we have a few Polls today
Pennsylvania
out from Franklin &Marshall in PA: Presidential and State
Clinton +11 v Trump
McGinty +1n v Toomey
in the Presidential Race we Have RV and LV
Usually LV screens are not good for us…. but not to shabby. Still it goes from + 13 RV to + 11 LV
Pennsylvania is important to Mr. Trump’s election chances because it has a sizable number of white voters, a demographic subgroup whose presidential preferences analysts have been closely following this year. Mr. Trump holds a sizable advantage among whites with a high school degree or less (53% to 31%), but Secretary Clinton has a similar advantage among college-educated whites (58% to 28%). Mr. TrumpT also has an advantage among white men (45% to 35%),3 but his advantage is dwarfed by Secretary Clinton’s lead among white women (57% to 29%).2
Convention Bump?
this is a no brainer to whomever watched those conventions, sans diehards.
when asked about prepared or experienced to handle the job of President
Look at those Numbers!!! scary 38% some people still think Drumpf has the capacity to keep us safe.
Favorabilities you say?
Both candidates have seen their net favorability improve since the primary election inn April, although both continue to have a net negative rating. Secretary Clinton is viewed favorably by 47% off registered voters and is viewed unfavorably by 49% (net favorable = minus 2). Mr. TrumpT is viewed favorably by 33% of registered voters and is viewed unfavorably by 62% (nett favorable = minus 29).
PA Senate
And Toomey's Job approval? 52% think think he is doing a fair or Poor Job. Again RV are better for McGinty then LV
Michigan
Detroit News
This is LV.
As you can see almost a 10% lead… and this nugget. Last time this outfit polled MI it was +4. Johnson has gone down from 11 to 7.4% compared to that previous poll…. where have all those voters gone????? ;)
Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton has widened her lead over Republican Donald Trump in Michigan as 3-in-5 likely voters say the New York businessman is not qualified to be president,
and statewide, I am not a MI expert… those who are chime in
The poll contains many troubling signs for Trump’s White House campaign, including a “shocking” lead for Clinton in the Republican strongholds of west and southwest Michigan, pollster Richard Czuba said.
I'll see if I can find MI results by county from 2012
and New Hampshire
The last time we polled in New Hampshire, three months ago, the presidential contest was virtually tied. Our new poll (topline, crosstabs) of 609 likely New Hampshire voters, conducted July 29 through Aug. 1, shows Clinton leading Trump 47 percent to 32 percent. When Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are omitted, Clinton's 15-point lead swells to 17 points.
So here LV screen WITH 4 candidates work in favor of Clinton
The main reason given to this bump is Party Unity
but look at those Indies!!!
Her Favorables are not so good, but better than Cheeto's… and She is going in the right direction
and the icing on the cake…. the Senate Race
The WBUR poll also found the presidential contest is having a big effect on New Hampshire's Senate race between the incumbent Republican, Kelly Ayotte, and the Democrat, Gov. Maggie Hassan. According to the poll, Hassan now leads by 10 points in a race that could determine which party will control the Senate.
#EstamosConElla
Thursday, Aug 4, 2016 · 4:58:16 PM +00:00
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El Mito
we have two new Polls
Florida by Suffolk with +6
and National Rasmussen
A post-convention bounce appears to have given Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton her biggest lead over Republican rival Donald Trump since June in our latest weekly White House Watch survey. This is the first update that includes both the Libertarian and Green Party candidates.
A new Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds Clinton with 44% support to Republican nominee Donald Trump’s 40%. Six percent (6%) prefer Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, while three percent (3%) back Green Party candidate Jill Stein. Another three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided.