This morning on Joy Reid’s show on MSNBC Steve Kornacki provided some interesting numbers on the state of the popular (vs. Super Delegate) vote now and going forward to the convention.
If one removes the Super Delegates and compares the popular delegates only for each candidate, the difference is 274. Looking at the states remaining in the Democratic primary, if you give Hillary the most generous benefit of the doubt on the states that remain, it all comes down to California. And to make matters worse, Hillary would have to win California by 90% in order to walk into the convention with a clear win based on the popular delegate count alone.
This also has to put the talking point that Hillary has won the popular vote by 3 million votes nationally in perspective, as that might change by the time all the states have had their chance to weigh in, especially California the most populous state in the U.S.
No wonder Hillary’s supporters want to declare victory as the presumptive nominee before the remaining western states have a chance to be counted. Her popular vote delegates and numbers currently do not look to improve going forward and have the potential to erode, perhaps substantially.