Firstly, Congratulations to Bernie Sanders on his victory in Indiana. Well done.
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Now let’s check out the state of the race.
Sanders netted +5 pledged delegates last night, which isn't nearly enough to keep pace. He won 44 delegates, to Clinton’s 39. Clinton leads 1701 - 1417, according to FiveThirtyEight's updated delegate tracker.
Clinton is now 325 pledged delegates shy of the magic number needed, 2,026.
There are only 933 pledged delegates left and Senator Sanders needs 609 of them or 65.3% of the remaining pool of delegates. To put this in perspective, before last night he needed 64.3% of the remaining delegates.
Even after his win in Indiana, he’s actually fallen further behind.
As the pool of pledged delegates shrink rapidly and since his margin of victory in Indiana wasn't where it needed to be, the percentage of remaining delegates that Sanders needs is steadily increasing.
Clinton needs just 34.9% of the remaining delegates. To put this in perspective, the Clinton camapign went dark in Indiana and spent no money on TV ads and she still received 47% of the vote.
Nate Silver wrote up a hypothechical of what Sanders wins would have to look like after his Indiana win and realistically, this isn't happening.
Senator Sanders and his supporters should be proud of his win last night, but the delegate math has moved the trajectory of this race even further in Hillary’s favor.
We all should keep things in perspective, because Hillary Clinton will be our nominee and Donald Trump is who *we Democrats* need to defeat in the fall.
On that note, we have some good polling news for Hillary over Trump. She leads and she leads among independents. Looking good for the fall and hopefully this translates into more down ballot wins for Democrats!