Busy, busy day today: Not only did the final weekly HC.gov report come out, but so did updates from 4 other states...
First up, a walk down memory lane:
--FLASHBACK: My really, really thin connection to John Boehner swearing
Next, getting some state-based exchanges off the plate:
--Massachusetts: 122.6K QHPs estimated, 238K Medicaid confirmed
--Rhode Island: 28.7K QHPs, 94% paid (sort of)
--Washington State: 139K PAID QHPs (likely 158K selected)
--Vermont: 29K QHPs, 11.5K Medicaid, 81.3% paid
Before the feature presentation, I do have one unpleasant item...
--Turd in the punch bowl: Up to 200K renewed enrollees to be dropped on 2/28
...and now, with that out of the way:
--BREAKING: Final Weekly HC.gov Snapshot: 7.75 Million (off by 625 people)
Yup: The official number ws 7,749,375 vs. the 7.75M even that I had called.
Most noteworthy to me: There are 2.9 million completed QHP applications ready to go which hadn't pulled the trigger as of Friday.
--At least 38 states have broken HHS's 2015 target; 8 states have broken mine
Florida is 12,000 away from equalling California's 2014 tally, which is truly impressive, and Texas has now joined the 1 Million club. Also noteworthy: The national confirmed QHP total now stands at just shy of 10.4 mllion...the HHS Dept's official projection for QHP selections.
That brings me to the big question:
--How realistic are my final week projections?
"Realistic" in this context doesn't necessarily mean that we'll achieve that number, just whether it's reasonable to think that we might. My original 300K target for Massachusetts, for instance, was simply unreasonable from the start, although they could hit 200K.
All of this brings me to the updated Graph: