District 72 is being contested by Democratic candidate Schuyler VanValkenburg. Schuyler will compete for the seat currently held by Jimmie Massie. This seat has not been contested by anyone since Massie first won in 2007, no Democrat for a decade. Massie announced March 18th that he will not run for this seat in the fall. Now an open seat, even in a red district, makes this a winnable district in every way, let's take a look at the numbers.
Schuyler links:
District 72 Fast Facts
- Residents = 80,010
- Active Registered Voters = 51,466
- Percent Registered = 64%
- Total Vote in Last District 72 Race = 13,644
- Participation Rate = 27%
- Total Vote for Republican last Race = 13,644
- Total Vote for Democrat last Race = 0
- Localities = Henrico County
There are 28 rather gerrymandered precincts in Henrico County, There are 15 precincts that perform worse than the 27% participation rate across the district. Of those 7 precincts have more than 2,000 Active Voters. 2 of those have more than 3,000 Active Voters; Coalpit and Dumbarton. That is where I would look first for sure
Below is a general summary of the vote share the Republican had out of the Active Voters in District 72: