The increasingly popular narrative that Trump is self-destructing and Clinton has this election in the bag is not only wrong, it’s dangerous.
This election will come down to one thing: voter turnout. As of this writing, turnout for Clinton is projected to be low and turnout for Trump is still projected to be high. After evidencing himself as a racist, xenophobic, Islamophobic, sex offender, Donald Trump is still within, at most, a few points of winning the White house. Trump vanquished 16 competitors in the primary and drew the largest voter turnout in Republican primary history.
Letting our guards down now and promulgating a (false) narrative that Clinton is going to win by a landslide could be exactly the thing that gets Trump elected. Consider this: for Trump to win, he needs only carry the regular, never-gonna-vote-for-Clinton, red states PLUS Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. That’s it.
Number of 2016 Primary Voters
Wisconsin
Democrat: 1,003,904
Republican: 1,101,123
Ohio
Democrat: 1,202,163
Republican: 2,043,043
Michigan
Democrat: 1,194,643
Republican: 1,324,621
Pennsylvania
Democrat: 1,652,947
Republican: 1,573,338
Notice that only in Pennsylvania was turnout higher on the democratic side, and there only by 2.4% (less than 80k voters).
To those who say, “that was before the debates, and before the awful recording, and before the Republican party started to flee”, consider this: Fox News, the arbiter of all things Republican, says that Trump did so well in the the last debate that he’s “back in the game” and has “put the video behind him”.
This is not a time to take a victory lap. It’s not the time to think about voting for Jill. It’s a time to push, with everything we have, to get voters in swing states to vote for Clinton. A moment of pause now could easily be the difference between a Trump dictatorship and a Clinton presidency.
NextGen Climate has a brilliant strategy for getting out the vote to the most important demographic to this election: Millennials in swing states. Click here to help NextGen Climate get out the vote.*
*I’m not affiliated with NextGen Climate in any way.