PPP has journeyed down to Florida where they find good news for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, decent news for Ben Carson, and absolutely horrible news for not-so-favorite sons Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio.
The toplines:
For Democrats:
Clinton 55
Sanders 18
Biden 17
O'Malley 2
Webb/Chafee 1
The race is mostly unchanged from March with the exception of Bernie being up 15 points (he was not running in March). Clinton is down three points since then, Biden is up three points.
For Republicans:
Trump 28
Carson 17
Bush 13
Rubio 10
Cruz 9
Fiorina 7
Kasich 5
Huckabee 3
Christie/Walker 2
Jindal/Santorum 1
Gilmore/Graham/Pataki/Paul all less than 1%
More below the fold
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/...
For the Democrats, there is some news below the toplines. Biden hurts Clinton far more than Sanders if he gets in the race- 54% of Biden's supporters list Clinton as their second choice, compared to just 14% for Sanders.
Clinton and Biden are both well known and incredibly popular with Democrats across the ideological spectrum, while Sanders continues to struggle with unpopularity along with anonymity.
With Very Liberal Democrats, Biden is +74, Clinton is +84, and Sanders is +38.
With Somewhat Liberal Democrats, Biden is +73, Clinton is +73, and Sanders is +41.
Among Moderates, Biden is +46, Clinton is +32, and Sanders is +21.
Among Somewhat Conservative, Biden is +37, Clinton is +45, and Sanders is -13.
Among Very Conservative, Biden is -21, Clinton is -21, and Sanders is -36.
Most troubling for Sanders is his 20% unfavorability among Very liberal voters, compared to Clinton's 3%.
As a result of these numbers, Sanders actually does best among moderate Democrats in Florida, in a distant third among the most liberal voters.
Clinton leads by 42 with women and just 31 with men. Sanders leads Biden by 1 among both groups.
The racial breakdowns are in line with what we've seen elsewhere around the country. Sanders is struggling mightly among nonwhite voters, even as his name recognition has increased.
Biden is +70 with Hispanic voters, +58 with Whites, and +65 with African Americans.
Clinton is +78 with Hispanic voters, +50 with Whites, and +56 with African Americans.
Sanders is +25 with Hispanics, +39 with Whites, and +3 with African Americans. He has a somewhat staggering 33% unfavorability with African American voters in Florida, just above his 31% unknown number.
As a result, Clinton leads among Hispanics by 55%. She leads among whites by 33%.
The biggest impact we can see of Biden in the race here is among African America voters- she leads Biden by just 14%.
The African American vote is
Clinton 48
Biden 34
Sanders 16
Clinton's support is pretty stable among all age groups, but Bernie beats Biden among younger voters while Biden beats him among retirees.
Overall, we see something similar to what we've been seeing elsewhere. Clinton maintains a strong lead among a diverse electorate and Biden and Sanders battle over second place.
The Republican story has some interesting twists and turns, as well.
The biggest news, in my mind, is the fact that a plurality of Republicans think that both Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio should drop out of the race.
Also, the continuing strength of Trump and Carson shows the anti-politician bent the Republican race has taken. Carson has been in second of nearly every state and national poll for quite a while now.
Walker's epic slide is of personal interest and pleasure to me.
The Florida Primary will be held on the "mini Super Tuesday" of March 15th along with Illinois, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio, two weeks after Super Tuesday.