Several posts are up linking to the RABA poll showing Hillary’s lead: link. Great news—Hillary up 15.
I just wanted to point something out about those numbers, something drawing on a Steve Schmidt throwaway line.
As we go forward, watch not only Hillary and Trump’s numbers, but ALSO watch the numbers for the Libertarian Party. Disgruntled voters in the GOP orbit are going to go there if they don’t sit it out.
Well, the number in this poll for the Libertarian Party is 7%.
I dunno—I don’t watch that party normally. But that number seems a bit high.
Now, here’s the caveat. There will be Bernie supporters who turn to the Green Party but also to the Libertarians. I have no way of knowing how to assess how many of that 7% came from our side.
I do note that the Greens are showing at 2%. It seems to me that disgruntled Bernie-ites, especially the young, would go there first, and that number is pretty low.
At any rate, watch the Libertarian Party number. If it keeps going up, you know Trump is losing votes. This will be the “respectable” place for a Republican to go when turning his or her back on the GOP.