There’s been a few bad polls and questionable polls released this morning, especially the Q poll which showed Clinton dropping 10 points in Florida, but nowhere else. Clearly an outlier. But here’s some good news to cheer everybody up….
A new Monmouth University poll in Colorado shows Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 13 points, 48% to 35%.
The Monmouth University Poll also found incumbent U.S. Senator Michael Bennet with an identical 13 point lead over Republican challenger Darryl Glenn in the contest to retain his seat.
Among Colorado voters likely to participate in November's presidential election, 48% currently support Clinton and 35% back Trump. Another 5% intend to vote for Libertarian Gary Johnson, 3% support Green Party candidate Jill Stein, 3% say they will vote for another candidate, and 7% are undecided.
Among self-identified Democrats, 93% support Clinton while 3% choose Trump, and just 1% back a third party candidate. Trump has less support among his own party base, with 78% of Republicans who back their nominee, compared to 9% who support Clinton, 4% who back Johnson, and 3% who support another candidate. Among independents, 40% are with Clinton and 28% are with Trump, while 10% back Johnson, 5% choose Stein, and 6% support another candidate.
Clinton has a large lead among women voters (56% to 30%) while men are divided - 40% support Trump and 39% support Clinton. Likewise, Clinton enjoys a big edge among voters under 50 years old (51% to 26%) while those age 50 and older are split - 45% support Clinton and 42% support Trump. Clinton also has an overwhelming lead among Hispanic, black and Asian voters (66% to 15%) as well as a slight lead among white voters (44% to 38%).
"Clinton does better among practically every demographic in Colorado than she does nationally. It is way too early to call, but if this dynamic holds, she could end up with the largest electoral margin for a Democrat here since 1964," said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. Since Lyndon Johnson's landslide in 1964, Colorado has awarded its electoral voters to the Democrat only three times - in 1992, 2008, and 2012 - with the largest margin being Barack Obama's nine point victory in 2008.
Three new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls in key battleground states:
- Pennsylvania: Clinton 45%, Trump 36%
- Iowa: Clinton 42%, Trump 39%
- Ohio: Clinton 39%, Trump 39%
“These polls were conducted July 5-10 – so all in the immediate aftermath of FBI Director James Comey not recommending charges against Hillary Clinton in her handling of government emails, but saying that she was careless. The polls also come as Clinton enjoys a considerable advertising advantage over Trump in these battleground states.”
"The good news for Hillary Clinton is that she is still even or ahead of Donald Trump in these three critical states in the aftermath of the FBI's report on her email controversy," says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion, which conducted these three surveys.