I am going to get pummeled by many for even suggesting we are going to lose, but the math does not look good for our side. Yes, I have heard all sorts of excuses about why the numbers are wrong, but I would point out that by ignoring the math, we are going down the same road of self-delusion the conservatives did in 2012, and we are in for a hell of shock come Wednesday morning.
While I really hope we are on the winning side of our 1 in 4 chance of holding the senate, I am very worried that should we lose, or even should we barely win, the Democratic leadership will decide that the lesson of the election is:
We need to move further to the right!
If that is the lesson our leaders walk away with (it will certainly be the lesson the corporate media will take from the results) we will lose the White House in 2016.