Here’s the latest news today out of Arizona courtesy of Gravis Marketing’s latest poll. First, the U.S. Senate race:
In the GOP Senate primary, Congresswoman Martha McSally holds a 36%-27% lead over her next closest competitor, Kelli Ward. Former Maricopa County Sherriff, Joe Arpaio, is in third place at 24%.
Democratic Congresswoman, Kyrsten Sinema, leads all three potential Republican nominees. She leads McSally 43%-39%, Ward 46%-37% and Arpaio 42%-33%. While Sinema leads among independents in all three match-ups, her margin is the smallest against McSally (43%-29%). The margin among independents is 49%-26% over Ward and 61%-21% against Arpaio.
Second, the Governor’s race:
Gravis finds the Arizona Gubernatorial race to be a toss-up. Incumbent Republican Doug Ducey leads Steve Farley 42%-39% and trails David Garcia 42%-41%. Of note here is the discrepancy between men and women with these match-ups. Ducey leads Garcia among men 48%-45% with 7 % undecided, but trails among women 39%-35% with 27% undecided. Ducey leads Farley among men 51%-41% with 8% undecided and trails among women 37%-33% with 30% undecided. Coinciding with the disproportionate share of the female electorate being undecided, Democrats in the Gubernatorial match-ups are more undecided. In the match-up with Farley, 10% of Republicans, 23% of Independents and 21% of Democrats are undecided. In the match-up against Garcia, 9% of Republicans, 23% of independents and 21% of Democrats are undecided. The eventual Democratic nominee stands to pick-up support among undecideds after the primary.
The race between incumbent Republican, Michele Reagan and Democrat Katie Hobbs for Secretary of State is also tight. Voters back Hobbs over Reagan by a narrow 38%-37% margin with 25% undecided.
Trump’s approval to disapproval rating is 46/50. Voters are against the GOP Tax Scam, building a wall and pulling out of the Iran Nuclear Deal. Let’s help the Blue Wave hit Arizona hard this year. Click below to donate and get involved with Sinema, Garcia and Hobbs’ campaigns:
Kyrsten Sinema
David Garcia
Katie Hobbs