The latest Marquette Law School Poll, the gold standard in Wisconsin polling for some time now, has good news for Democrats all around. Presidential primary results, General Election numbers, and Senate numbers are all included, plus some delicious numbers on Scott Walker's image in the state.
Toplines:
US Senate Race:
Feingold 50
Johnson 36
Dem Presidential Primary
Clinton 42
Sanders 30
Biden 17
(other candidates were not included in the livestream information)
GOP Presidential Primary
Trump 20
Carson 16
Rubio 14
Fiorina 11
Bush 7
Cruz 5
Presidential General Election:
Clinton/Bush 50-38
Sanders/Bush 49-39
Clinton/Rubio 48-40
Sanders/Rubio 49-36
Clinton/Trump 50-36
Sanders/Trump 53-34
Obama Job Approval 51-45
More below the fold...
https://law.marquette.edu/...
The most wonderful piece of information to me are the US Senate results. The last poll showed a surprisingly close five point race, which was out of line with other polling at the time. Russ's 14 point lead is down from April, but is obviously a very good result, particularly seeing the incumbent below 40% while Club for Growth and others have been making a full court press against Feingold.
The numbers are driven by Feingold's strong approval numbers, with a +10 net rating, and Johnson's -9 rating (and the fact that 37% of voters don't even have an opinion of him) While that means Johnson does have some room to grow, Feingold has to feel good about being at 50% already.
The Republican brand is damaged throughout the state, as "Favorite Son" Scott Walker suffers from a brutal 37-59 approval rating, a stunning -22. Only 35% believe he should run for a third term in 2018, compared to 62% who think he should give it up.
The Republicans' woes are the Democrats' gain, as President Obama sports an impressive 51-45 job approval rating, and Democrats lead Republicans in all the Presidential matchups.
As for the primary, Walker's exit from the race has caused Wisconsin to fall in line with most other states, showing a Trump lead, with Carson coming up close behind. Trump is WAY up from the last poll, where he had just 9%. Carson has held steady, while Rubio and Fiorina also made major moves up the ladder.
The Democratic race has remained stable, with Clinton's 12 point lead unchanged from last month. The full results are not yet available, but it is likely that the same pattern we've seen elsewhere will hold up here- if Biden doesn't run, his supporters largely flock to Clinton, increasing her lead.