Reading Stephen Miller’s entrails might be more accurate for the GOP as midterm election day approaches. The signals are looking bad, but GOTV is essential, considering the degree of mischief being planned. The thing about being a Democrat is still being baffled that vote suppression is even legal.
- President Donald Trump is rapidly losing favor among independent voters and has a low approval rating in general despite a strong economy, two new polls show.
- Recent reports have suggested independents could comprise up to 30% of the electorate in this year's midterms, meaning they could make or break the GOP's majority in Congress.
"The economy booms, but President Donald Trump's numbers are a bust. An anemic 38% approval rating is compounded by lows on honesty, strength and intelligence," Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll, said in a statement.
The Quinnipiac poll found just 32% of Americans feel the president is honest, which it said was his lowest grade for honesty since he was elected. In addition, Trump received low grades from American voters on an array of character traits.
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The bottom line: The signals look every bit as bad for Republicans as they did for House Democrats when they got wiped out in the 2010 Tea Party wave.
- "Every metric leads you to one conclusion: The likelihood of significant Republican losses in the House and state/local level is increasing by the week," said the Republican operative who did this statistical comparison to 2010.
- "The depth of losses could be much greater than anticipated and the Senate majority might be in greater peril than anticipated."
In a party duopoly system that maintains a hold at the district level, there are no independents, unless you count the non-voter as exercising independence as an electoral defector. It’s pretty much the same as those in Congress who proclaim themselves Independent but do caucus with either of the duopoly parties, largely a cosmetic label with as much effect as a party that might name itself as the Independent Party, definitely not to be confused with the American Independent Party.
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