ECPS released their final New York polls this evening, showing Hillary Clinton with a fifteen point lead over Bernie Sanders. That’s down three points from their April 7th poll; and thirty-three points down from their ridonkulous poll from March 16th.
Emerson is rated C+ on 538 (equally as shitty as that Gravis poll that came out earlier today, but was really from April 6th because they are hacks—thank you Trix).
On the clown car side, Donald Trump remains ahead by thirty-four points, the same amount he was leading by on April 7th. The difference comes from the second place position, with Kasich now in front of Ted Cruz. Considering that if Trump wins New York by the margins projected, he will walk away with all of the delegates, who finishes second is largely irrelevant. Although I’m sure someone named Cruz or Kasich will give a shit.
UPDATE: I was incorrect on it being largely irrelevant. If he falls below 50% in any of the congressional districts, and the second place individual is above 20% (which will happen in a three person race), the second place individual will get one delegate while Trump picks up two. Important to the anybody but Trump movement. Thank you, slothlax.
UPDATE:
Emerson’s website has released their more in-depth results:
Sanders maintains his support among 18-34 year olds winning 61% to 31% but comes up short among the rest of the population losing 35-54 year olds 54%-39%, 55-74 year olds 65%-31% and those over 75, 71% to 29%.
Clinton holds a strong lead among Democratic minority voters, with a massive advantage in key demographic groups such including African Americans (72% to 22%) and Hispanics (56% to 33%). The former Secretary of State also holds the female vote (59% to 48%) and only trails Sanders by 1 point among males (49% to 48%)