Covers reports—Latest Trump Fiasco Stirs Up Crazy Betting Action on Presidential Odds, Including Impeachment:
Online market Sportsbook.ag pulled their Trump betting odds off the board as soon as news broke about the leaks and waited nearly 24 hours – feeling out the political and media backlash—before reopening betting on “Will Donald Trump be Impeached in his First Term as President of USA?” and “Will Donald Trump Serve a Full Term as President of USA?”.
“This latest fiasco, the Washington Post's story of Trump giving up intelligence to the Russian's last week, could be the straw that breaks America's back,” Peter Childs, supervisor of risk management for Sportsbook.ag, tells Covers. “Republicans are now coming out against Trump and that really makes impeachment possible.”
Sportsbook.ag opened the odds on Trump’s impeachment the day after the 2016 election results, setting “No” as a big -550 favorite. However, those odds have slimmed with every blunder and bad move from the White House and following these recent leaks—and Trump’s reaction on Twitter—the odds on impeachment re-opened with “Yes” and “No” at a flat -115 each (wager $115 to win $100).
So are those odds just on impeachment or on a conviction after impeachment? Persuading a majority in a House populated by 238 Republicans and 193 Democrats would be tough, but it seems as least possible. The constitutional requirement for an impeachment conviction, however, is set at two-thirds of the Senate—67 votes—a very high bar. (As it should be.) But that was 24 hours ago. After the latest revelations, who knows what the odds will be tomorrow? And who knows what Republican senators are privately thinking as opposed to what they are publicly saying—or, in most cases, mumbling—about Trump’s future prospects?
What I want to know are the odds on whether Trump will get up from the table and go quietly if impeachment becomes real or grab the tablecloth and crash everything to the ground.
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At Daily Kos on this date in 2008—McCain’s Campaign Led by Tainted Lobbyists:
John McCain talks straight, but he acts crooked. Mr. Reform strays from the straight path by following crooked lobbyists for their money, money that comes from corporations and brutal foreign governments.
McCain's been embarrassed several times the last few weeks by lobbyists connected to his campaign. Last week he was forced to fire two lobbyists who had worked for the brutal military junta in Burma/Myanmar, the oppressive goons who are killing people through their refusal to let aid workers in to the country and help the millions of Burmese affected by the cyclone. This morning we learned about a lobbyist working for McCain who also worked for the governments of Serbia and Qatar.
McCain also had to dismiss one of his top operatives in Virginia, Craig Shirley. Shirley's has long been involved in shady dealings on behalf of the GOP, including hyping the orchestrated "rescue" of US soldier Jessica Lynch from a hospital in Iraq, and the scurrilous Willie Horton ad used against Michael Dukakis in 1988. Shirley was simultaneously an official with McCain's campaign and involved in an independent campaign against Democrats. The McCain campaign is spinning his dismissal as a matter of principle, when in fact Shirley was breaking the law by being on both sides of what should be a divide, the candidate campaign, and an independent operation that is legally prohibited from coordinating its activities with the campaign.
On today’s Kagro in the Morning show: OMFG! Jimmy Fallon says Trump may have plagiarized his Liberty U. speech from “Legally Blonde!” Dem energy rockets in Texas, with a bumper crop of new candidates for 2020! Oh, BTW, Trump betrays our allies to the Russians and maybe killed an intel asset.
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