Princeton Election Consortium's snapshot of Senate races today, Oct. 6:
http://election.princeton.edu/...
For the past couple of weeks, following a long stretch of Democratic chances estimated in the 70+% range and higher, suddenly PEC had Dems way down in the dismal 30's.
But several polls came out this morning that look good for the left, including one showing Grimes 2 points ahead of McTurtle in Kentucky.
Sam Wang, the forecaster behind Princeton Election Consortium, is considered the most accurate in the business. He is also the Kosack mindgeek.