan? (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Aunt Pat, MichaelNY, Mopshell

    I'm tracking stacy erwin oakes in SD-32
    full disclosure: was offered a job there

    Grew up in southern VA. Have worked in 9 states across America. Managed races in NM/VA/DC. Was Deputy Political Director at DGA for the 2012 cycle. Follow me @bharatkrishnan if you want to be my friend. Currently managing Catherine Begaye for NM-HD 23

    by Bharat on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 08:54:34 PM PDT

  •  Mr. Foreclosure, David Trott (4+ / 0-)

    Won the MI primary (listed above) owner of Trott and Trott the foreclosure law firm for the majority of banks here, including Bank of America. Trott owns the building where John McCain's campaign headquarters was located in 2008.

    Here's a recent article on him/his wealth from the Freep:

    http://www.freep.com/...

    "We're from the government, and we're here to help." Diane(Desi)Sweet

    by Desi on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:05:20 PM PDT

  •  What happened in the Democratic primary (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Mopshell

    in MI08?

  •  Won't Washington Democrats perform better in the (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Mopshell

    general, like in California?

    •  Usually - yes (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      merrylib, Mopshell

      This year - ?

      And it's already clear that Democrats amy be decisive force in WA-04 in November. It will almost surely be Didier - Newhouse race, with rather obvious choice: Newhouse will be solid conservative, but he is, at least, sane...

      Very Independent minded. Moderate. Extremely cynical (main principle: don't easily believe anyone, but himself).

      by Ragmod on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:16:00 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  I was referring to the State Senate races. (1+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY
      •  Didier-the rugged individualist Tea Partier (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, GoUBears, Losty

        who takes Federal subsidies for his alfalfa farm.

        It will be another Tea Partier in the House.

        •  Hence - Newhouse. (1+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY

          BTW - under "normal" primary system and things as they are right now Didier would be essentially guaranteed a seat right now (no, this district will NOT elect a Democrat in foreseable future). So - there are pluses in "top 2" too

          Very Independent minded. Moderate. Extremely cynical (main principle: don't easily believe anyone, but himself).

          by Ragmod on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 10:05:05 PM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  how does it benefit Democrats (1+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            Klugstah

            to have a party line Republican representing them? If I were a Democrat there I'd be pretty upset and probably just vote for Didier because Republicans deserve him.

            We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

            by James Allen on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 10:32:35 PM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  How does having Didier in Congress help America? (0+ / 0-)

              It is an unmitigated benefit to Dems to have the mainstreamer in Congress, and have the wingnuts pissed off at him, and running another wingnut again in two years, and so on.

              The benefits are numerous.  The downside is absolute zero.

              All the problems we face in the United States today can be traced to an unenlightened immigration policy on the part of the American Indian. -- Pat Paulsen

              by tommypaine on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 10:41:57 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  I'm not even going to bother arguing with you (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                Klugstah

                it's impossible because of your incivility and arrogance.

                We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

                by James Allen on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 11:14:38 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

              •  how does that benefit Democrats either? (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                Klugstah

                you've made a statement without justification, and if I know you and your style of argumentation, thats as much substance as I'll get from you. That and more hyperbole.

                We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

                by James Allen on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 11:16:30 PM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Your refusal on this subject to close your mind (0+ / 0-)

                  and not engage does reflect on the fact that you don't have anything to counter arguments made by the other side.

                  I just said above that it benefits Democrats to have wingnuts angry at mainstreamers; and it benefits Democrats to have wingnuts spending money in a safe red seat next cycle too.  You don't make a counter argument because you have nothing.  You just get snippy and dismissive.

                  And if you don't think Republicans wasting money and hating on each other is helpful to Dems, then that speaks for itself.

                  It's just strange that yet again top two in a blue state works well, and the defenders of system that brought us George W Bush and Paul Lepage and scores of others still resist something that has thus far produced fantastic results.

                  All the problems we face in the United States today can be traced to an unenlightened immigration policy on the part of the American Indian. -- Pat Paulsen

                  by tommypaine on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:13:52 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  I just wrote a whole fucking diary on the subject (0+ / 0-)

                    I have plenty to say, I just refuse to engage with you because you're aggressive and insulting when you talk to people here.

                    We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

                    by James Allen on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 09:35:22 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

            •  When i have a choice (2+ / 0-)
              Recommended by:
              MichaelNY, tommypaine

              between "sane conservative" and crazy - i will choose first without hesitation. I judge by candidate quality (not party) first, and dislike crazies very much.

              Very Independent minded. Moderate. Extremely cynical (main principle: don't easily believe anyone, but himself).

              by Ragmod on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 10:52:44 PM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  you didn't answer my question. (0+ / 0-)

                We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

                by James Allen on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 08:02:30 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  I did. (0+ / 0-)

                  I don't especially care about parties "per se". For me - they are no more then one more instrument to make life (including MY life) better.  But i care about general quality of legislation and even about healthiness of Congressional environment. The less "tea-party absurd", the more "sanity" (even conservative sanity, but - sanity) - the better from my point of view. So, Newhouse (solid conservative, but sane, Gregoire was satisfied with him as "chief state Agriculturist") is greatly preferable to me then Didier. I hope - enough people will make the same decision November 4th.

                  Very Independent minded. Moderate. Extremely cynical (main principle: don't easily believe anyone, but himself).

                  by Ragmod on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 08:43:53 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

                  •  no, you answered it only for your own preferences (1+ / 0-)
                    Recommended by:
                    MichaelNY

                    I asked what good a party-line is for Democrats. You did not answer that. I don't care about your own preferences, and if I did you've already made them clear dozens of times.

                    We no longer ask if a man has integrity, but if he has talent. - Rousseau, Discourse on the arts and sciences

                    by James Allen on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 09:32:20 AM PDT

                    [ Parent ]

                    •  I can't answer that (0+ / 0-)

                      Both because i am not "a party man" and thus don't care much about "party lines", and because i am accustomed of speaking for myself ONLY. I gave arguments, which are persuasive for me. Not for you? Then it stops to be MY problem.

                      Very Independent minded. Moderate. Extremely cynical (main principle: don't easily believe anyone, but himself).

                      by Ragmod on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:10:39 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

                    •  But i said that (0+ / 0-)

                      under "normal primary system" Didier could "measure the drapes of his office" in Washington, DC, already,  and i stand by that. Yesterday primary has shown that Democrats had exactly ZERO chance of winning this district. In ALL such cases i prefer "the least objectionable" Republican. Why? Already explained, and i have nothing more to add.

                      Very Independent minded. Moderate. Extremely cynical (main principle: don't easily believe anyone, but himself).

                      by Ragmod on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:16:57 PM PDT

                      [ Parent ]

  •  Conyers Crushes Foe! (7+ / 0-)

    Rep. John Conyers (D-Mich.) has crushed his primary foe, all but guaranteeing him a 26th term in Congress.

    Read more: http://thehill.com/...
    Follow us: @thehill on Twitter | TheHill on Facebook

    "We're from the government, and we're here to help." Diane(Desi)Sweet

    by Desi on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:12:03 PM PDT

    •  Gerrymandering hits Conyers, too (4+ / 0-)

      U.S. Rep. John Conyers didn’t vote for himself Tuesday during Michigan’s primary as he wasn’t on the ballot he was issued.

      That’s because the embattled 25-term Detroit Democrat represents the largely Democratic 13th Congressional District but is registered to vote in the 14th Congressional District after recent redistricting — the "ultimate prize" for the party that controls the process, in this case, Republicans.

      From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitnews.com/...

      "We're from the government, and we're here to help." Diane(Desi)Sweet

      by Desi on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:26:51 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Biggest suckage of night, looks like SurveyUSA (5+ / 0-)

    Roberts winning by 7%, SurveyUSA had it at 20%

    Middling loser, Kos/Google had it at 14%

    All the problems we face in the United States today can be traced to an unenlightened immigration policy on the part of the American Indian. -- Pat Paulsen

    by tommypaine on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:16:10 PM PDT

  •  Mike Bishop beats Tom McMillin in GOP primary for (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Mopshell

    Former state Senate Majority Leader Mike Bishop soundly defeated Rep. Tom McMillin in Tuesday’s 8th Congressional District Republican primary.

    Bishop had 60 percent of the vote to McMillin’s 40 percent, with 92 percent of all precincts reporting in a district that stretches west from Bishop’s hometown of Rochester to Lansing.

    The two men were vying for the Republican nomination in an open seat being vacated by outgoing U.S. Rep. Mike Rogers.

    From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitnews.com/...

    "We're from the government, and we're here to help." Diane(Desi)Sweet

    by Desi on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:17:15 PM PDT

  •  (MI)Lucido captures 36th District House over Grot (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Mopshell

    A Shelby Township attorney has eked out a victory in the 36th District Michigan House of Representatives race in Macomb County.

    Will all precincts reporting, Peter Lucido had 4,753 votes, or 50.5 percent, to 4,650, or 49.5 percent, for opponent Stan Grot, the Shelby Township clerk.

    The race was the most expensive one in Metro Detroit.

    Lucido amassed $282,390 in campaign donations — including $165,000 of his own money. Grot raised $102,800, including $32,000 of his own money. The amount of Lucido’s own money he has invested is believed to be a record for a primary, and is more money than he could earn during a two-year term.

    The winner will represent Bruce, Washington and Shelby townships.

    From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitnews.com/...

    "We're from the government, and we're here to help." Diane(Desi)Sweet

    by Desi on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:19:58 PM PDT

  •  Knollenberg edges Raczkowski in GOP primary (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    Neon Vincent, Mopshell

    Former state Rep. Marty Knollenberg of Troy has emerged as the winner of the state Senate's 13th District race in the Republican primary, defeating former state Rep. Andrew 'Rocky' Raczkowski by a mere 72 votes.

    From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitnews.com/...

    "We're from the government, and we're here to help." Diane(Desi)Sweet

    by Desi on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:22:00 PM PDT

    •  And Peltonen beats Fishman for the D nomination (2+ / 0-)
      Recommended by:
      peregrine kate, Mopshell

      ...to challenge Knollenberg.  Her margin was more than 1300 votes for a 9.5% margin.  As one of her volunteers, it was sweet.  It made for a fun victory party.

      "My friend Vince Lamb often comments that Americans will take all manner of social, economic and political abuse, but will rise up with righteous fury when you disturb their Entertainment."-Michael Varian Daly

      by Neon Vincent on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:40:44 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  In other Michigan news (3+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        MichaelNY, peregrine kate, Mopshell

        Dingell, Walberg cruise to easy primary victories

        Tuesday night, an incumbent and the wife of a retiring incumbent cruised to victory in their respective party's primaries.

        Debbie Dingell defeated Raymond Mullins for the Democratic nomination to succeed her husband John in the Twelfth Congressional District, which includes Ann Arbor, Ypsilanti, and surrounding areas of eastern Washtenaw County as well as western and southern Wayne County.

        Tim Walberg fended off challenger Douglas North for the Republican nomination in the Seventh Congressional District, which encompasses western and northern Washtenaw County along with a wide swath of southern Michigan extending from Monroe County to Branch County, as well as the counties of Jackson and Eaton.

        I thought these would be blowouts, and they were.

        "My friend Vince Lamb often comments that Americans will take all manner of social, economic and political abuse, but will rise up with righteous fury when you disturb their Entertainment."-Michael Varian Daly

        by Neon Vincent on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:41:45 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

      •  Congrats and enjoy! (0+ / 0-)

        It makes all that volunteer work so worth while - I'm so pleased for you and Peltonen's whole campaign. (◕‿◕)

        Please note that lamps in the Magic Lamp Emporium are on a genie time-share program so there may be a slight delay in wish fulfillment. (◕‿◕)

        by Mopshell on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 05:00:38 AM PDT

        [ Parent ]

  •  MI SD-2: Bert Johnson crushes turncoat (7+ / 0-)

    My favorite result of the night was Detroit State Sen. Bert Johnson crushing challenger State Rep. John Olumba.  John Olumba is the Dem who pulled out of the caucus to vote with Republicans in the state house.  Even aside from that, he was just generally a very weird troll with more than a few screws loose.  On top of that, during the campaign it was found he didn't even live in his house district, but no one did anything about it.

    Good 'effing riddance.

    97% reporting

    Johnson: 64%
    Olumba: 21%

    Don't Blame Me, I Voted for Kodos.

    by MetroGnome on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:25:27 PM PDT

  •  Amash vents in his victory speech (8+ / 0-)

    Really can't see this guy lasting long in Congress he's so arrogant and smug and it's clear he has few friends even among those in his party.

  •  Low Voter Turnout in MI (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, LakeSuperior, Mopshell

    The polls closed Tuesday as Michiganians showed up in low numbers, but it was unclear whether they matched or broke the 1990 record for the worst turnout.

    From The Detroit News: http://www.detroitnews.com/...

    "We're from the government, and we're here to help." Diane(Desi)Sweet

    by Desi on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:28:29 PM PDT

  •  So some where predicting a Tea Party rise in MI (5+ / 0-)

    that doesn't appear to have happen. Most of the establishment candidates won. I am only really tracking two State House races now. One is the Gary Glenn vs Karl Ieuter race. Glenn is up 53% to 47% currently. Cindy Gamrat is also up in a crowded primary in district 80.

    Frank Foster losing to Lee Chatfield is the only real tea party victory over an incumbent.

    M, 24, School: MI-12, Home: NY-18

    by slacks on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:29:37 PM PDT

    •  lol (7+ / 0-)

      So glad to hear Frank lost.  He was visiting a home on Lansing's southside back in 2012.  The neighbor was mowing her lawn and he looked over the fence to tell her to stop.  Classy, already, right?  Apparently, he must have seen some campaign sign in her lawn, because they got to arguing about the ballot initiative to enshrine collective bargaining, that year.  Eventually, he walked away, and she kept moving her lawn.

      Anyway, he comes back to tell her to stop mowing her lawn, and that it was upsetting his son (there seems to be some question as to whether he actually has a child, and if he does if he doesn't admit it publically).  She refused, and then was able to finish mowing her lawn.  He then walked up to her and her neighbor with a woman and a young boy telling her that this was the boy whose night she'd ruin with her mowing.  Then, this happened:

      He then walked away, asking Smith-Heck, “Are you going to apologize?” She responded, “For mowing my lawn?” Foster said, “So you’re not going to apologize”? She repeated, “For mowing my lawn?” Foster yelled across the street, “You’re a cunt!”

      The three of them then drove away.

      Little did he know that the woman was assistant executive direction for the Michigan Nurses Association, so this went public.

      I'm glad he's gone just because.  The scary thing is that a more conservative guy won the primary, and of the districts that cover the UP, this one is the most Republican.

      Don't Blame Me, I Voted for Kodos.

      by MetroGnome on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:53:06 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Chad Taylor (3+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    tmservo433, 6ZONite, Mopshell

    I was surprised to see that he had such a narrow win. Can anyone give any insight into that? Was it an amicable primary?

    Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

    by MichaelNY on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:29:39 PM PDT

    •  Amicable primary (4+ / 0-)

      There are outside issues impacting this race.  Chad Taylor is a low money (I mean real low money) candidate who was running against a multiple decorated war veteran on the other side.

      Taylor has had some... issues with groups because of his stances on what many would view as progressive issues.  As a result, a lot of groups had withheld their endorsements, this left him pretty damaged by the time he got to the primary.

      He may be a good guy, but his last report gives him nothing really in the bank, and he'll face a heavily monied Roberts and an Independent who can spend millions.

      Most democrats kind of wrote him off.

      Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
      >Follow @tmservo433

      by Chris Reeves on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:33:43 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

      •  He'll be a heavy underdog against Roberts (2+ / 0-)
        Recommended by:
        6ZONite, Mopshell

        But I still wouldn't consider that race completely safe, especially if Brownback gets really creamed, which I think is possible despite Kansas' usually heavy Republican lean. But I'd rate this no more than Race to Watch, at most, and if he has no money to get his message out, forget it. There's no evidence so far that this will be even a Likely-R race.

        Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

        by MichaelNY on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 11:03:44 PM PDT

        [ Parent ]

        •  The independent running (3+ / 0-)
          Recommended by:
          MichaelNY, 6ZONite, Mopshell

          Is likely to put millions into the race

          Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
          >Follow @tmservo433

          by Chris Reeves on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:21:07 AM PDT

          [ Parent ]

          •  That could help (2+ / 0-)
            Recommended by:
            6ZONite, Mopshell

            Or it might just split the anti-Roberts vote. Which do you think it will do?

            Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

            by MichaelNY on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:27:31 AM PDT

            [ Parent ]

            •  Frankly.. (4+ / 0-)

              And I say this and many democrats get very upset, but I'm not sure how big of a factor Chad Taylor will really be.  His most recent FEC report has less then $2,000 cash on hand.   This will put him at ... well, let's just say a monumental disadvantage.  

              Greg Orman is what I would consider a moderate Republican.. but the damage to Roberts has really been done by Tea Partiers in the primary.. Kansas is a closed primary, if that many (R)s went against him, there is a far more legitimate chance that one guy who promises a short stay in DC and who will spend like water makes a major dent.

              Now, it could also help Chad Taylor.. but if Chad Taylor really wants to get out and make an impact, he's got to do a much better job campaigning and fundraising.

              On the other hand, if Orman and Roberts beat each other up badly enough, anything can happen

              Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
              >Follow @tmservo433

              by Chris Reeves on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 12:52:40 AM PDT

              [ Parent ]

              •  Might Orman win? (1+ / 0-)
                Recommended by:
                Mopshell

                If Orman is the only non-Roberts who can win, should Taylor withdraw and throw his support to Orman?

                Formerly Pan on Swing State Project

                by MichaelNY on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 01:01:55 AM PDT

                [ Parent ]

                •  Huge debate on that right now.. (2+ / 0-)
                  Recommended by:
                  MichaelNY, Mopshell

                  There are a lot of democrats who are very upset that Orman is going to run his race and who are of course standing by Chad Taylor.   But the reality is, Chad Taylor, barring some unbelievable fundraising effort in the next week is just.. well, he just can't work it out.  

                  I don't see a strategy that nets him a win.  

                  There are groups that want to get him to step aside, and he has 6 days if he wants to do that to remove himself..

                  I don't see him doing that.   It's possible, but I doubt it.  Depending on what happens in the next few weeks though it will get very tricky.

                  Orman is going to approach every democrat and moderate Republican in the field and try to get their endorsement.  And his PACs can load up their PACs and then who knows.

                  I have no idea what happens, and of course it is possible that Chad Taylor can work a miracle and fundraise like he never has before this week.

                  Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
                  >Follow @tmservo433

                  by Chris Reeves on Wed Aug 06, 2014 at 01:16:36 AM PDT

                  [ Parent ]

  •  Kansas numbers so depressing (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    tmservo433

    Republicans are going to post bigger numbers in house district primaries than Dems will post in the Senate primary.  That means that there are roughly as many Republicans in EACH house district as there are Democrats in the entire state.  Ugh!!

    It is well that war is so terrible -- lest we should grow too fond of it. Robert E. Lee

    by ksuwildkat on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:38:17 PM PDT

    •  That's not really relevant. (8+ / 0-)

      I mean, it may feel as though it is, but Democratic primaries in Kansas have traditionally been wildly low turnout affairs.  They know they aren't voting against Republicans, their races for the most part were settled long before hand (Davis had no challenger, most challengers were minor candidates) and that meant that there wasn't a lot of motivation to actually vote.

      Meanwhile, on the Republican side you had two HUGE motivating races in Wolf V Roberts and a protest vote against Brownback.

      So, I wouldn't judge much of anything by primary turnout numbers.

      Gandhi's Seven Sins: Wealth without work; Pleasure without conscience; Knowledge without character; Commerce without morality; Science without humanity; Worship without sacrifice; Politics without principle
      >Follow @tmservo433

      by Chris Reeves on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:45:58 PM PDT

      [ Parent ]

  •  Checking in late (2+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    MichaelNY, Mopshell

    Once again, Republicans refuse to advance a perfectly good conservative female candidate (WA-04, Janea Holmquist-Newbry, who did much worse than I thought she would).

    Surprisingly close races in places I wasn't expecting, though it seems the expected candidate pulled it out in just about every case.  Got to be frustrating for tea partiers to keep coming up short in their quest to defeat every GOP Senator elected before 2010.

    Hopefully the late returns in Washington are better.  Crazy to imagine that Republicans could actually win control of the state senate even without turncoat Dems aiding them.  What a shitty map.

  •  MI-11: Bitter Bentivolio (7+ / 0-)

    The Detroit News is reporting, tonight, that Congressman Bentivolio didn't even call Trott to congratulate him, and that he had a bitter concession speech aimed at the party for supporting money over ideas. lol  You're on Santa's naughty list, David.

    That's right.  Stay home, Krazy Kerry voters.

    Don't Blame Me, I Voted for Kodos.

    by MetroGnome on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:42:04 PM PDT

  •  Top Two SUCKS! (9+ / 0-)

    "The Democrats and the Republicans are equally corrupt where money is concerned. It's only in the amount where the Republicans excel." ~ Will Rogers

    by Lefty Coaster on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 09:54:25 PM PDT

  •  MI-14 Dem: Hobbs ekes out win (3+ / 0-)

    So, it appears the last five precincts of the MI-14 Dem primary have finally been counted, and it resulted in turning Brenda Lawrence's 100-vote lead to a 240-vote deficit, allowing Hobbs to slip through.  Crazy, crazy night.  Brenda just can't seem to catch a break.

    Don't Blame Me, I Voted for Kodos.

    by MetroGnome on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 10:09:58 PM PDT

  •  So apparently Wayne County (MI) just reported (4+ / 0-)

    different numbers than AP. They now have Lawrence winning MI-14.

    Meanwhile Smith appears to be ahead of Tlaib.

    I have no idea what is going on.

    M, 24, School: MI-12, Home: NY-18

    by slacks on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 10:13:27 PM PDT

  •  Insanity in Missouri prevails: Amendment 1 (7+ / 0-)

    Amendment 1 narrowly passes, but is within recount margin.


    Justin's Political Corner:
    This is indeed a real punch in the gut for Missourians and progressives like me who opposed Amendment 1.
    [...]
    There is a silver lining of good news (or bad news): there will likely be a recount of Amendment 1.
  •  Advice for Dems in MI-08 and MI-11 (8+ / 0-)

    While these two districts were drawn to be more Republican-friendly than they were prior, each of the Republican nominees have major flaws that could potentially be turned into fatal flaws.

    - MI-08: Mike Bishop was involved in two very unpopular state government shutdowns in 2007 and 2009 during his time as State Senate Majority Leader.  And, they can particularly be attributed to his leadership in that both the state house and governor's office were under Dem control, so he was the central impediment.  Mike Bishop should be "Government Shutdown" Mike Bishop in every press release, in every debate, and in every quote.

    - MI-11: David Trott is owner of a business which even objective analyts could rightfully call a foreclosure mill.  His mill gained infamy when it was involved in the foreclosure and eviction of 101-year-old Texana Hollis of Detroit.  The mill was so large, in fact, that in 2008, it was estimated that it was involved in upwards of 80% of the state's foreclosures in a state during that period with one of the highest foreclosures in the nation.  David Trott should be "Foreclosure King" David Trott in every press release, in every debate, and in every quote.

    Don't Blame Me, I Voted for Kodos.

    by MetroGnome on Tue Aug 05, 2014 at 10:58:34 PM PDT

  •  The NY IDC has lots of things to learn from this (1+ / 0-)
    Recommended by:
    GoUBears

    from this primary in Washington.

    They can go by the same way.

  •  Just a side note in Florida... (3+ / 0-)

    Maybe I missed it on here, but am totally surprised not to see KOS covering the BIG Florida story, and no, not about Hobby Lobby coming to Gainesville.
      A judge has ruled that our voting maps are unconstitutional and the Fl legislature has been called in to revise our maps!! The over 2/3 GOP led state legislature tried to fight it, saying ballots for the primaries are already out, but the judge stuck to his guns, saying if it continued the vote would be illegal.
      LET US HOPE this is setting a precedent in other GOP run states; eventhough our GOP Gov Scott and his buddies tried to stop it, justice was done and our maps are being redrawn. In addition, the GOP has been "called out" and told to have nothing to do with the redrawing.
      This is a huge victory for us in Fl who have been fighting!!!
    A big "Yaay" to all of us in the fight, including the League of Women's voters, who bought the lawsuit. May the rest of the gerrymandered districts across the country fall as well!!

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